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Huge Opportunity for New Multifamily Investors

Huge Opportunity for New Multifamily Investors


Multifamily real estate has crashed, but we’re not at the bottom yet. With more debt coming due, expenses rising, incomes falling, and owners feeling desperate, there’s only so much longer that these high multifamily prices can last. Over the past year, expert multifamily investors like Brian Burke and Matt Faircloth have been sitting and waiting for a worthwhile deal to pop up, but after analyzing hundreds of properties, NOTHING would work. How bad IS the multifamily market right now?

Brian and Matt are back on the podcast to give their take on the multifamily real estate market. Brian sees a “day of reckoning” coming for multifamily owners as low-interest debt comes due, banks get desperate to be paid, and investors run out of patience. On the other hand, Matt is a bit more optimistic but still thinks price cuts are coming as inexperienced and overconfident investors get pushed out of the market. So, how does this information help you build wealth?

In this episode, Brian and Matt share the state of the 2024 multifamily market, explain exactly what they’ve been doing to find deals, and give their strategy for THIS year that you can copy to scoop up real estate deals at a steep discount. Wealth is built in the bad markets, so don’t skip out on this one!

Dave:
Hey, everyone. Welcome to the BiggerPockets Podcast Network. I’m your host today, Dave Meyer, and we are going to be digging into the state of multifamily in 2024. And to talk about this really important topic, we’re bringing on two of the best in the business. Honestly, these two investors are guys I’ve been following for most of my career. They’re people I look up to. And I promise, you are going to learn a lot from each of them. The first is Matt Faircloth. You’ve probably heard him on this podcast before, you’ve been listening for a while. He’s the owner of the DeRosa Group. He’s a BiggerPockets Bootcamp instructor. He wrote a book called Raising Private Capital, and knows a ton about real estate investing. The other is Brian Burke, who is the president and CEO of Praxis Capital. He has been investing for a long time, over 30 years, and he has bought and sold over 4,000 multifamily units.
So if you guys want to learn about what’s going on in the multifamily market, these two are the people you want to be listening to. And the reason we want to talk about multifamily right now is because it’s facing market conditions that are very different than the residential market. If you paid attention in 2023, the residential market was flat. There wasn’t a lot going on in terms of sales volumes, but things chugged along, and honestly outperformed a lot of expectations.
But when you look at the multifamily market, things are very different. Prices have dropped anywhere from 10 to 20%, depending on where you are in the country. And this obviously creates risk for multifamily investors. But the question is, does it also create opportunity in 2024 to buy at a discount and get some great value? So that’s what we’re going to jump into with Brian and Matt today. So with no further ado, let’s bring them on.
We are, of course, here today to talk about the multifamily market. And so Brian, I’d love just to have your summary first of all about what was going on in the multifamily market in 2023.

Brian:
Well, nothing good was going on in the multifamily market in 2023. I always say that there’s a good time to buy, there’s a good time to sell, and there’s a good time to sit on the beach. And so this beach here in the background is just really a demonstration that I live by what I say, and I actually put my money where my mouth is. There’s really no reason to invest in real estate in 2023. It’s just better to be on the beach or play golf, which is what I think I’m going to do after I get done recording this podcast. Because I’m not really paying that close of attention to making acquisitions right now, because there’s just no reason to. 2023, I think, was a year of challenge when you had a bid-ask spread between buyers and sellers, where nobody could get on the same page. Buyers wanted to pay less than sellers are willing to take, and sellers wanted more than buyers were willing to pay. And there was no bridging that impasse, and I don’t think that 2024 is going to look much different, frankly.

Dave:
Matt, what do you think? Would you concur?

Matt:
Well, it’s easy when you’re Brian Burke to say, “I’m going to just chill out and not do anything.” But it’s through no harm in trying that we didn’t do anything, either. We worked really hard to try and do deals last year. But Brian’s correct, the bid-ask spread was too far apart for most deals to get done. And those that I saw do mid-size multifamily deals, which is just what we are targeting and what Brian’s targeting as well, those that were targeting those kinds of deals and that got them likely overpaid. If you look at where the market is now, and you look at where things are starting to settle down, I think that we hit the peak in 2023 of the market. I’m not sure if Brian disagrees with me on that one or not, but I think that the market hit its apex. And it’s tough to do deals when that’s happening.
And so now on our way back down, we really spent 2023 tightening up our company. We made a lot of hires, changed a lot of things around, and tried really hard to get deals done. Didn’t. Just through no harm in trying, but just the numbers weren’t there. What sellers were asking and what properties were trading for. Other people were buying these properties, just not us. It just didn’t make sense. Didn’t pencil out. Would not have achieved anywhere near the investor returns that we wanted to see. So we tried, but we didn’t. We struck out last year. And I don’t think that’s going to happen this year, though.

Brian:
Matt and I did a podcast in August together on On the Market, and if you remember, we had a pact to disagree with one another. So I’ll start it off this time. I’m going to disagree with Matt’s 2023 calling the top. I think the top was actually in 2022. And so we started selling in 2021, and continued selling into the early part of 2022, and then I think the market started to fall. So while Matt was out digging for needles in haystacks, he could have been out here on the beach with me the whole time. Come on, man.

Matt:
I could have been joining Brian on the beach, but I’m stubborn. I kept trying to get deals done. And Brian ended up, I’m not going to say this very often on the show, but Brian was right, that there was not deals to be had. And maybe the market did peak in 2022, but I still think that there were a lot of stragglers, a lot of lasts of the Mohicans, so to speak, for folks trying to get deals done, Brian, in 2023. And I mean, we got bid out on a lot of deals, so there are still people that are literally trying to force a square peg into a round hole with a very big hammer, trying to hammer that square peg into that round hole to make deals work. And a lot of deals fell out, but they still went under contract, and we got beat at the bidding table. So I, again, don’t think that’s going to happen moving forward, though.

Dave:
So let’s dig into that a little bit, Matt. You said that things were not penciling. You were trying to bid.

Matt:
Yep.

Dave:
Prices are starting to come down in multifamily from 2022 until now. What about the dynamics of the market makes you want to bid less than you would have in 2022 or 2023, and what is preventing deals from penciling?

Matt:
Well, it’s very simple, in that unless you’re going to go and do a deal and just buy it straight cash, you’re going to have to borrow money. And the cost of money. The cost of money has gotten much more expensive. In some cases, it’s doubled if not more, meaning a 3.5, 4% interest rate is now getting bid at 8% on a bridge loan, if not more. And so that same deal that would’ve maybe made fiscal sense to a degree, maybe even would’ve been pushing the envelope at debt quotes of 2020, 2021 is now subject to debt numbers in the 6, 7, 8, 9% range today. So that’s the main thing that makes the numbers not pencil.
In addition to that, I think that we were getting beat by folks that were underwriting to 2021 and 2022’s rent increased numbers, saying, “Well,” let’s say Phoenix, Arizona or a market that’s seen a lot of rent growth, and I’m not throwing shade at Phoenix, I’m just saying that market has seen a lot of rent growth. And so if I underwrite a deal, assuming… and you know what happens when you assume, right… That rent growth in Phoenix is going to continue, it may be that deal pencils out, but we weren’t willing to do that. And we felt like rent had capped, and the data now shows that it has, but we were assuming that it had six months ago.
And so you go in with new numbers for debt, and not numbers for rent expansion, it’s not going to pencil. Now again, other folks are making other assumptions. And when you underwrite a deal, you have to make certain assumptions. We were making more conservative ones, and that added up to the numbers coming in at best case, 10% below what the seller was asking. But the deals were still trading at or around asking up until recently.

Dave:
All right, Matt, so as you’ve said, the price of debt and borrowing money has made deals really difficult to pencil in 2023. Now we got to take a quick break, but when we come back, Brian, I want to hear if you agree with Matt’s analysis.
Brian, what about you? You said that you basically sat out 2023. If you weren’t looking at deals, were there any macro indicators or anything that you periodically peeked in on to know it’s not even worth looking at individual deals at this time?

Brian:
Yeah. We’ve been following it pretty closely to see when the right time is to get back in. And Matt’s right. I mean, God, I hate to say that. Matt’s right, but the cost of debt has definitely been a factor in why deals haven’t been trading. There’s no doubt about that, but it goes beyond just the cost of debt. It’s the cost of the entire capital stack. Even equity, when you think about it, three years ago, investors were trying to find places to put their money. And they were getting a quarter of a percent in a savings account. So these alternative real estate investments looked pretty darn good. Well, now they can get 5.5 in a money market. And so taking on a bunch of additional risk to maybe start out at 3% cash-on-cash return, if you can even find a deal that throws that off in year one, followed by maybe getting up to 6, 7, or 8% cash-on-cash return in a few years, the risk premium just isn’t there.
So it’s more difficult for investors to fund these kinds of deals. So I think availability of capital and the cost of the whole capital stack is part of it. The other part of it is expenses are growing. Insurance is getting much more expensive in some markets, utilities are going up, payroll is going up. All of those things are getting more expensive. And then layering on top of that, the income stream isn’t growing. And really, the reason that people were paying so much money for income streams, which is really what we’re buying. Yes, we’re buying real estate, but the reason we’re buying the real estate is because it throws off an income stream. Income streams were growing and growing rapidly a few years ago, but now they’re not doing that. Income streams are shrinking, rents are declining, vacancies are increasing. As we see some trouble in the job market, we’ll probably see increases in delinquency.
At the same time expenses are going up, interest rates are going up, the whole cost of capital is going up, so you just can’t pay as much for a shrinking income stream as you could pay for a growing one. So really, what this whole thing comes down to is price. You can make any deal out there work at the right price. And the problem that we’re seeing is that sellers want to price the assets they want to sell based upon the things they were seeing in the market two or three years ago, and that just isn’t reality.
So what am I looking at, Dave, in terms of indicators? I’m looking at more of the psychology than I am specific numerical indicators that are very easy to quantify. I want to see when people start hating on real estate. Then that’s going to be when it starts to get interesting. When you start to see more foreclosures, that’s going to be when it’s going to be interesting, especially if no one’s bidding on them. When you see pessimism about the economy, it’s going to get more interesting. That’s what I’m looking for. I’m not looking for, “Oh, rates have to hit X, and rent growth has to hit Y.” And while certainly, those factors will make it easier to quantify future income streams, that isn’t telling me exactly when I think we’ve hit bottom.

Matt:
Well said. I still have perhaps just more optimism. I’m not sure Brian’s familiar with the term, but I have optimism for 2024, with regards to where things are going to go. Did we hit the bottom? No, but I think that we’re going to see more things. And we even were starting to see more opportunities open towards the end of Q4 of last year. There was one deal that we looked at that was being sold for lower than what the seller paid for it. The seller paid 90,000 a door for it. Two years ago, it was on sale for 75,000 a door, pretty much what they owed on it. And this is a seller that bit off way more than they could chew, bought way more than what they could handle, and just needed to unload. And they were end up cutting a lot of their equity.
That was the beginning of what I think we’re going to see more of that. But you’ve got to have a really small haystack if you want to find a needle. And so our company’s only hunting in a few markets. And we were starting to see a few distressed deals show up in those markets, and I think it’s an indicator of what we’re going to see more of this year.

Dave:
One of the things I keep wondering about is when this distress is going to come, because it seems like people have been talking about it for a long time.

Matt:
Yeah.

Dave:
You barely go a day without a top media outlet talking about the impending commercial real estate collapse, and how much commercial real estate mortgages are coming due. But it hasn’t really happened. Matt, it sounds like you’re starting to see a little bit.

Matt:
Yeah.

Dave:
But let me just ask you this. Are you surprised that there hasn’t been more distress to this point?

Matt:
Well, let’s comment on that. Because they’re our lovely friends in the media. And Dave, I just commend you, because you’ve done a great job on this show, and on your outlets and on your Instagram channel as well, in breaking down a lot of the reports that we see on the real estate market in the media. So there’s a lot of media about “This pending tidal wave of less commercial real estate that’s going to be with all this debt that’s coming due.” Okay, that’s true, that there is a lot of debt that’s coming due. That properties are performing at lower interest rates, 3, 4, or 5% interest rates. And those properties are cash flowing or just getting by now, and then those rates are going to reset, right? That’s what they’re saying is those rates are not going to go from 3, 4, 5% up to 6, 7, 8%. True.
The thing that they leave out there in a lot of those articles or in folks that are screaming that from the mountaintop is that most of that debt is retail and office. And that’s not a space that Brian and I are in, and I don’t want to be in retail and office. There’s enough to do in the multifamily space, and in a new space that we’re trying on. That’s not like retail shopping centers and office space. So we do believe there’s benefit in other asset classes, but not there. Multifamily is starting to see some shifts, but I don’t think it’s going to be a “blood in the street” kind of thing like a lot of folks are predicting, like a lot of media is predicting it’s going to be. There’s not enough debt that’s in distress that’s going to come due. The number that I saw was something like Bloomberg issued an article, 67 billion in debt that’s marked as distressed.
The thing is, that sounds like a lot of money, but it’s not. Compared to the amount of debt that’s in all multifamily. So 67 billion in multifamily debt is marked as distressed. But in the trillions in multifamily debt that’s out there, that is a smidge. And so what I think that we’re going to see is the strategic outlets of bad debt and deals that are going to get released to the market. But is it going to create a crazy market correction? No, I don’t think so. I think over time, cap rates are going to go up and sellers are going to have to get real. But I disagree with Brian that there’s going to be this panic in the multifamily market, and that it’s going to become a space of bad emotion of “You know what? Multifamily, forget that. I don’t want to be in that market.” And that’s when you really want to buy anything you can get your hands on.
But I think that the opportunity is going to be in niches of markets. Meaning if I choose Phoenix as a market, I want to target, me just really drilling in on that market and then finding the opportunities, maybe the broker’s pocket listings or the off-the-market stuff that is going to be passed around to a small circle. I think that’s where good deals are going to be had, is inside of market niches.

Dave:
And Brian, it sounds like you think there might be more of an inflection point where distress hits a certain level and things start to accelerate downwards, I would say?

Brian:
Well, I think I would say not quite those extreme set of terms, but I saw an article recently, it was talking about Atlanta, Georgia, right? Atlanta, Georgia is a big multifamily market. There’s lots of multifamily units in Atlanta, Georgia. And it was somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 or 40% of the properties in Atlanta had loans maturing in the next two years. And a large percentage of those that have loans maturing in the next two years were loans that were originated in this height of the market period of 2020 through 2022. And so those were bought at very high valuations.
Valuations now are lower. And when those loans come due, there’s going to be some kind of a reckoning. Something has to happen. Either capital has to be injected into those deals, or the deals will end up selling or getting foreclosed. And 30% is a big number. And certainly, not all of those are going to wind up in some kind of a distress, but that would be a major market mover, if 30% of the properties started going into foreclosure. And that would cause a cascade of negative effects in properties that weren’t experiencing loan maturities.
Do I think that’s going to happen and play out that way? Not really. What I think is more likely is that there’s going to be a lot of these loans that are going to end up trading behind the scenes, where large private equity is going to come in, absorb the loans, buy them at a discount, and then ultimately, either they’ll foreclose and take the properties and they’ll get them at really good basis. Or they’ll sell them at current market value, and probably make a profit based on the spread between the price they purchased the loan for and the price they sold the asset for, which will, by the way, be a lot less than what that asset sold for when it was bought by the current owner. We had a deal that we sold a couple of years ago, and the current owner is trying to sell. And I calculated based upon their asking price, it’s a $17 million loss in two years.
So the distress has already begun to happen. Prices have already fallen. Whether or not people realize it or can quantify it yet, I don’t know, because there just hasn’t been a lot of transaction volume. So maybe it’s being swept under the rug, where people are like, “Oh, the market’s not going to crash.” No, I’m sorry to tell you, it’s already crashed. Prices coming down, 20 to 30% has already happened. The question is going to be, do they come down another 10 or 20%? And that’s what I’m waiting to see play out, whether or not that happens. Because one could easily argue, “Oh, prices are down 23%. It’s a great time to buy.” It is, unless there’s still more downward movement. So what I want to see is I want to see that those prices have troughed, and that they’re not going to continue to slide downwards before I’m ready to get in. I’d rather get in once they’ve started to climb and maybe miss the bottom, than to get in while they’re still falling and then have to ride the bottom.

Matt:
Rather not catch a falling knife. Right?

Brian:
Exactly.

Matt:
Yeah. The data that I’m reading, I mean, man, that sounds crazy for Atlanta. That means, first of all, I’m just going to throw it back at you, what you just said, what I heard, 30% of Atlanta traded in the last three years, right? That’s a lot of real estate. And that means that 30% of Atlanta is in a distressed position.

Brian:
Yeah, 30% of the outstanding multifamily debt is maturing in the next two years. That doesn’t necessarily mean that they traded. They might’ve refinanced, but 30% of the debt is maturing in the next two years.

Matt:
Yeah. Here’s what I’ve read, right? Not everybody is scrappy syndicators like you and me, right? There’s way larger corporations than mine and yours that own thousands and thousands of doors, and these guys are putting in loans backed by insurance companies going in at 50, 55% loan-to-value on their properties, because they’ve owned them. These are legacy assets they’ve owned for way more than 5, 10. They’re buy and hold forever kind of companies. And the data that I’ve seen are that those companies are going to be just fine. That if they end up having to take a little bit of a haircut on valuation, their LTV is so low that, “Oh, I can’t refi out at 55. I’ll have to refi up to 60 or 75.”

Dave:
So I just want to say something about the 30% number, because that number is actually not that high to me. Because if you think about the average length of a commercial loan, I don’t know if you guys know, what’s the average length of your term on commercial debt?

Matt:
Five to seven years.

Brian:
Or 7 to 10.

Matt:
Wait, wait, wait, hang on. You got bridge debt in there, Brian, and stuff like that. So I think that the bridge two-to-three-year product may pull down the 5-to-10-

Brian:
Fair enough.

Matt:
… agency. So meet me at five. You accept my terms [inaudible 00:21:43] percentage.

Brian:
All right, I’ll meet you there. You got it. I got it. Five it is.

Matt:
The answer is five.

Dave:
Okay, if five is the average debt, then doesn’t that reason in the next two years, 40% of loans should be due? Because if they come up once every five years, right?

Matt:
I’m going to let Brian answer that one.

Brian:
Yeah, well, the problem is that the debt is coming due at a really bad time. Certainly debt is always mature. That happens all the time, but how often does debt mature that was taken out when prices were very high and is maturing at a time when prices are very low? That’s the disease. It isn’t as much the percentage of loans, it’s the timing and the market conditions upon which those loans were originated, versus when they mature. That’s the problem.

Dave:
I totally agree with that. I just want our listeners to not be shocked by this number of 30%, and that it’s some unusual thing. Because if you consider five to seven years being the average debt, then always, somewhere between 28 and 40% of debt is always coming due in the next two years. So it’s just something to keep things in perspective.

Matt:
I think it’s somewhat of a shocker number, right, Dave? It is one of those things where it’s like, “We’re at 40%.” And it makes people say, “Oh my goodness, that’s so much debt.”

Dave:
And I actually think, I read something that I also think actually, that number might be low. It might be higher in the next few years, because it sounds like a lot of operators were able to extend their loans for a year or two based on their initial terms, but those extensions might be running out. And so to Brian’s point, we’re getting some really distressed or bad situations coming due at an inopportune time.

Matt:
Here’s what I’m hearing. Brian and I are plugged into very lovely rumor mills, and have lots of other friends in the industry. So here’s what the coconut telegraph is telling us that I hear, anyway. Banks are doing workouts. They don’t want these things back, although they’re very pragmatic and very dollars-and-cents-oriented. And if you owe $15 million on a property that is now worth seven, the bank’s probably going to say, “Yeah, probably going to need to go and take that thing back and collect as many of our chips as we can.” But if you are in the middle of a value-add program and you’ve got some liquidity, and you’re doing what you can do, what I’m hearing is that banks are doing workouts. And this is on floating rate bridge deals, right? That’s the toxicity that’s in the market, these bridge deals. It’s not so much someone that’s got an agency loan. That they’ve had interest rate locked for the last five years and they got a refi. That person’s going to figure it out.
I’m talking about this bridge loan that they bought two years ago on an asset that they needed to do a ginormous value-add program on, and try and double the value of the property in a year or two, and it didn’t work out, right? I’m hearing banks are doing workouts and they’re allowing people, they’re negotiating. Brian, that’s what I’m hearing. You probably heard this, too. They’re being somewhat negotiable on the rate caps, which are these awful things that are really causing a lot of strain on a lot of owners is these rate cap, which just an insurance policy you got to buy to keep your rate artificially lower than what it really is. I’ve heard that there’s that.
And I’ve heard that the banks are cooperating with owners that can show that they’re doing the right thing. And they’re not so far into the hole that there’s no light at the end of the tunnel. Brian, I’m curious what you’re hearing on that. And again, this is my inner optimist. I am not sure if you want to access that part of the outlook or not. You’re more than welcome to give me the other view.

Brian:
Yeah, the other view is that they can postpone this stuff all they want, but what they can’t eliminate is the day of reckoning. Sooner or later, something has to happen. They either have to refi, they have to sell, they have to foreclose. Something is going to have to happen sooner or later. Because even if the borrowers have to pay higher interest rates and delay rate caps, sooner or later, the borrowers run out of cash. And then the borrowers have to go to their investors and say, “Can you contribute more cash?”
And the investors are going, “I’m not throwing any more good dollars after bad. No way. I’m not sending you any money.” And then something has to happen. The lenders can do what they can do initially, but then the lenders will start getting pressure. And so here’s what a lot of people don’t realize is that lenders aren’t loaning their own money. Lenders are loaning other people’s money as well. And that might be money that they’re borrowing from a warehouse line, money that they’ve raised from investors, money that they’re getting from depositors. Wherever that money comes from, they might be getting pressure, saying, “You got to get this stuff off your books. You’re not looking so good.” Regulators are putting on pressure. So eventually, lenders have to say, “We can’t just kick the can down the road forever. Something’s got to give.” And that day has to come.

Dave:
Brian, you seem very convinced that the writing is on the wall and a day of reckoning is coming, but Matt, you seem to be more of an optimist. So I’m curious to hear from you. Do you see the same thing? But before we get into that, we have to hear a quick word from our show sponsors.

Matt:
There are a lot of folks that believe that the Feds saying that they were going to cut rates three times this year that read that. I mean, I talked to one person and said, “Well, they said three, so that probably means nine, right?” Like “What?” We’re not going back to the party time of interest rates being 2.5, 3%. That’s not going to happen again. And if the Fed really does cut rates three times, it’s going to be a dent compared to what they’ve done already. So there are folks that believe that by banks cooperating with borrowers, that will allow some time for rates to get down to where the borrower needs them to be. Probably back down to 3.5, 4%. I don’t think that’s going to happen.

Brian:
Okay, I’ll take that.

Matt:
Oh, what you got?

Brian:
I’ll take on that argument. So you’re saying that interest rates aren’t going to get back down to 2%. I agree with you. Now, when interest rates were at 2%, people were buying multifamily properties and all kinds of commercial real estate at extraordinarily high prices. And those high prices means that they were low cap rates. And cap rate is a mathematical formula that’s used to take the temperature of the market. Some people say, “Oh, a 4% cap rate means you get a 4% return.” That’s hogwash. We can have a whole show on that. But the bottom line is that very low cap rates, this mathematical formula that we’re talking about, it means that the market is extraordinarily hot. The market is not extraordinarily hot anymore.
So a 4% cap rate, that’s now a 6% cap rate, what that means is that’s a 2% difference. Doesn’t sound like much, but going from a 4 to a 6 is a 50% haircut in value. Mathematically speaking, you have to cut the price of the property by 50% for the income to go from a 4% cap rate to a 6% cap rate. And that’s what we’re seeing now. So when these loans finally do come due, and the property is worth half of what it was at the time the loan was originated, what may happen? The lender is really going to force their hand when the value can climb just high enough for the lender to get their money back. They don’t care about the owner, they don’t care about the borrower. They don’t care about the investors that put their hard-earned money into that deal. All the lender wants is their money back. And as soon as that moment comes, the bank is suddenly going to become that much less cooperative.
And when that happens, that’s the day of reckoning. It has to happen sooner or later. Now don’t get me wrong. I mean, I have a lot of this pessimism and stuff, but fundamentally, the fundamentals of housing are extraordinarily sound. People need to have a place to live. There’s a housing shortage across the US. Right now, there’s a little bit of a glut of construction. That’s going to work its way out, because nobody can afford to get a construction loan right now. Banks aren’t lending. Pretty soon, all the new deliveries are going to stop. The fundamentals of housing are sound. Housing is a good investment, but timing means something. Buying at the bottom of the market and riding the wave up is so much different of an outcome than if you’re buying before the market is finished falling, and you have to ride through a three or four-year cycle to get right back to even. That just doesn’t work. So I’m bullish for maybe 2025, 2026, 2027, but short-term bullish, no. I can’t get there. The fundamentals are there, but the rest of the equation just doesn’t work yet.

Dave:
So now that we’ve heard your takes on both last year, 2023, and what might happen this year, what advice would you give to investors who want to be in the multifamily market this year?

Matt:
Great question, because unless you’re Brian Burke, you can’t just hang out on the beach and play golf, I mean, in that. So let’s see how Brian handles that one. For what I think that investors should do, if they really want to get into the multifamily market, if they want to get involved in what I think is going to be a changing market, and there will be opportunities that are going to come up, what I believe you should do is to do what we did, which is stay super-market-centric. If it’s Atlanta, because according to Brian, 30% of the multifamilies in Atlanta are going to be refinancing or with debt coming due, just for example, and that’s probably true in most markets, if you stay market-centric, pick a market. Not 2, not 10. A market. And get to know all the brokers in that market. There are deals that are going to come up of that 30% that are likely going to be sold at a significant discount off the market.
Is market pricing where it’s going to be a big solid yes to get in? No, I don’t think it is. I don’t think that the market itself, where all the properties going to be trading or what sellers are going to be asking is going to make sense. So I think that you need to be the riches in the niches, so to speak, to find a market. And then get networked and look for opportunities that may come up. You could also do what we did, which is continue to monitor multifamily, make bids, rebid, something like 280 deals last year, or at least analyzed 280 deals and bid most of those as well.
But we also looked at other asset classes as well. Our company’s looking at everything from flagged hotels, and that is a solid asset class that makes a lot of cashflow, to other asset classes, including loans. Our company’s getting into issuing loans for cashflow. And the bottom line, guys, is whatever you get yourself into this year, it’s got to be a cash-flowing asset. It’s got to be something that produces regular measurable cashflow on a monthly quarterly basis, because cashflow is what got my company, DeRosa Group, through 2008, ’09, ’10. And it’s what’s going to get folks through 2014, ’15, and into the future, is cash-flowing assets. And not 2, 3, 4% cashflow. Significant, high-single-digit cashflow is what you’re going to need to go after. So that’s what I say you pursue.

Brian:
All right, well, challenge accepted, Matt. So not everybody has to sit on the beach for the next year. I can’t make that claim. I might, and I might not. There might be some opportunities out there to buy this year.

Matt:
You’re too itchy, man. But I don’t see you sitting on the beach.

Brian:
Yeah, probably not.

Matt:
You’re going to be doing it, too.

Brian:
I got to do something. I got to do something. There’s no doubt about that. So here’s my thoughts on this are, if you’re just getting started in real estate investing or you’re just getting started in multifamily, you actually have an advantage over Matt and myself. And that may seem awful interesting to make that claim, but here’s why I say that. I think that you’re going to find more opportunity in small multifamily now than you will in large multi. Now I’m not going to go out and buy anything less than a hundred units. For our company, it just doesn’t make sense to do that. Matt is probably somewhere in that zone, too. We’re not out in the duplex, fourplex, 10-unit, 20-unit space.
But if you’re new to multi, that’s really where you should start, anyway. You want to get that experience and that knowledge, and figure out how it works. That helps you build an investor base. It helps you build broker relationships. And frankly, in that space, in those small multi space, I think that’s where the needles are going to be found in the haystacks. Because it’s the small deals where you have the mom and pop landlords, that quintessential, as they’ve called, the tired landlord that wants to get out. That’s where the people are searching eviction records to talk to the owner to see, “Hey, I see you have all these evictions. Do you want to sell? Because it’s a pain in the neck.”
And people are like, “Yeah, I’m out.” You’ve got retiring owners that want to get out. That’s where you’re going to find opportunity in my view. I don’t think you’re going to find opportunity in 100 and 200-unit deals, because number one, those buyers are very sophisticated, generally well-capitalized. But even if they’re not, they’ve got sophisticated lenders, they’ve got all kinds of challenges, prices are down. They probably haven’t owned them all that long. They have a ton of equity, versus the mom and pop landlord that’s owned it for 50 years that has the thing paid off. They could even maybe give you seller financing.
If you want to get started, I would suggest getting started right now on two things. One, build your business. Build your systems, build your investor base, build your broker relationships, because those are all things there’s plenty of time to do. Brokers will return your calls right now, because no one else is calling them. You might as well give them a call. Build that stuff now, because when you are busy and the market is taking off, you’re going to be running a hundred miles an hour with your hair on fire. There’s going to be no time to do that.
The other thing, build all of your systems. Get together your underwriting system, learn how to underwrite. Take Matt’s classes and BP’s seminars, and all this different stuff. Learn how to analyze deals and get ready. And then go out and look for smaller multi, where all the deals are. That’s going to be a great way to start. Then when all the big multi comes back in a year, two, three, however long it takes, you’ll be more ready for that, because you’ll have all this experience and you’ll have all the systems. You’ll have the relationships. And I think that’s really the play right now.

Matt:
Well said.

Dave:
So Matt, tell us just briefly, what are you going to do in 2024?

Matt:
Great question. What DeRosa Group, our company, is going to do is we’re going to continue to monitor multifamily in the markets we’re already invested in, so we can continue to scale out geographically in those geographic markets. We’re going to pursue new asset classes. Like I said, flagged hotels is an asset class that we’re going after aggressively. And we also have a fund that just puts money into hard money, just a debt fund. That’s just an easy way to turn money around and produce easy cash flow. So we’re keeping our investors’ funds moving in other asset classes, while we monitor multifamily very, very closely, continue to bid it, and hope that we find something that makes fiscal sense for our investors.

Dave:
And what about you, Brian? Is it just golf this year?

Brian:
Yeah, I’m not that good of a golfer. So I’d like to say that, yeah, I could just play golf all year, but I’m really not that good. So I think, no, we’ll do more than that. Just like Matt, we are watching the multifamily market extremely closely. We’re looking for the signs and signals that we’ve reached the bottom, and it’s time to invest. Meanwhile, we’re investing in real estate debt. We have a debt fund where we’ve been buying loans that are secured by real estate to professional real estate investors. I think right now, the play for us is we’re more of watching out for downside risk than trying to push upside. So that’s going to be our play for 2024. And then as soon as we see the right signal, then it’s full speed ahead on searching for upside again.

Dave:
All right. Well, thank you both so much for joining us. We really appreciate your insights and your friendly debates here. Hopefully, we’ll have you both back on in a couple of months to continue this conversation.

Brian:
Can’t wait.

Dave:
On the Market was created by me, Dave Meyer and Kailyn Bennett. The show is produced by Kailyn Bennett, with editing by Exodus Media. Copywriting is by Calico Content. And we want to extend a big thank you to everyone at BiggerPockets for making this show possible.

 

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Mortgage demand surges more than 10% as lower interest rates lure homebuyers

Mortgage demand surges more than 10% as lower interest rates lure homebuyers


Prospective home buyers visit a home for sale during an Open House in a neighborhood in Clarksburg, Maryland on September 3, 2023. Homeownership feels increasingly out of reach for younger generations of Americans, who are squeezed by student debt and childcare costs in an era of slower economic growth. The pressures come as President Joe Biden struggles to tackle negative sentiment about his handling of the economy, as he campaigns for re-election. (Photo by ROBERTO SCHMIDT / AFP) (Photo by ROBERTO SCHMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)

Roberto Schmidt | Afp | Getty Images

Another drop in mortgage interest rates caused a run on loans last week. Total mortgage application volume jumped 10.4%, compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) decreased to 6.75% from 6.81%, with points increasing to 0.62 from 0.61 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment. That was the lowest rate in three weeks.

“Mortgage rates declined across all loan types as Treasury yields moved lower last week on incoming inflation data, which helped to support a rise in mortgage applications,” said Joel Kan, vice president and deputy chief economist at the MBA.

Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home rose 9% for the week but were 20% lower than the same week one year ago. Mortgage rates were about half a percentage point (52 basis points) higher one year ago. Buyers, however, appeared to be enticed by the recent drop in rates.

At an open house in Detroit on Saturday, buyers braved the cold and snow to tour a renovated home that had just gone on the market. The four-bedroom, three-bathroom home was listed at $254,500, a little more than half the national median price but more than twice the Detroit median price. Nakita Bell, who is currently renting in Detroit, said the recent drop in rates prompted her to consider buying.

“I know I’m never going to get 4%, but what I don’t want is 9,10, 11 and 12%. It is not a credit card, it’s a house,” said Bell.

Lower rates are also giving some current homeowners an opportunity to save money. Applications to refinance a home loan increased 11% compared with the previous week and were 10% higher than the same week a year ago. While the vast majority of current borrowers have rates lower than those offered today, the recent drop is still having some effect on those whose loans carry higher rates.

Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:



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Foreclosure Activity Increased in 2023—But What Do the Numbers Mean for Investors?

Foreclosure Activity Increased in 2023—But What Do the Numbers Mean for Investors?


ATTOM’s Year-End 2023 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report shows that foreclosure activity increased last year from 2022 levels, but is this a cause for concern for investors? 

The ATTOM report shows that foreclosure filings, which include default notices, auctions, and repossessions, stood at 357,062, up 10% from 2022 and 136% from 2021. These figures look much less alarming, however, when set in the context of pre-pandemic foreclosure levels. Foreclosure activity in 2023 was still 28% lower than it had been in 2019 and down a massive 88% from its peak in financial crisis-ravaged 2010. 

At its 2010 worst, U.S. foreclosures represented 2.23% of all U.S. housing units. At the end of 2023, this percentage stood at a mere 0.26%, a slight increase from 0.23% in 2022. 

ATTOM CEO Rob Barber commented in a press release that the 2023 rise in foreclosure activity should be viewed as ‘‘a market correction rather than a cause for alarm. It signals a return to more traditional patterns after years of volatility.”

It’s worth remembering that there was a foreclosure moratorium in place on federally-backed mortgage loans between March 2020 and July 31, 2021. This explains why foreclosure activity hit an all-time low of 0.11% of housing units in 2021. Inevitably, once the moratorium ended, foreclosure filings began climbing up. 

What Do the Numbers Mean?

Fortunately, what we’re not seeing is a nationwide wave of foreclosure activity that could signal systemic problems with the housing market and wider economy. Barber is confident that ‘‘while foreclosure activity may fluctuate, it’s unlikely to approach the highs seen in the last decade. Instead, we foresee a market that is more reflective of broader economic trends, with foreclosure filings becoming a more predictable aspect of the housing landscape.’’

Real estate investors on the ground appear to support the view that the rise in foreclosure filings at the current level isn’t worrisome. Yancy Forsythe, owner at Missouri Valley Homes, told BiggerPockets that the rise in foreclosure filings should be interpreted as ‘‘part of a market correction rather than a worrying trend.’’ In addition, while Forsythe is seeing ‘‘a similar trend of rising foreclosures in the Missouri real estate market,’’ it isn’t ‘‘alarming.’’

Still, a rise in foreclosures means that more people are unable to pay their mortgages. Investors should familiarize themselves with regional foreclosure trends. It’s on the regional level that the disparities in housing markets are beginning to show themselves. 

According to the ATTOM data, five states in 2023 saw foreclosure levels actually increase from pre-pandemic levels:

  • Indiana (+73%)
  • Idaho (+70%)
  • Michigan (+15%)
  • Nevada (+10%)
  • Minnesota (+9%) 

However, these weren’t the states with the greatest overall foreclosure numbers. Those were California (29,180 foreclosure starts), Texas (28,533), and Florida (27,427). To put these numbers into context, these are all densely populated states (California has a population of 39 million), whereas Indiana is relatively sparsely populated (population of 6.8 million), and the rise in foreclosure activity here is dramatic. 

Investors need to take note of these numbers because a sharp rise in foreclosure activity means that, on the one hand, local homeowners are really struggling with affordability, and, on the other, they are having a hard time selling. Rachel Blakeman, director of Purdue Fort Wayne’s Community Research Institute, told the Fort Wayne Media Collaborative that in a thriving housing market like Northeast Indiana, ‘‘if you can sense that you’re starting to get behind on your mortgage and you need to get out of the house, you can probably sell the house relatively quickly. Depending on how long you’ve owned the house, you’re probably not underwater.’’

Redfin data for November 2023 shows that while home prices were continuing to grow in Indiana (2.2% year over year), the number of home sales declined by 9.34%. A stagnant housing market, combined with ongoing unaffordability, is bad news for local populations, and it’s not great news for investors. 

The Bottom Line

While foreclosure investing in hot markets can be lucrative, it is much riskier in areas where selling or renting out a property may present challenges. That said, high foreclosure numbers in large states are not to be taken as a sign of an unhealthy housing market. 

Take Florida, for instance. Yes, it is the state with the highest number of foreclosures, according to the ATTOM report. Yet even a rookie investor will know that Florida continues to be an attractive location for investing in real estate. 

Florida is experiencing a population boom, with nine of its largest metros expected to grow 10% or more in the next decade. Demand for Florida homes will continue to outstrip supply. What this means is that even homeowners who find themselves in a foreclosure or pre-foreclosure situation will have no trouble finding a buyer. If someone can’t afford a home in Florida, someone else will buy it.

As the Indiana example demonstrates, there will be housing markets that display different patterns within the same state. Investors should take note of this and only invest in an area with high foreclosures if it is also experiencing a population influx and has a healthy labor market. Before investing in an area, always investigate it for signs of a possible housing market decline: high foreclosure rates, high local unemployment, and high numbers of underwater mortgages.

Ready to succeed in real estate investing? Create a free BiggerPockets account to learn about investment strategies; ask questions and get answers from our community of +2 million members; connect with investor-friendly agents; and so much more.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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Drop in home price appreciation leading to negative home equity: Wedbush’s Jay McCanless

Drop in home price appreciation leading to negative home equity: Wedbush’s Jay McCanless


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Jay McCanless, Wedbush housing analyst, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss how the ‘purchase-centric’ housing market will play out, whether changing yields move the demand for mortgages, and more.

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Thu, Jan 18 202410:45 AM EST



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Should You Sell or Hold? Here’s a Decision-Tree to Help You Decide

Should You Sell or Hold? Here’s a Decision-Tree to Help You Decide


I’ve encountered the question “Should I buy or hold?” on several websites for several years. All I have seen are opinions such as “only hold a property for X years.” Here, I propose a simple process for deciding whether to sell or hold.

First, what should you base your decision on? That’s simple: your investment goal.

Financial Freedom

The goal of real estate investing is financial freedom. However, this requires more than just replacing your current income. Financial freedom requires an income that enables you to maintain your current standard of living for the rest of your life. To maintain your standard of living, you need an income that outpaces inflation.

Each trip to the store costs you more for the same basket of goods. If your rental income doesn’t outpace inflation, you won’t have the extra money to purchase the same items.

This means the decision to sell or hold depends on how the property has performed in the past. I created the following decision tree to simplify the process.

The Bottom Line

Evaluate the property based on whether it will enable you to achieve financial freedom. If rent increases have not outpaced inflation, you know what to do.

Ready to succeed in real estate investing? Create a free BiggerPockets account to learn about investment strategies; ask questions and get answers from our community of +2 million members; connect with investor-friendly agents; and so much more.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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How to use rent-reporting services to build, improve credit

How to use rent-reporting services to build, improve credit


Luis Alvarez | Digitalvision | Getty Images

While rent payments do not traditionally affect your credit, a growing number of so-called rent-reporting services are trying to change that.

These services track users’ rent-paying habits and report them to one or more of the big credit bureaus — Equifax, Experian and TransUnion — with the aim of helping renters build credit and potentially boost their credit score.

But these services don’t all operate the same way, and some may have less value for renters. There’s one major detail you should consider before signing up, said Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree: Is your payment record going to all three bureaus?

“It’s important for people to understand that you don’t just have one credit score,” he said. “You just don’t know which bureau your lender is going to use to get your information.”

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How rent-reporting programs work

This week, real estate site Zillow Group launched a new rent payment reporting feature. Renters who pay through the site can now opt in to have their on-time rent payments reported to Experian, one of the three major credit bureaus, at no charge to the renter or landlord.

In order for a renter to use the Zillow feature, their landlord must be a user of Zillow Rental Manager and have agreed to receive payments through the firm.

“It aligns with our goal of providing accessibility to building credit in the rental space. It’s a really positive step in that direction,” said Michael Sherman, the vice president of rentals at Zillow Group.

Teaching the next gen financial literacy

While Zillow is the first real estate marketplace to report rental payment data to a credit bureau, it joins a host of different rent-reporting services already available for consumers.

There are many services renters can look into, including some that are free, such as Piñata, and others that come with service or processing transaction fees, such as Rental Kharma, which charges $8.95 a month after an initial set-up fee of $75.

There are also services geared to landlords that offer rent reporting for tenants, including ClearNow, Esusu and PayYourRent. Landlords usually shoulder the cost of these programs, but there may be processing fees depending on how you make your rent payments.

Rent reporting can help the ‘credit invisibles’

Nearly 50 million Americans have no usable credit scores, according to a 2022 fact sheet from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s Project REACh, or Roundtable for Economic Access and Change.

Being “credit invisible” can affect your ability to qualify for loans and affect the interest rates and terms you are given when you apply for credit.

When rent payments are included in credit reports, consumers see an average increase of nearly 60 points to their credit score, according to a 2021 TransUnion report.

Other payment reporting programs such as Experian Boost, StellarFi and UltraFICO have aims similar to those of rent-reporting services, but with different kinds of payments. They allow users to build credit based on alternative metrics such as banking activity and payments for streaming services, electric bills and mobile phone plans. 

Talk to your landlord before you sign up for a rent-reporting service on your own. They may be open to signing up as a benefit to their tenants.

While “people are creatures of habit and don’t always embrace change,” a credit building feature can help a landlord stand out in a competitive rental market, said Schulz.

“It would be significant added value; building credit is a big deal and if you are somebody who can help people build credit, you may be a little more interesting to them,” he added.

‘Three credit reports are different reports’



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House Flipping Taxes (The Ultimate Guide for Investors)

House Flipping Taxes (The Ultimate Guide for Investors)


Flipping houses can be extraordinarily profitable, which is one of the reasons why it’s a popular real estate investment strategy.

You go in with a competitive bid, invest some funds making repairs and sprucing up the place, and then sell. It’s rewarding, and when done well, it can be extremely lucrative. 

And while many people know about the potential expenses and risks that come with the actual acquisition, remodeling, and sale of house flipping, some investors are surprised to learn about the taxes involved.

In this guide, we’ll discuss everything you need to know about house flipping taxes, including what to expect, when you’ll pay, and the types of tax you can expect to incur. 

Understanding Tax Implications of House Flipping

Real estate is a capital asset, so profits from home purchases are taxed under capital gains rules when investors purchase a property and do not live in it as their primary residence. 

There are two types of capital gains tax: short term and long term. 

Short-term capital gains taxes are taxed the same as your income tax rate and are for profits on real estate that are held for under a year.

Long-term capital gains taxes are for assets held over a year and are charged at more favorable rates (which may range from 0% to 20%, depending on the bracket your profit falls into).

If charged a capital gains tax, buyers will typically be experiencing short-term capital gains tax, since flippers are often motivated to flip and sell quickly to maximize profit. 

That said, individuals who purchase and remodel real estate for profit on a regular basis—aka house flippers—are classified as “dealers” rather than “investors” by the IRS. Investors typically hold properties for longer, like purchasing a property and renting it out for income for several years. 

Because flippers are often considered “dealers” and not “investors,” they often do not pay capital gains taxes. The properties are considered to be inventory. 

As a result, profits on the sale of these properties are treated as ordinary income and will be subjected to the self-employment tax, which is 15.3% in 2024.

How to know if I’m a dealer or an investor?  

The IRS looks at the following criteria to determine if you’re classified as a dealer or an investor:

  • The frequency and amount of real estate purchases and sales, with dealers having more purchases and sales regularly 
  • Whether the purchase was ever listed as your primary place of residence
  • Whether the property was purchased for the purpose of resale
  • The amount of advertising that went into the property’s sale
  • The extent of improvements made to the property
  • The general activities of the individual flipping and selling the property

If you’re unsure what category you may fit into, you can talk to a licensed certified public accountant (CPA) with real estate experience. 

Pre-Flip Planning and Tax Strategies

Setting up business structures like an LLC or an S-corp can provide different tax benefits for house flippers.

Starting an LLC, for example, can offer multiple tax options while offering a layer of personal liability protection. They also allow for pass-through taxation, which means that the income is declared on your personal return to avoid the “double taxation” that corporations face. 

S-corps are another popular option. There’s a lot more paperwork involved, but they allow you to have “business income,” and you can choose to pay yourself as a W-9 contractor or as a W-2 employee with a salary. If used to regularly flip real estate, profits and losses aren’t treated as capital gains or losses, but as ordinary income. 

If deciding between an LLC vs an S-corp structure, some house flippers choose to set up an LLC that elects to be taxed as an S-corp, which can give you the best of both worlds. 

When in doubt, talk to a trusted advisor or CPA to help you determine what structure is best for you—ideally before you get started. 

During the Flip—Tax Deductions and Credits

Good news for house flippers: You don’t just subtract the purchase price from the sale price and call it a day for taxable income. You can also leverage both tax credits and deductions on house flips that can reduce your overall tax burden. 

Capitalized costs and common deductions for house flippers  

Common deductions and costs associated with running your business include:

  • Expenses from professional services like lawyers, accountants, and consultants  
  • Office expenses, including a lease and office furniture (or, alternatively, a home office deduction if working from home)
  • Costs of software used to manage the business, including invoicing software, contract software, or accounting software

In some cases, the costs to renovate the property may be eligible to serve as business deductions. In many cases, you’ll need to leverage them as capitalized costs, which means that the cost is added to the original value of the property. 

These costs may include:

  • Renovation costs, including materials and labor 
  • Interest on loans taken to acquire the property
  • Property taxes paid during the time of ownership
  • Costs of obtaining permits and inspections
  • Cost of utilities, like electricity and water, which are needed to perform work on the home

Keep careful track of every expense you incur, including receipts and purchase orders. 

Possible tax credits 

Some house flippers may be able to take advantage of tax credits, which is a dollar-for-dollar amount they can claim on their returns to lower the amount of taxes paid.

The most common tax credits flippers may experience are energy-efficient improvements. Examples include:

  • Adding owned solar panels to a home
  • Adding a heat pump to an air conditioning unit
  • Upgrading to more energy-efficient appliances 

The Tax Events of a House Flip

The biggest tax events of a house flip are at the point of sale and the 1031 exchange.

Point of sale 

When you sell a property you’ve flipped, you’ll need to keep track of the profit and likely pay taxes on it. You only pay taxes on the income when the goods (aka the property) is sold. 

With a point of sale, you’ll subtract the original sales price from your resale price. That’s your gross profit, which you’ll declare on your income taxes if capital gains and losses don’t apply to your business. Business deductions will then be calculated and can reduce total tax owed. 

1031 exchange

Section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code allows taxpayers in certain circumstances to defer recognition of capital gains—and its related liability on your federal income tax on the exchange of certain types of property in what’s appropriately called a 1031 exchange

A 1031 exchange, however, primarily applies to investors, not dealers, meaning the home was held primarily for sale as opposed to a long-term investment. 

If you do flip a house and leverage it as a rental property for an extended period of time, however, a 1031 exchange may be an option. 

Filing Taxes After a House Flip

When filing taxes after a house flip, there are a few things to keep in mind. 

First: You’ll report all income paid in the previous year on your annual return. You may need to file a business and personal return if you’ve incorporated. In the U.S., everyone needs to file a federal return, though many states also require you to pay state income taxes. 

When your annual return is filed, you will be expected to pay whatever is owed that hasn’t been paid throughout the year, with the infamous deadline falling on April 15 most years. 

You can file your personal return with Form 1040. Business return forms depend on your incorporation structure. 

You may also need to pay quarterly estimated payments throughout the year, which you’ll ideally pay through the year to pay self-employment tax. You’ll need to pay if you’re expected to owe $1,000 or more when your return is filed, or $500 or more if you’re a corporation. Quarterly taxes are typically owed on days around the 15th in the following months:

  • April 
  • June
  • September
  • January

You can pay quarterly estimated payments with Form 1040-ES

If you must pay capital gains taxes, you’ll typically need to pay that tax after you sell the asset, though it may only become fully due when you file your annual return. You may be required to pay quarterly estimated taxes. 

State-Specific Considerations

As discussed, federal taxes apply to all house flippers, but individual states may have their own tax laws, too. It’s important to keep these in mind. Each state may also have their own income requirements. 

Connecticut, for example, has a graduated individual tax with ranges from 3% to 6.99%, depending on your income bracket. They also have a 7.5% corporate income tax rate. 

States like Florida, New Hampshire, and Wyoming, meanwhile, do not charge personal income taxes. Some of these states do have corporate tax rates, however; Florida has a corporate tax rate of 5.5%

Leveraging Professional Help

Flipping houses can be complex, and it’s no surprise that taxes on flipping houses can be equally complex. For this reason, we strongly recommend working with an experienced CPA. 

A CPA can advise you about the benefits of different incorporation options and ensure that you’re paying all the taxes owed when you need to. And in many cases, CPAs can save you more than what you pay them by finding potential deductions while avoiding penalties. 

For best results, we strongly recommend opting for CPAs with real estate investment experience

Final Thoughts

Taking the time to ensure that you’re paying the right taxes when they’re owed is essential for house flippers. No one wants to find out they owe an extra $10,000 (plus penalties) when April rolls around. 

When you’re ready to start flipping houses, make sure you consider how you want your business to operate. That will determine what types of taxes you pay, how much, and when.

Dreading tax season?

Not sure how to maximize deductions for your real estate business? In The Book on Tax Strategies for the Savvy Real Estate Investor, CPAs Amanda Han and Matthew MacFarland share the practical information you need to not only do your taxes this year—but to also prepare an ongoing strategy that will make your next tax season that much easier.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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We are seeing more sellers come to the housing market, says HousingWire’s Logan Mohtashami

We are seeing more sellers come to the housing market, says HousingWire’s Logan Mohtashami


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Logan Mohtashami, HousingWire lead analyst, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss his 2024 housing outlook, the state of existing vs. new home sales, and more.

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Thu, Jan 18 20242:30 PM EST



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Guide to Fractional Real Estate Investing (7 Ways to Do It)

Guide to Fractional Real Estate Investing (7 Ways to Do It)


Do you want to get started in real estate investing but don’t have the funds to purchase an entire property? Fractional real estate investing may be the answer you’re looking for. Fractional investing offers lucrative opportunities to own part of a property rather than an entire one.

Fractional real estate ownership can be affordable for startup investors who want to enter the real estate market. But what is fractional investing? And is this the right investing model for you? 

This article is a comprehensive guide to fractional property investing. You’ll also learn the pros and cons of this investment strategy. You can then decide if it aligns with your financial goals.

What Is Fractional Real Estate Investing?

Fractional real estate investing involves several investors owning a portion of one or more properties. With fractional ownership, you can invest in real estate with lower capital. It’s a strategy to own a portion of one or more properties, giving you partial ownership rights and a share of financial returns.

7 Ways to Invest in Fractional Real Estate

Fractional real estate investing has gained in popularity. Online platforms and real estate marketplaces make it easier to find investment opportunities. You can diversify portfolios and manage investments more easily. Fractional investments also offer liquidity by enabling you to buy and sell fractional shares.

Here are seven fractional ownership models to consider.

1. Create a partnership

Creating a partnership is a common fractional investment model. This method involves individuals pooling resources and skills to purchase an investment property. Each partner contributes resources such as capital and expertise. They also share the risks, responsibilities, and rewards of the investment.

A real estate partnership typically involves creating a limited liability company (LLC) or a limited partnership (LP). Depending on the structure, partners can have an active or passive role. Also, the liabilities of limited partners depend on their involvement and investment. The general partner is responsible for the everyday operations of the investment property.

2. REITs

Investing in real estate investment trusts (REITs) is popular in fractional property investing. These investments give you real estate opportunities without high initial startup costs. REITs also allow you to develop a diversified portfolio across several property types. Buying shares in a REIT can be a good option if you want a passive investment.

How do REITs work? Fractional investors purchase shares or units of a REIT. A team of professionals manages the investment trust. You receive dividends from rental income, interest, or capital gains of the REIT properties. Publicly traded REITs offer liquidity because shares are bought or sold on stock exchanges.

3. Real estate syndication

Real estate syndication is a way to get started in fractional property investing. Syndication involves multiple investors pooling their resources to invest in property. You get the benefits of owning real estate without much capital or expertise in property management.

The syndicate sponsor is the general partner who oversees the investment strategy. Investors contribute capital and take on a passive role. 

The biggest benefits of syndication include:

4. Crowdfunding platforms

Real estate crowdfunding platforms make investing in property markets accessible to more investors. Crowdfunding platforms let you pool capital with other investors to buy shares in real estate projects. You can spread investments across multiple asset classes, property types, and regions.

Crowdfunding platforms are often an affordable entry point for smaller investors. They give you access to real estate investment opportunities. This way, you can build a portfolio and enjoy financial benefits like passive income and property appreciation.

Here are some popular crowdfunding platforms for fractional real estate investing:

  • Ark7: This real estate platform lets you buy shares for as little as $20 and receive regular dividends from rental income. However, Ark7 fees can be higher than other platforms.
  • Arrived: This real estate investing platform is popular for rental properties. Individual investors can start investing from $100. However, you must hold assets for at least five years, which may be too long for short-term investors.
  • Concreit: This crowdfunding model lets you invest in real estate with a minimum investment of $1. It allows non-accredited investors and pays weekly dividends. However, it only pays 5.5% returns and only has one investment option.
  • Fundrise: This real estate investment platform offers access to equity and debt investments. It has a small initial investment—as little as $10. It also invests your balance based on your financial goals. However, quarterly returns are not guaranteed.
  • Lofty: This fractional ownership platform lets you access real estate markets for as little as $50. The platform offers tradable, blockchain-based tokens and pays out regular rental yields. But some investors don’t like dealing with crypto-based tokens.
  • Yieldstreet: If you are looking for alternative investments, this crowdfunding company is a good choice. You can buy shares in various industries, including real estate, legal, and art. However, it’s more suited to accredited investors.

5. Vacation home rentals

Fractional ownership of a vacation property is a way to diversify your portfolio. Buying a portion of a vacation home gives you the benefits of ownership with access to a vacation home. You get access to the property for a specific number of weeks each year.

Fractional ownership of vacation properties shouldn’t be confused with timeshares. When investing, you own a portion of the property’s equity and become a co-owner. Unlike timeshare properties, you can sell your fractional ownership, gift it, or place it in a trust. Additionally, you can stay in your luxury resort vacation home or rent it out when you don’t use it.

6. Tokenized real estate

Real estate tokenization allows for fractionalized property ownership using blockchain technology. Several real estate platforms offer property tokens representing part of an investment property. Investors can purchase property tokens, taking on partial ownership for as much or as little as they can afford.

Benefits of tokenized real estate assets include:

  • Low minimum requirements
  • Better liquidity
  • Access to global markets
  • Investment opportunities for small-scale investors

That said, tokenized real estate investing can be more volatile and suffer from a lack of transparency.

7. Real estate exchange-traded funds (ETFs)

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can make investing in fractional ownership properties easier. These funds are typically invested in REITs and traded like stocks and bonds. ETFs aim to replicate performances in a specific real estate index or sector.

Investing in ETFs has diversification benefits. For example, if you invest in several companies that own investment properties, this reduces risk. Additionally, dividend payouts tend to be high, and you benefit from increased liquidity. However, interest rates can affect the performance of ETFs.

Benefits of Fractional Real Estate Investing

Fractional real estate investing can give you easy entry into property markets. With minimal upfront costs, partial ownership of vacation properties can be within your reach.

Here are five benefits of fractional investing:

1. Lower barrier to entry: If you have limited funds, fractionalization lets you enjoy the benefits of property ownership. Purchasing fractional shares is more affordable than buying an entire rental property.

2. Diversified real estate portfolio: It is easier to diversify your investment portfolios by owning fractions of multiple properties. This gives you access to various markets and property types. Additionally, spreading investments across multiple properties reduces risk compared to investing in a single property.

3. Increased liquidity: Online investment platforms generally let you buy and sell fractional shares. This allows you easier access to cash and more flexibility than traditional property investments.

4. Professional management: Fractional ownership eliminates the day-to-day stress of managing rental properties. You don’t need to screen tenants, deal with maintenance issues, or lose rental income from vacancies.

5. Earn passive income: Fractional ownership in rental markets lets you earn regular income from rent payments. Additionally, you benefit from potential property appreciation when the asset is sold.

Risks & Considerations

Like any type of investment, fractional real estate investing has some risks. For example, you have less control over assets and investment strategies. And real estate markets can fluctuate.

Here are some risk considerations before starting in fractional property investing:

  • Housing market risks: Investing in fractional ownership properties is subject to market risks. Factors affecting the performance of real estate investments include:
    • Fluctuations in property values
    • Market demand
    • Rental income
    • Vacancies
    • Economic conditions
  • Lack of control: Fractional real estate ownership means you share control with several other investors. While being a passive investor is attractive to some, it’s not ideal if you want control over decisions. The more stakeholders, the less say you have in property management and investment strategies.
  • Potential conflicts: Partial ownership of properties means you will probably deal with unknown co-owners. This situation can result in conflicts regarding financing, maintenance, and exit strategies.
  • Lower returns: Returns may be lower than traditional real estate investing. Property management and crowdfunding companies can charge fees. Also, you must share returns among multiple investors.
  • Limited exit strategies: Not all investing platforms offer liquidity options, and you may face heavy fees if you want to exit before a certain time. Also, selling fractional shares through secondary markets may have associated costs and complexities.

Who Benefits from Fractional Real Estate Investing?

Buying fractional property ownership may or may not be your best strategy, depending on your financial goals.

Typically, investing in fractional properties suits the following investors:

  • Individual investors with limited capital: You can get started in real estate with limited financial resources.
  • Beginner real estate investors: These investors can enter the real estate market with smaller investments and less experience in property management.
  • Diversify your portfolio: Do you want a diversified portfolio? If so, you can spread investments across different properties and locations.
  • Passive investors: Earn regular income from rental units without stressing about property ownership.
  • Access to luxury properties: Get a foothold in the luxury property market and own part of high-value real estate or a luxury resort vacation home.

Final Thoughts

Fractional real estate investing can be an excellent investment strategy. This is especially true if you want to enter the property market with limited cash. Investing in a portion of an investment property rather than buying the entire property is more affordable. You can benefit from increased liquidity and professional management, and earn passive income through rental payments.

Before venturing into fractional real estate investment, it’s vital to consider your long-term financial goals and risk tolerance. Consider the pros and cons of fractional ownership of properties. That way, you can make informed decisions as you start your journey to build wealth.

Invest passively with syndications

Want to invest in real estate but don’t have the time? No matter your level of experience, real estate syndications provide an avenue to invest in real estate without tenants, toilets, or trash—and this comprehensive guide will teach you how to invest in these opportunities the right way.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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December home sales slump to close out worst year since 1995

December home sales slump to close out worst year since 1995


A delivery man delivers packages in a Los Angeles neighborhood on January 17, 2024. 

Frederic J. Brown | AFP | Getty Images

Sales of previously owned homes fell 1% in December compared with November to 3.78 million units on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales were 6.2% lower than in December 2022, marking the lowest level since August 2010.

Full-year sales for 2023 came in at 4.09 million units, the lowest tally since 1995.

Regionally, on a month-to-month basis, sales were unchanged in the Northeast and fell 4.3% in the Midwest. Sales were down 2.8% in the South but rebounded 7.8% in the West. On a year-over-year basis, sales were lower in all regions.

The count of home closings is based on contracts likely signed in late October and November, when mortgage rates were considerably higher than they are now. The average rate on the 30-year fixed loan rose to about 8% in October before falling to the 7% range in November. It is now at 6.89%, according to Mortgage News Daily.

“The latest month’s sales look to be the bottom before inevitably turning higher in the new year,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, in a release. “Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months.”

Inventory fell 11.5% from November to December, but it was up 4.2% from December 2022. There were 1 million homes for sale at the end of December, making for a 3.2-month supply at the current sales pace. A six-month supply is considered balanced between buyer and seller.

Tight supply continues to reheat home prices. The median price of a home sold in December was $382,600, an increase of 4.4% from December 2022. That is the sixth consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. The median price for the full year was $389,800, a record high.

Homes stayed on the market longer in December, at an average of 29 days, up from 25 days in November. The share of all-cash sales rose to 29% from 27% in November. Individual investors, who make up a large share of all-cash sales, bought 16% of homes, down from 18% in November.

That pullback in activity from investors may be one bright spot for buyers. Both higher home prices and higher financing costs resulted in fewer investor home purchases for the full year 2023, according to a recent Realtor.com study.

“With rents continuing to ease and more multi-family homes entering the market for rent, investors may continue to tread more cautiously in the housing market,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “This would mean one less source of competition for potential first-time home buyers who are approaching the 2024 market with optimism despite the challenge of trying to buy a home at a below-median price point, one that investors also often target.”

First-time buyers are still struggling, making up just 29% of December sales, down from 31% the year before. Historically they make up 40% of the market.



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