{"id":7285,"date":"2023-04-28T00:17:04","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T00:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/?p=7285"},"modified":"2023-04-28T00:17:04","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T00:17:04","slug":"will-a-struggling-u-s-dollar-impact-real-estate-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/2023\/04\/28\/will-a-struggling-u-s-dollar-impact-real-estate-investors\/","title":{"rendered":"Will A Struggling U.S. Dollar Impact Real Estate Investors?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div :class=\"{ 'hidden': $store.proContent.showFullPrompt() }\">\n<section class=\"px-4 relative border border-slate-200 mobile-toc lg:hidden\" x-data=\"{open:false}\">\n<button class=\"flex items-center gap-4 my-2 border-none w-full\"><br \/>\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"h-6 w-6\" fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\"><path stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" d=\"M4 8h16M4 16h16\"\/><\/svg><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"font-semibold text-slate-800 text-base m-0 js-toc-ignore\">In this article<\/h2>\n<p><\/button><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Every great empire that has come before the United States has eventually fallen. Some have fallen at least somewhat gracefully, like Great Britain. Others, like ancient Rome, well, not so much.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As I write these words, more and more ink has been spilled regarding the looming threat to the American-led world order. Words such as \u201cde-dollarization\u201d and a \u201cmultipolar world\u201d are thrown out often, perhaps simultaneously or even interchangeably.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And indeed, \u201cde-dollarization\u201d is happening, albeit at nowhere near the speed some doomsayers describe. And we are likely already in a \u201cmultipolar world\u201d where the United States is no longer the sole superpower. Instead, a new cold war\u2014this time between the United States and China\u2014seems to have dawned as East and West once again bifurcate and globalization slows down and begins to reverse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Not surprisingly, what plays out over the next few years will have a significant impact on investors. But first, let us strip away the hyperbole and describe what exactly is happening.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A Crash Course on the History of Reserve Currencies<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Before the Great Depression, the United States and most other countries\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.history.com\/this-day-in-history\/fdr-takes-united-states-off-gold-standard\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">had a gold-backed currency<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. In other words, citizens could have their dollars redeemed in gold bullion. This remained true until Franklin D. Roosevelt severed that link during the Great Depression.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">While most currencies had been convertible to gold, this was rarely done. And during most of the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, Britain\u2019s pound sterling\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Reserve_currency\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">was the reserve currency<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of the world. It was World War II that changed this, as Britain put itself into such enormous debt to pay for the war (<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/obr.uk\/box\/post-world-war-ii-debt-reduction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">peaking at 270% of GDP<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">) that the position of the pound was severely eroded.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So much so, in fact, that when Britain, along with France and Israel, invaded Egypt during\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iwm.org.uk\/history\/why-was-the-suez-crisis-so-important\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the Suez Crisis<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of 1956, the United States effectively vetoed the action by pressuring the International Monetary Fund to deny Britain financial assistance. Without such assistance, Britain, which once held the reserve currency of the world, would have to humiliatingly devalue its own currency. Britain decided to withdraw from Egypt (and eventually\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/1967_sterling_devaluation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">devalued its currency in 1967<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, anyways).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">While the Suez Crisis symbolized the changing of the guard, the shift from pounds to dollars was all but codified with\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bretton_Woods_system\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the Bretton Woods Agreement<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of 1944. This agreement opened a \u201cgold window,\u201d allowing nations (but not individuals) to convert dollars to gold at a fixed rate of $35 an ounce. At the time, most of the world was devastated, and the United States controlled a whopping two-thirds of the world\u2019s gold supply. Bretton Woods all but made it official that the dollar was now supreme.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, such power usually leads to excess. And American exceptionalism, in this case, just meant exceptional excess. The United States very soon found its gold supplies being squeezed as the \u201cguns and butter\u201d of the 1960s (the Vietnam War and Great Society programs) were costing a fortune. To pay for both, the United States printed a lot of money, causing the currency to depreciate. Remember, though, the Bretton Woods system had a fixed exchange rate for gold. As dollars lost their value, gold was still priced at $35\/ounce, and a run on America\u2019s gold reserves began.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Thus, in 1971,\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreservehistory.org\/essays\/gold-convertibility-ends\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Nixon closed the gold window<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, and dollars were no longer convertible to gold.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Now, the dollar was the reserve currency of the world, yet it was backed by nothing but the \u201cfull faith and credit of the U.S. government.\u201d At the time, this left something to be desired, especially given all the money the U.S. had printed to help pay for so many guns and so much butter. The United States began to suffer from\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/economics\/08\/1970-stagflation.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">stagflation<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0with low growth and inflation rates consistently north of 10%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A large part of the reason for such inflation was that there were too many dollars chasing too few goods. To alleviate this pressure, the Nixon Administration made a deal with Saudi Arabia in 1974, which brought about what is now referred to as\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/p\/petrodollars.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the petrodollar<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Under this and subsequent agreements, Saudi Arabia and all OPEC members would sell oil exclusively in dollars. Then, as\u00a0<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Investopedia<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/p\/petrodollars.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">notes<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, \u201csubsequent deals deployed Saudi oil export proceeds to pay for U.S. aid and development projects in Saudi Arabia and to finance U.S. weapons sales to the kingdom.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The petrodollar both increased the demand for dollars and also created an important reason for other countries to store them. And so, they did. In 1975, a full\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Reserve_currency\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">84.6%<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of currencies held in reserve were dollars. After oscillating for a while, it settled in at 71.1% in 2000. Then, well, things started to unravel, albeit slowly.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Things Fall Apart?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">After Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Russia quickly became\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/chart\/27015\/number-of-currently-active-sanctions-by-target-country\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the most sanctioned country in the world<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, surpassing Iran for that dubious title by a factor of three. Unfortunately, though, the sanctions didn\u2019t work, and the Russian ruble hit\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/06\/23\/russias-ruble-is-at-strongest-level-in-7-years-despite-sanctions.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">its strongest level since 2015<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Perhaps this was a sign of America\u2019s eroding economic position in the world. Since then, a smorgasbord of countries have abandoned the dollar for trade in whole or in part. Not surprisingly,\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/international\/article-738794\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Iran<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0and\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/russia-turns-to-chinas-yuan-in-effort-to-ditch-the-dollar-a8111457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Russia<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0abandoned the dollar. But in addition,\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/currencies\/indias-oil-deals-with-russia-dent-decades-old-dollar-dominance-2023-03-08\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">India<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0has signed an oil deal with Russia that forgoes the dollar, as has\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/markets\/brazil-china-strike-trade-deal-agreement-ditch-us-dollar\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Brazil<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0with China. France is doing the same, bringing de-dollarization right into the heart of NATO. And so is\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gonewsindia.com\/latest-news\/international\/saudi-arabia-to-trade-oil-in-yuan-how-will-it-affect-india-28542\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Saudi Arabia<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, the progenitor of the petrodollar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So, needless to say, the petrodollar\u2019s preeminence is being tested. Now, it\u2019s important to note that this is not de-dollarization per se. The dollar reserve standard regards the currencies world governments hold, not the currencies they trade in. Still, the latter moving away from the dollar bodes poorly for the dollar to remain the world\u2019s hegemon.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And that is what is happening, although at a very slow and steady rate. Over the first 23 years of this century, we have seen\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GRDecter\/status\/1641180390051414017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a notable decline<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0in the dollar\u2019s reserve currency status, falling from 71% to under 60%.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Here\u2019s a chart from the Federal Reserve that shows how foreign exchange reserves have changed since 2000. The dollar has been slowly but steadily losing its share of foreign reserves: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1CRpMWJCPu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pic.twitter.com\/1CRpMWJCPu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GRDecter\/status\/1641180390051414017?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">March 29, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">At the same time, the United States is flirting with the same things that brought down the pound sterling and the Gold Window: too much debt.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The U.S. trade deficit has been negative for decades and sits at negative\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/news\/2023\/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-december-and-annual-2022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">$948.1 billion in 2022<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, up over 10% from 2021. And the federal budget deficit is even worse,\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/bipartisanpolicy.org\/report\/deficit-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">at $1.1 trillion<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0during just the first half of fiscal year 2023\u2014up 63% from 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/bipartisanpolicy.org\/report\/deficit-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bipartisan Policy Center<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And there is no Covid nor lockdowns to explain this away.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Should We Panic?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Fiscal implosions rarely look like real-life implosions. After all, the United States bounced back from the Great Depression and Great Recession at least relatively quickly. A country\u2019s collapse is usually due to war or revolution. Think of the Goths with Rome, the Bolsheviks in Russia, the Americans, British, and Russians with Germany, etc.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Fiscal unraveling may hollow out and leave nations vulnerable to such destruction, but it rarely destroys a country by itself. And there doesn\u2019t appear to be anyone likely to threaten the United States militarily. We should also remember that Britain did not collapse after the pound sterling fell to second behind the dollar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">At this point, the only possible contender to the dollar is the Chinese yuan. There\u2019s no way the dollar will fall to third, and it has a long way to go just to fall to second.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Despite many doomsayers, cooler heads on both the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.revolver.news\/2023\/02\/sorry-zerohedge-for-better-or-worse-us-dollar-remains-king-of-currencies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">right<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0and\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/energy\/the-myth-of-the-inevitablerise-of-apetroyuan\/2023\/02\/27\/7d6cd58c-b65e-11ed-b0df-8ca14de679ad_story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">left<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0have cautioned against delusions of the opposite of grandeur. They note that \u201cthe Chinese yuan has no adopters outside of China\u201d and \u201cMiddle East oil-producing nations have other reasons to stick to the dollar. A crucial one is that most of their currencies are pegged to the greenback, requiring a constant influx of dollars to support the arrangement.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Furthermore, despite fiscal recklessness spanning multiple administrations by both Republicans and Democrats, the United States still has\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/worldpopulationreview.com\/countries\/by-gdp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">the largest economy in the world<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. The GDP of the United States is $20.49 trillion, 50% larger than China\u2019s and just a few trillion smaller than the next eight countries combined.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And it should also be pointed out, as Robb Nunn\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/robfnunn\/status\/1641377217367232514\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">succinctly did<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, there are other reasons the U.S. dollar isn\u2019t going the way of the Dodo. One is that it\u2019s backed by the world\u2019s most powerful military.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It\u2019s that the US dollar also comes with the underwriting of the most powerful military on Earth. Assured by alliances with 8 of the top military powers on Earth with it. The Euro-Dollar system is where capital reserves are held etc etc<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rob Nunn (@robfnunn) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/robfnunn\/status\/1641377217367232514?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">March 30, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">What Does This Likely Mean for the United States and Investors<\/span>?<\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">What we\u2019re seeing is unlikely to be a calamity but is instead the slow but steady deterioration of the dollar as the sole reserve currency of the world. The future is likely that \u201cmultipolar\u201d world with the dollar being held as the plurality of the world\u2019s reserves but no longer the dominant position it had for so long.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">What this means is that there will be more dollars returning to U.S. shores that were once occupied in some foreign country\u2019s reserve accounts. Not a tsunami of dollars returning, but a noteworthy amount in a relatively steady stream.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">At the same time, global trade and integration\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/briefing\/2019\/01\/24\/globalisation-has-faltered\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">is slowing and likely to reduce<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0as countries retrench with more nationalist policies and the world again divides between East and West. While this has its benefits, low costs are not among them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Furthermore, the\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/the-aging-of-america-will-the-baby-boom-be-ready-for-retirement\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">baby boomer generation is retiring<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, taking a disproportionate percentage of the labor pool out of the workforce. And this is a global phenomenon. The United States isn\u2019t even close to the worst when it comes to upside-down\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prb.org\/resources\/countries-with-the-oldest-populations-in-the-world\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">demographic pyramids<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">These new retirees are and will be switching from savings mode to spending mode. As geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/End-World-Just-Beginning-Globalization\/dp\/006326692X\/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&amp;qid=1682374488&amp;sr=8-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">notes<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cIn the world of 1990 through 2020\u2026 all the richest and most upwardly mobile countries of the world were in the capital-rich stage of the aging process more or less at the same time. Throughout that three-decade period there have been a lot of countries with a lot of late-forty-through-early-sixty-somethings, the age group that generates the most capital\u2026 Collectively, their savings has pushed the supply of capital up while pushing the cost of capital down\u2026\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But once those Baby Boomers start retiring (as they already are), the math switches,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cNot only is there nothing new to be invested, but what investments they do have tend to be reapportioned from high-earning stocks, corporate bonds, and foreign assets to investments that are inflation-proof, stock market crash-proof, and currency crash-proof.\u201d (<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/End-World-Just-Beginning-Globalization\/dp\/006326692X\/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&amp;qid=1682374488&amp;sr=8-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The End of the World is Just the Beginning<\/span><\/em><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, pg. 200-202)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In short, the eroding of dollar hegemony, the fiscal deficits, the pivot away from globalization, and the reduction in savings from retiring baby boomers is all going to be putting significant upward pressure on interest rates.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Inflation in the United States\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/inflation-cpi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">has cooled significantly<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0since the highs of 2022. But long term, the \u201cgood ole days\u201d of interest rates in the 3s and 4s are likely a thing of the past. There\u2019s simply too much upward pressure on prices and interest rates.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Already, there has been talk of\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/finance\/3779535-facing-recession-and-political-pressure-the-fed-will-move-inflation-goalposts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">moving the Fed\u2019s inflation goalpost<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0of 2% up to 3 or 4%. While Fed chairman Jerome Powell has rejected such ideas so far, it will likely become inevitable in the relatively near future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Given the long-term trends, it would make me hesitant to refinance old mortgages in the 3s and 4s, even if rates drop back into the 5s. (Unless, of course, you have a really good place to put the money you refinance out.) Fixed rates are also better than adjustable, at least once rates come back down from their current high.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">While no one has a crystal ball, rates appear to be coming down in the short term, but all signs point toward persistently higher interest rates in the long term.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"hero-block_62ee867235a1c\" class=\"first:mt-0 hero-block    has-background has-slate-300-background-color has-text-color has-slate-800-color\">\n<div class=\"gap-10 lg:gap-20 flex flex-wrap lg:flex-nowrap max-w-screen-xl mx-auto px-4 relative lg:items-center \">\n<div class=\"relative z-30 lg:w-2\/3 \">\n<main class=\"py-4\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-theme-slate-color has-text-color has-large-font-size\"><strong>Close MORE deals in LESS time for LESS money <\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"my-3 md:my-5 lg:my-8 has-theme-slate-color has-text-color\" style=\"font-size:16px\"><em>Wealth without Cash<\/em> will fully prepare you to find off-market leads, uncover sellers\u2019 motivations, negotiate with confidence, close more deals, build a team, and much more.\u00a0This book by Pace Morby has everything you need to become a millionaire investor without utilizing your own capital.<\/p>\n<p><\/main>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"lg:w-1\/3 first:mt-0 relative h-full lg:flex lg:items-center\">\n<picture decoding=\"async\" class=\"object-cover w-full relative z-20 my-0  rounded-md hidden lg:block sp-no-webp\" title=\"Will A Struggling U.S. Dollar Impact Real Estate Investors? 2\"><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/WWC_Cover-Flat-1-scaled.webp \" type=\"image\/webp\"><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/WWC_Cover-Flat-1-scaled.jpg\" type=\"image\/jpeg\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/WWC_Cover-Flat-1-scaled.jpg\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"object-cover w-full relative z-20 my-0  rounded-md hidden lg:block sp-no-webp\" title=\"Will A Struggling U.S. Dollar Impact Real Estate Investors? 2\" alt=\"WWC Cover Flat 1 scaled\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/WWC_Cover-Flat-1-scaled.jpg\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"italic\"><b>Note By BiggerPockets:<\/b> These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/will-a-struggling-us-dollar-impact-real-estate-investors\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this article Every great empire that has come before the United States has eventually fallen. Some have fallen at least somewhat gracefully, like Great Britain. Others, like ancient Rome, well, not so much.\u00a0 As I write these words, more and more ink has been spilled regarding the looming threat to the American-led world order. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7285"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7285\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7286,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7285\/revisions\/7286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/imsfund.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}