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Using the “Capital Carrot” to Find Money for Your Next Deal

Using the “Capital Carrot” to Find Money for Your Next Deal


Knowing how to buy a rental property is one thing, but coming up with the money is another. This is the constant struggle real estate investors find themselves in. When they have cash, there aren’t enough deals. When they have deals, there isn’t enough cash. This catch-22 usually puts investors in a spin cycle, never pulling the trigger on their first or next deal. But, it doesn’t have to be this way. With the right mindset, you can find the money to purchase more rental property, even if you’ve run out of options.

This is what expert investor, David Greene, refers to as his capital “carrot,” or the thing that allows him to find (and make) more money to buy even more real estate. And it’s just one of the topics in today’s Seeing Greene show. In this episode, David takes a live call from Garrett, who’s struggling with whether or not to sell or keep his first deal. We also get questions about BRRRRing with high interest rates, where to find medium-term rental tenants, and how to find a realtor in a brand-new market.

Want to ask David a question? If so, submit your question here so David can answer it on the next episode of Seeing Greene. Hop on the BiggerPockets forums and ask other investors their take, or follow David on Instagram to see when he’s going live so you can hop on a live Q&A and get your question answered on the spot!

David:
This is the BiggerPockets Podcast, show 687. Most of the time my lion does not come out unless I’m threatened. Okay? Unless I’m hungry. Then I actually realize what I’m willing to go do. I got to want something. When my life is comfortable, I don’t really function like the lion. When my life is uncomfortable, a different side of David comes out. And so this is an opportunity for personal growth if you choose to take that.
You could go take more jobs as an engineer. You could start studying sales or business. You could change elements of your personality like I had to do when I became a real estate agent to become more charismatic and easier to talk to and less of a cop.
What’s up, everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Podcast here today with a Seeing Greene edition. If you haven’t listened to one of these before, these are shows where I will take questions directly from you, our listener base, and answer them for everybody to hear.
We’ve got video submissions, we’ve got written submissions, and we have me going on rabbit trails explaining ways you can build wealth that you might not have thought about before. These shows are awesome, and you can usually recognize them by the glowing green light behind my head here.
Today’s show is fantastic. We’ve got several areas of interest that I’d like to highlight for you. The first is why cost in an area aren’t working and how to navigate the no short-term rental regulations. As real estate becomes more expensive, it becomes harder and harder to make it cash flow traditionally, which has pushed more and more investors into short term rentals. But there’s backlash from that too as communities don’t like short term rentals in their backyards and nimby neighbors make a stink. Sometimes you got to figure out a way to work around the regulations on your rentals, so we get into that with one of our callers today.
We also talk about why changing markets as an agent isn’t always the best bet. But what you could do if you’re a real estate agent listening to this to grow your business. And then I expand on that to say what you should look for in a real estate agent, that is very important. So that’s another point that we get into today’s show. What questions you should ask of your real estate agent, how to find the right one. And if you’re an agent, how you can make more money, how you can be better in the right way to serve your clients.
There’s also a great question about finding an out of state agent and putting a team together in a new market that you don’t want to miss. So please check that out. This is a great show.
All right. Before we get into our first live coaching call, today’s quick tip is check out biggerpockets.com/resources. It’s a place to find out about all the cool downloads that we have made available and the data that has been put together by our own data guru, Dave Meyer, of On The Market. These are the things that Dave and we at BiggerPockets think would be the most helpful for you to use and see and know.
So regularly check biggerpockets.com/resources. In fact, it might not be a bad idea to leave a tab open on your browser so you can check it every day. And if you listen all the way to the end of today’s episode, you might learn a little bit about what tabs are open on my browser as we speak.
All right. To start today’s show off, we have Garrett with a beard that rivals our own, Brandon Turner’s and Garrett’s car, from which he has asked questions in the past on shows 588 and 618. He’s now coming to us today live from said car. Garrett, welcome to Seeing Green.

Garrett:
Thank you, David. Good to be

David:
Here. Yes. So tell me what is your dilemma?

Garrett:
All right. So in the past episodes I’ve talked about wanting to get into the real estate. My next one was how I can deal with repairs and which one should take priority. And now I’ve kind of prioritized these repairs and got that all under control. I’m starting to pay down some financing. However, I’m trying to see long term with this investment and future investments. And I’m wondering… My question is basically trying to figure out an exit strategy. So I’m on the fence of holding long term, which I always told myself I would do if I would get into real estate staying in two out of the past five years so that I can get the $250,000 capital gains. Or if I should just wait one year after the FHA seasons, sell it, cut my losses and find something new, or possibly a 1081. I’m jumping all over the place.

David:
So this is not a rehab question, this is an exit strategy.

Garrett:
Exactly. Yes.

David:
So we got a property and you’re trying to figure out should… It’s your primary residence. You bought it with an FHA loan. Should you keep it as a rental or should you sell it and move into something else?

Garrett:
Yes. And like I said, I always wanted to buy and hold. However, the reason why I’m considering selling is because of this property. I feel like I might have bitten off more than I could chew. Just to run some numbers, so my mortgage and interest is about 3,500 a month. My W2 is bringing about 5,000 a month. Right now it’s fully rented. It covers principle and interest. However, all of the reserves are coming out of my own pocket. Basically, any repairs or rehabs, anything like that, it’s coming straight out of my pocket. I just don’t know if it’s a very sustainable property.

David:
Well, the rent should go up every year, right?

Garrett:
Yeah, sure.

David:
If you’re making 3,500 a month, that’s a pretty good location. Are you comfortable sharing where it is? What city?

Garrett:
It’s Jefferson Park, Chicago.

David:
Okay. So I’m guessing that those are not cheap homes, that that’s a decent area that you own this asset.

Garrett:
It is a decent area. I definitely feel safe in the neighborhood. It’s a little three flat. I rent out the top and middle unit, and then I live in the basement and rent out the second bedroom.

David:
So not only are your rents going to go up, but they’re going to go up on three different units over time. So exponentially this property will become profitable for you. That’s the first thing I want to say. What are you’re experiencing right now is normal, especially if you’re living in it. It’s a house hack?

Garrett:
That’s correct. Yeah.

David:
Yeah. So if it’s paying for itself and you only have to come out of pocket for reserves or expenses, how much would the rent be if you were to go rent somewhere else?

Garrett:
Probably not as good.

David:
No, just give me a dollar figure per month if you rented a different property.

Garrett:
If I rented a different property?

David:
What would you be spending on rent?

Garrett:
I don’t know, 15, 1600 to rent a place.

David:
Okay. So that property is profiting you 15 to $1600 a month. You’re not looking at it like that because you’re not factoring in the fact that you’re saving that much in rent. Now, if you moved out of that house, does that mean… How much could the unit you’re living in right now, how much would that bring in for rent? Or have you already factored that into the 3500?

Garrett:
So if I moved out, I would get an additional 500, maybe 600.

David:
Not huge, but it would definitely at least break even. Right? Okay. The first thing is when you’re saying, “I always wanted to buy and hold,” selling a property to buy another one isn’t necessarily not buy and hold. Right? I get what you’re saying is you intended to keep it forever and that is an option. But I want to present a different way to look at it. Money is useful for exchanging for goods. That’s typically how we look at money. But I’m writing a new book for BiggerPockets. I believe it’s going to be called Pillars. And part of the concept I’m trying to get through in this book is that money is actually a store of energy. Meaning you go to work and you put in eight hours of work in a day of labor, calories, effort, whatever you want to call it. You exchange that effort and you receive money in exchange. That money is the store of the energy that you poured out when you were working. Are you with me so far?

Garrett:
Yeah, I’m following.

David:
Okay. Now, money is a poor store of energy because of inflation. Inflation makes that money worth less. So the energy that you poured into it bleeds out. Just a different way of looking at it. But it’s better than spending your money and getting nothing. You go buy a pair of shoes, that’s an even worse store of energy than money would be. Right? A better store of energy is real estate. You take the money, you exchange it for a house. Now, that property not only stores the energy that you spent in work for the accumulation of hours you had to spend, it actually increases it.
It takes that energy and it amplifies it. It becomes worth more through appreciation, through cash flow, all these opportunities. When money cash flows into your pocket, you can buy more of it. I want you to look at real estate like a store of energy that you have expended previously through work.
If you sell this house and you buy a different property that performs better, cash flow is more… Whatever it is that you like about it more, appreciates more, has value add opportunity, you go into a rehab that’s not as daunting as this what was. Okay? You got away from buy and hold. You just took the energy out of a vehicle that is not a great storage of it and put it into a better storage. Okay? You’re shifting your energy from one thing to another.
And if this new house has value add opportunity, better neighborhood, also a three flat or a four flat, something is superior to the one you’ve got. You’re still a buy and hold investor. You’re just a better one. So I don’t want you to be afraid to pull the trigger by thinking, “Oh, I said I was always going to be a buy and hold investor.” If you’re doing real estate investing correctly, you will never own every property that you bought.
If you’re really good at this and you end up with 200 single family homes, you’re dumb. You need to exchange those for a couple big apartment complexes. They’re better stores of energy. They’re not going to bleed as much because you don’t have to pay attention to it. So the first point I’d just like to make here is if you sell it, that’s okay. You’re not a sellout. You didn’t do it wrong. The second piece I would say is let’s look at should it be sold? You had mentioned before the rehabs were very difficult. Is that still the case or have you pretty much gotten those under control?

Garrett:
I’ve pretty much gotten them under control. A few minor things here and there that pop up, but nothing I really can’t handle. But the returns are mostly in control.

David:
Okay. So you learned you’re not going to get in over your head like you were on this one, right?

Garrett:
Yeah, exactly. I think I’ve definitely learned that the hard way, but learned for sure.

David:
So you mentioned let the FHA loan season. I don’t think you have to do that. You can sell that house. You don’t have to wait a year to sell a home. Are you aware of that?

Garrett:
I actually wasn’t. I thought you’d have to wait a year.

David:
You have to wait six months to refinance, but you could sell anytime and anytime after six months you can refinance. Don’t have to wait a year at all. Now, you may have been thinking… I guess the year thing is you usually have to wait a year before you can buy another primary residence. That may have been where you got confused.

Garrett:
Yes.

David:
And you won’t be able to use an FHA loan on the second primary residence because you can only have one at a time. All right? So you can either refinance that FHA loan into a conventional loan and use the FHA loan to buy your next primary residence. Or you could keep your FHA loan and you could use a conventional loan to get your next one. That would be 5% down on a single family home. Are you with me so far?

Garrett:
Yeah, I think so.

David:
All right. I’m going to complicate it a little bit.

Garrett:
Okay.

David:
Because if you’re going to buy a true multifamily property… The one you have now, is it actually considered multifamily or is it considered single family, but it just functions as multifamily?

Garrett:
It’s actually considered multifamily, yeah.

David:
Okay. If it’s considered multifamily, you often can’t put 5% down like a triplex or a fourplex. They usually want somewhere between 10, 15, it might even be at 20%, even if it’s your primary. That’s one of the Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac rules that changed. So you can use an FHA loan at three and a half percent down to get one of those properties. So if you reach out to us at the one brokerage, we’re going to walk you through that. We’re going to explain.
So what might be in your best interest is if you refinance out of your FHA loan even into a higher rate which you’re not going to like, but you can use the FHA loan to buy your next property, you can put three and a half percent down on a multifamily house, which is much better than being forced to put down 10, 15% on it. You with me so far?
So even though the rate goes higher, you get the opportunity to keep more of your capital. And then you just get a better property than you did in year one. Less of a rehab that wears you out, little bit better of a location. You’re a little bit better analyzing properties. You’re not going to feel the pressure of, I got to go buy something because you’re comfortable where you’re at, so you can take your time and buy the right property.
The next one can only get better than this first one. So that’s the path I would lay out for you. What questions do you have considering that road?

Garrett:
I guess I’d just have to consider how long it would take to… Because if I sold the house… Or excuse me. If I refinance this house and I use FHA again to purchase another property, then I’m still going to have to put down that other down payment and any potential little cosmetic fix up or whatever might come along the way. But right now I don’t have that capital. So that’s the issue right now. So I’m like, I’m even considering maybe doing a flip here or there just to get something like this, but I also don’t want to deviate from the path at all of just buying small multifamilies right now.

David:
All right. That helps a little bit here. So first off, have you added much value to this house through the rehab you did to it?

Garrett:
Yeah, I’d say some. I mean, I did buy it a little bit over listing, so that complicates things a little bit. But I’ve added new windows. I’ve waterproofed the basement.

David:
I see what you’re saying, but the reason I’m asking is if there’s more equity in the home when you refinance out of the FHA, you may be able to pull some cash out, which could be your down payment for the next home. But if the work you did wasn’t necessarily going to make the house worth more, or if the market has gone down since you bought it, which likely could be the case, there might not be as much cash to pull out of it as what you think.
So that would be your first option is I want to refinance. I want to refinance the primary residence loan and I want to pull cash out. If they let you, there you go. You got some money for the next deal. If not, let’s go back to the drawing board. You’re saving rent right now that you don’t have to pay. You said $1500. That’s around, I don’t know what that would be. Probably 15 to $18,000 a year, something off the top of my head that you should be saving, plus whatever money that you were saving on top of that. Right?
So if you can save $25,000 in the next year by working a lot, that could be another three and a half percent down payment on your next house.

Garrett:
Yeah, that’s true.

David:
Are you just sort of ants in your pants, want to get going, don’t want to have to wait?

Garrett:
I am really excited. I just want to do more, do more, do more. But I just feel a little stuck right now.

David:
Well, when you don’t have capital, you are stuck. There’s no way around it. That’s why I’m writing that book I talked about for BiggerPockets, it’s about capital is freaking and important and real estate investors have access to it.

Garrett:
So in the first unit, the top floor, there’s a long-term tenant. They’ve been there for actually 10 years. So when I bought the place, their rents were really low and I raised that. And then the main floor, that’s the one that I did some cosmetic rehabs on, fixed up the bathroom, made everything look really nice. And then I got someone in there within a month and a half and now they’ll be there for at least… He said at least two to three years because it’s nearby a school for his son.

David:
Do you think, Garrett, there is a possibility that you could rent it out as a short term rental or are you locked into leases right now?

Garrett:
I’m pretty much locked into leases right now, at least until next year.

David:
What about if you moved out of the unit that you’re renting? Would that rent out as a possible short term rental?

Garrett:
So that’s what I’m saying. If I moved out of this unit and then I waited until next year’s due because I have a roommate as well. If we both moved out, I could consider it as a short term rental. That’s a possibility. But I’m not sure what the market is like on Airbnb. I wouldn’t even know where to start there.

David:
So another element we could look into here is if any of the units of your current property could be used as a short term or a medium term rental. What do you think of the possibilities of that are?

Garrett:
Yeah, so I think if my roommate and I move out, it would be about a year. And then after that, I could consider it for a short term rental. I’m not too sure what a medium term rental is though. Could you familiarize me a little bit with what that is?

David:
Yeah, that’s a really good question. A medium term rental would be you renting the unit out to a traveling professional, A person who needs a place to stay for more than a short period of time. So this could be someone has a sick family member at a nearby hospital, and so they want to go stay at a furnished property to be close to them or they get a contract to work at a certain area. They don’t want to buy a house they don’t want to rent for a year and they need it to be furnished.
So these are typically corporate people that are moving somewhere. Someone who moved into an area to get a temporary job. Maybe someone is like, “Well, I work remotely and I met this new girlfriend and I want to get to know her. So I’m going to move to this area, get my own space. I don’t know if it’s going to work out or not. So I don’t want to be committed.”
So those medium term rentals are something that we’re starting to see a lot more of coming into the space. And it’s not as much management on the owner’s behalf because once the person moves in, it’s kind of like they treat it’s a long term rental. So those would be some options that you could have to try to increase the revenue on this particular property. Outside of that, what are you doing for work right now?

Garrett:
So for work, I am in the construction industry. I’m an engineer. Basically, I’m out on the job site and making sure that the contractors and laborers are following the plans necessary to complete the project.

David:
Do you have options where you could increase your income with what you’re currently doing?

Garrett:
So we do have reviews coming up. That’s about it. I am actually currently looking into a second form of employment, like seeking some part-time work with either an insurance agency or selling solar panels, something where there’s room to grow and room to make more. It’s commission based. And maybe if that takes off, I could consider switching over into that. But right now I really do like what I do. I’m just looking for some extra money on the side.

David:
Okay. I’m going to give you my philosophy on this, and this is not the opinion of everyone at BiggerPockets or everyone in the world, just my personal way of looking at it. When we run into the problem, not enough capital, I want to scale, I want to buy more properties, I want to get more into real estate. You’ve got two options. One road is look for creative strategies. And this is typically the one that gets put out as the best option. Go find someone that’s got an off market deal and take over their loan.
Go find a deal from a wholesaler. Go do some kind of magic that you can figure out how to get this deal without money so you can scale. Go borrow money from other people. Learn how to raise private capital. The problem is we’re often giving that advice to people that are newer to investing like yourself. Right?You want to get more reps and you want more at-bats. That’s what you need.
The other option is to take that desire to buy more homes, which is this is the option that I took in life, and let that be the carrot that motivates me to go work harder, take more opportunity, get another job, start a side hustle, start another business, improve the way that I add value to the employer that I have. Do something to try harder.
So Garrett, you’re a human just like everyone else, and there is a element in you that is powerful and brilliant, and genius. It’s a lion. All right? We all have that. Most of the time, my lion does not come out unless I’m threatened. Okay? Unless I’m hungry. Then I actually realize what I’m willing to go do. I got to want something. When my life is comfortable, I don’t really function like the lion. When my life is uncomfortable, a different side of David comes out. And so this is an opportunity for personal growth, if you choose to take that.
You could go take more jobs as an engineer. You could start studying sales or business. You could change elements of your personality like I had to do when I became a real estate agent to become more charismatic and easier to talk to and less of a cop. I would encourage almost you and almost everyone listening to take that road. You want more than what you got.
You have skills in construction, you know you’re good at real estate, you clearly understand this. It’s time to level up. It’s time to get over. Whatever insecurities, fears, worries, concerns, all of us carry around every day that keep us from moving forward, right? It’s hard, it’s scary. That’s why you need the carrot. And you’re feeling it, okay? So that’s the advice that I’d like to give you is what can you do to go get into a different career, a different industry, do more of what you’re doing right now so you can make more money so that you can go buy this real estate that you want to.

Garrett:
Yeah. Thanks, David. I’ll have to consider that. It sounds like good advice.

David:
All right. Cool man. So going into the future, tell me the next steps you’re going to take.

Garrett:
I’d like to, obviously, purchase more real estate. I’m thinking one property every year following Brandon Turner’s favorite or famous stack method. I just finished Multifamily Millionaire. It was awesome. And then eventually after five, six years of owning enough properties and becoming 100% financially free, I’d like to travel more with my fiance, then wife, and just have time to spend with my family and be able to continue purchasing real estate and having that generational wealth for my family.

David:
Well, if that’s the goal, personal growth, accomplish the real estate will definitely make that future even sweeter. So good luck with that, Garrett. Let’s stay in touch.
All right, that wraps up our conversation with Garrett. Hope you’re liking the show so far. At this part of the show, we like to pivot a little bit and read some of the YouTube comments that we’ve received on previous shows. I like to hear what you guys have to say, what you’re enjoying, what you’re not enjoying, what you’d like to hear differently. We read these and we do take them into consideration, so please keep commenting on YouTube as well as subscribe to this channel. If you can take a quick minute to hit that little bell to be notified when new shows air, like and then share this with anyone else who you think wants to grow some wealth through real estate.
Our first comment comes from Phil. “I would agree that it’s easier to find contractors right now, but I’m still finding it tough to BRRRR. I find that it’s more work on the front end, making sure the numbers work given the higher interest rates. What are your thoughts, David?” Well, this is one of those issues where everything in real estate, there’s always something that’s difficult and something that’s easy in different markets.
So when values were going up like crazy and anything that you bought was appreciating more and more people were buying, it was fueling the frenzy of prices going up, and finding a contractor was incredibly difficult to do. So even if you found a great deal, if you didn’t have a person that could go in there and fix it up or their costs were absorbent, you had to pass on it.
Well, now there’s contractors that are willing to work and their prices are better, but guess what? That’s because there’s less demand for them. And why is there less demand? Because it’s harder to find the deals that work just like Phil is saying. Now, Phil, you’re saying that it’s harder to find deals at work because of interest rates, which leads me to believe that what you’re referring to is it’s harder to find something that will cash flow when you’re done.
A few things to keep in mind on that front. You write the offer based on what numbers work for the cash flow. So don’t be scared or don’t hesitate to write lower offers in this market that favors buyers. It doesn’t really matter what the list price is, it matters what your number is to make that work. We call that the home run number. So consider using some of BiggerPockets calculators to analyze these deals and find what numbers work and write your offers at that price. Then just follow up with these people to see who wants to play ball.
Another thing is I’ve noticed that a lot of the newer investors, they tend to try to make up for creativity with volume. What I mean by that is they will analyze more deals that don’t work, looking for the one that will. Whereas I would look at something and say, “Yeah, interest rates are too high to cash flow at that number. It’s not going to work.” So I’m going to quit analyzing those kind of deals. I’m going to look for a different kind of deal that would work. And how that actually turns out in real life is I look for properties that have more than one unit or even more than two units.
I look for ways in a property. Can I finish out the basement and make a separate unit? Does this one have an ADU that other people are not entering into their calculations? What additional ways can I generate revenue from a property that makes the numbers work? Remember how we were saying a while ago that you don’t find great deals, you make great deals?
Well, you can find great deals in today’s market, but you can still make great deals. So if you guys are banging your head into that brick wall, if it feels like you’re trying to take that square peg and push it into that round hole and it’s just not working out, find a way to take that square peg and put it into a square hole. Analyze different kinds of BRRRR opportunities with more than one source of revenue. That’s what I’m doing. I have three BRRRRs going on right now. No, four. And all of them, every single one of them I am adding square footage to that property or converting existing square footage to add a revenue generating component to the deal, which does make the numbers work. That’s all you got to do.
All right. Our next comment comes from Abby Jose. “Hello, I’ve been watching BiggerPockets videos for the past couple years. It’s because of you guys that I refuse to give up on purchasing my first home post-pandemic as a self-employed individual. You are also the reason that I’m gearing up to purchase my second property soon using the creative strategies that I’ve learned from your YouTube videos. That being said, I am in agreement with many of the other commenters. I would love to see some of your personal deal deep dives. Specifically, I’m interested in how you negotiate the deal with the seller and also how you deal with contractors.”
All right, Abby, I appreciate that. We are actually working on doing that. In the future. You might have to be a little bit patient because a lot of the time I will put a deal in a contract and it is months before the rehab is complete and I have a rental history that I can actually show how a property is performing.
So I would keep in mind, three months from now, six months from now, you’ll probably start seeing some deals that I bought six, nine months previously because I have some data that I can share saying how they’ve been going and how it’s been working out, and that’s just part of the rhythm of real estate investing. But we’ve heard you guys say that this is what you want. More specifics, you want to see how the deals work out. This is the first time I’ve heard someone say how they’d like to see me negotiate a deal.
So I will see if there’s a way we can put that into the show. I’d like to share that with you. It’s something I teach my agents. It’s something I teach the people to follow me. Negotiating is a huge, huge, huge part of getting deals in today’s market and there’s a lot to learn there.
Okay. Our next question comes from AZ. “David, I want to know what pages are on your browser when you open a new window? For me, NerdWallet for interest rates, the MLS, BiggerPockets, and my email. Basically, I want to know how you stay up to date with one, the market, and two, news. Also, do you look at the 10-year treasury bond daily, and if so, where?”
All right, AZ. So I actually have several tabs that are open on my computer every time I log in, and that is a different computer than the one I use for recording because I have so much open on it, there’s not enough RAM to be able to record efficiently. So I have a separate computer just for making these shows. Were I to open the other computer, you would see my normal email that is several hours of work every day to keep up with.
My real estate CRM called Brivity that we use to track the deals that the David Greene team has in contract. My investment tracker, which is made up of several tabs. The first tab shows, here’s all the properties I own. This is the loan balance. This is the current value. This is the equity. These are the interest rates. This is the loan servicer that I use to track my overall portfolio.
The second tab has a list of offers that I’ve written that I’m going to be following up with to see if I can put it in contract. The third is a tab that shows all the properties I currently have in escrow. The fourth is a tab that shows the closed properties that are currently under rehab. The fifth is a tab that shows my closed properties, the furnishing to get ready to go for Airbnb and so on and so forth. I have a tab in there to track every month how the properties did the month before so I can see what’s vacant, what is performing well, what needs some more attention to be able to improve its performance, et cetera.
After that, I look at my goals every day. What are the goals that I set for this year? Am I on pace to meet them? Then I have a dashboard that shows the different companies I have and the main statistics I want to look at. So for the David Greene team, how many escrows we have. As well as which agents have them. For the one brokerage, how many total loans that we have in submission for the mastermind that I run, how many members we currently have in there, my social media improvements, the passive income from my investments, the money that I’ve borrowed from other people that needs to be paid back. All that kind of stuff is on the dashboard.
I then go into my second email, which is specifically for my real estate portfolio with all the questions from property managers or contractors or the work that goes into that. Then I have a tracker that shows the overall profit of every company that I have and different revenue sources that I have. There’s probably 25 different sources there that I review to see, “Am I improving? Am I falling down? What’s going on?” And that is what I look at when I need to track what went wrong. We made this much revenue. Now, we’re only making this much now as the CEO.
I have to dive in and find out did someone make a change that I didn’t authorize. Did the market turn around on us? Did we lose a top producer? The dashboard is… Sorry, the RevTracker is how I track all the income that is coming in. Then I have the one brokerage growth plan that I review with my partner, Christian, and that has to do with the steps that we have for pushing that company forward.
There’s always a book I’m writing. Right now, it’s a book called Pillars. So I actually have a tab open that shows that where I am in writing that book at that time, so I can work on that in between meetings. I have a page that shows all the projects that I have going on that don’t fall into a specific company. I’ve got a daily schedule by Google Calendar that tells me what I need to be doing, where I need to be recording and what needs to be happening, what meeting I need to be in.
I tend to check Bitcoin every day because I’m looking to see if that falls more. I’ve got a BiggerPockets inbox. I keep a tab open for that so I can try to keep up with the things that come in there. This isn’t in my tabs, but I do have to check my DMs in Instagram, Facebook, and whatever other social media is out there to try to keep up with inquiries from that.
I have research I’m doing for the book, Pillars. There’s several tabs open for that as I’m looking up studies that have been done in personal finance or how people can make more money. I’ve got my David Greene team mastermind where we have a website that actually all the members talk in each other with and so I review that as well and more.
So I don’t actually have a website that I’m spending a whole lot of time looking up. I’m tending to just try to keep up with the chaos of what is happening as I’m building this ecosystem for investors to come to if they need whatever it takes to be able to have a trustworthy agent, loan officer, insurance provider. All the things it takes to be able to take what you learned at BiggerPockets and then go execute it.
So BiggerPockets is incredible at helping you start scale and manage your portfolio. And then I just try to fill in the little gaps of the specifics of what people need to be able to do that better. So most of the news that I get comes from specific searches that I do or something coming up in my phone. I’ll get notifications that this just happened. I also listened to a lot of podcasts. So if you guys are wondering how I keep up with all this in the day, I don’t really know how to tell you how I do it, but if you’re not getting an answer from your email, this is probably why.
Whenever I’m not working on something, if I’m taking a break to go walk or I’m going to the gym or I’m going to eat, I put in my AirPods and I listen to different podcasts that talk about the same type of stuff. So I am constantly having information going in my brain about other people that have read the news and they have digested it for me and I get their take and their summary on it.
So I liked that you asked me that question. I left out probably two thirds of the other tabs I have open. I just couldn’t remember them off the top of my head because I don’t have that computer open. But thank you for that question. All right, we love it and we so appreciate your engagement. Please continue to do so. We would also love it if you would like, comment and subscribe on YouTube as well.
If you’re listening on a podcast app, which many of you are, take some time to give us a rating and an honest review on there. Those help a ton. And in order for us to stay at the top of the business and the real estate categories, we need your ratings and reviews. So please do so.
Last thing, what did you think about all the tabs that I have open? Leave a comment about what information you’d like to learn more about or what you thought when you heard me read those off. Tell me what you’re thinking. All right, let’s get back into some questions here. Our first question comes from Ryan Alexander in Pennsylvania.

Ryan:
Hey, David. Ryan here from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. I am a real estate agent and investor. I started buying properties last year and I have eight doors in Cleveland and then I also have a short term rental in the Smokey Mountains. My question to you though is more geared towards the real estate agent side of things. I got my license back in 2019, but I was only part-time for the past three years. I went full-time this past March because help from the rentals and everything I was able to get out of my nine to five.
My question to you as far as the real estate side of things of being an agent is if you had to move into a new market for whatever reason and were in a market where you didn’t know anybody or you didn’t know very many people, what would you focus on to generate leads and basically dominate that market?
I just started doing videos because I’ve heard obviously that’s a big part of it, but I wanted to get your insight on it and I have your first book, I have the second one and everything, so I’m waiting for that to come out. But just would like to get a gauge from you, an answer from you on what’s what you would do in a new market like that if you were presented one and how you would go about it to generate leads and everything and get noticed in that market? So that’s it. That’s my question and I appreciate everything you guys are doing at BiggerPockets.
You truly are changing lives. I mean, you’ve changed my family’s trajectory for sure in the past year just alone with eight doors and the rentals that we’ve gotten. So I appreciate it and looking forward to hearing your answer. Thank you.

David:
Well. Hey, Ryan, thank you very much for the compliment there. It does mean a lot that we’re changing lives over here at BiggerPockets and frankly that’s because how much money you have has such a big impact on the quality of life that you live. And it doesn’t mean that I think you should go out there and buy fancy BMWs and wear jewelry. It’s more about money enables you to have the freedom to do what you want, when you want and how you want.
So you’re still working, you’re just working in a different way that you enjoy more and I love hearing that. I’ve often said that real estate and God are the only two things I’ve ever come across that I can’t outgive. As much as you give to real estate, it will give you more in return. I can tell that you’re super bought into it because why else did you become an agent?
If someone gets their real estate license, everybody, it means they love real estate because you eat a lot of crap when you’re an agent. You’re often sort of dealing with the hardest parts of the entire economy or ecosystem of real estate. Your question specific was how do you move into a new area and dominate a market? All right. The short answer is you don’t. You’re not going to dominate a market moving into it as a new agent.
Let’s get out of the sales pitches that people have to give realtors where they try to sell them software or a system or a marketing technique that will allow them to dominate a market. They’re going to tell you, “Oh, send letters to every house and farm a neighborhood and go door knocking and introduce yourself to the people there.” That was probably significantly more effective 20, 30, 40 years ago because he didn’t know an agent until someone came and met you and shook your hand and you got a feel for him.
That’s how people made decisions back then. I don’t think people make decisions like that as much anymore. A certain demographic will, majority of them. I don’t want to talk to someone who comes and knocks on my door and they shake my hand. I mean, some people may like that In general. I don’t trust the person who just walks right up to me. I want to be able to research them.
I think a lot more people are doing that nowadays. When you meet a new person, one of the first things you do is you go look at their social media or maybe you go look at a website that they have, but you’re trying to get information about a human to make a decision for yourself rather than just a gut feeling like what we used to get in person. So the farming technique doesn’t work as much anymore.
Video does help that you mentioned specifically because it allows people to get more information about you. But here’s the problem. Video is very easy to do which means every other realtor is doing it. And so we go deeper and deeper down this rabbit hole of how you make yourself stand apart and it’s incredibly difficult to do because everyone else is already doing anything that I could tell you.
When you look at the realtors that crush it, there’s a few patterns that I’ve noticed emerge. The first one is that they have been in the industry for a long time. It’s typically the agent that’s been in for 20 years, 15 years, 25 years, that’s doing so well. And as I ask myself, “Why is that?” It became pretty clear. It’s because they have the biggest database.
Time in the market as an agent, much like an investor is your best friend because you meet more people. That’s what you really want. You want an army of humans that are sending you referrals, which is a relationship situation. And the longer you give yourself to build these relationships, and the more that you can build, the better you will do.
If you jump around from city to city to city too many times, it makes it too hard to build the relationships that agents need to thrive. The second thing that I will notice with successful agents that do really well is that they make sure that every client has the best experience possible. They don’t try to automate their job. They don’t try to turn it into something that’s quick and easy. They’re not transactional. They’re actually not necessarily doing it for the money. The money follows the relationship. I know the difference between the agents that worked hard to make me money, that worked hard to find me deals and the agents that just waited for me to tell them what to go do.
The ones that work hard for me, the ones that go out of their way to find deals are the ones that get my business and my referrals the most. Again, it comes down to the relationship component. Now, if I were to move to a new market, the first thing I would consider is I want to move to market with high price points. I want to be selling $800,000 homes, $1.4 million homes, not $200,000 homes.
I would also brand myself as a person that helps people to make money. So you want people from out of your area to be looking for you because they’re easier clients to work with. You don’t go show them 70 homes. They look at the homes, you said. Maybe they find one on their own, they send it to you. You go to the property, you send a video, you do a lot of due diligence, the numbers work, they put it under contract. Those are much better clients than your standard ones.
So you want to be able to market yourself as someone who could do everything. You have the property management connection. You have the contractor connection. You have the lender connection. You know all the numbers to the city that they need to call to get the permits for whatever they want to do. Do you want to market yourself as the person that has all the answers that they would need?
Now, a lot of this is covered in the books that I’ve written for BiggerPockets. The first one’s called Sold, the next one’s called Skill, and the third one will be coming out in the next couple months, it’s called Scale. That’s about how to build a team. I think that you mentioned those briefly, but I would definitely read those books.
Now here’s the good news, there’s very few good realtors out there. If you set yourself apart with a great work ethic as a person who comes up with solutions rather than gives excuses, as a person who goes and looks for what needs to be done rather than tells the client why it can’t be done, you’ll set yourself apart. And that advice is good for everybody. I just got off the phone call with my chief operating officer, Kyle, about a different person in our company and we had said, “Hey, can you go do this work for us to prepare for an event we have coming up?”
And their response was, “This is why I can’t. This is why I can’t. This is why I can’t.” It is maddeningly frustrating when you need someone to do something for you or you want them to work through a solution and they give you all the reasons it can’t work. Now, you’re in the position of trying to overcome their objection and convince them why it can, get them to think creatively about the problem.
Don’t be that person is what I’m getting at. If you don’t want to do something, just straight up say, “I’d rather not do that.” Don’t give all the reasons why it can’t be done. The reason I wrote long distance investing and changed the way that people invest in real estate is everybody else said all the reasons it can’t go right or it can’t work. And I came up with a system that it could work.
The same is true for pretty much every business I’ve started, book I’ve written, or piece of advice I’ve given. If you look at what it would take to make something work versus give reasons why it can’t, you’ll find yourself significantly more wealthy. Ryan, you got the love for real estate. You got the drive. I can tell your energy is very positive. If you’re a solution-oriented person, you will absolutely succeed. I hope this advice helps you and reach back out and let us know how it’s going.
Next question comes from Becky Pike in Oregon. “I’m in Oregon and I’d like to invest on the Oregon coast, but so far I’ve found that rents don’t cover the mortgage payment very well.” What that basically means, Becky, is that the price to rent ratio is not in your favor. The homes are too expensive for the rents they can generate, which is normal. When you get into higher price point areas, it tends to work out much more favorably in lower price points when you’re looking into rent. And if you’d like, I can give you a more detailed explanation of why that is.
Just put something in YouTube comments that you’d like me to expand on that and I’d be happy to do so. Back to Becky, “The properties I can afford are zoned no short term rentals, only 30 days or more.” Before I keep reading, I’ll let you know. The reason that you can afford them that they would work out is because you’re not looking at long term rent. You’re looking at short term rentals, which are much more labor intensive, but do generate more money.
So you’re seeing, I can already tell in order to make that expensive housework, it needs to be a short term rental. But Oregon is one step ahead of you and they have outlawed short-term rentals. You have to rent them for 30 days or more. “I’d like to do medium turn rentals so I could raise the monthly rate, which I believe you mean to be higher than a traditional month to month rental. Where do I advertise such a rental so that traveling nurses and traveling workers can even find my place? Where are these people looking to find their medium term housing? Thank you, David.”
Well, first off, Becky, you’re asking the right questions, so congratulations on that. Second off, I’ve got a couple resources for you. We recently interviewed Sarah Weaver and Zeona McIntyre who wrote a book for BiggerPockets about this exact situation, about medium term rentals and how to manage them.
I would check out that podcast and consider buying that book. Side note, if you’d like to get 10% off anything that you order on BiggerPockets, just use my name as a discount code when you check out D-A-V-I-D. We also did an episode with Mark Simpson who manages short term rentals and gives advice for medium term rentals and he wrote about how you could do this without using online travel agencies, which is what you’re asking about.
So I would consider listening to that episode learning about that. Funny how all these questions were recently covered in what we’re doing and maybe getting his book too. I can tell you right off the cuff that Furnished Finders is one way that people find medium term rentals and Airbnb works the same way. So does VRBOO. You just classify it as a medium term rental.
And then the last piece of advice I’ll give you is I don’t look for that myself. I hire people who have experience doing this to be my property manager and they figure out where to go advertise it. So that’s another avenue that you could take is finding a person who does this and hiring them to advertise on whatever platforms I specifically don’t know about.
So to recap, you got the episode with Sarah and Zeona. You got the book with Sarah and Zeona. You got the episode Mark Simpson. You got the book with Mark Simpson. You got Furnish Finders, you got Airbnb, you got VRBO, and you’ve got property managers that can help you. I believe that is seven to eight different methods that you can use and I do think you’re wise to be taking this course of action and asking these questions. All right, our next video question comes from Aaron Horman in Kansas City.

Aaron:
Hey, David. This is Aaron here. Got a question for you about investing in a city that I’m not currently located in. So been looking in my hometown where I live and the market is pretty tough right now, so I’m looking at maybe investing. I’m looking for a property in some other areas that I’m interested in. Just want to get your advice on how you recommend going about looking for a realtor in that area that can help me find the properties I’m looking for. Thanks for your feedback and everything you do with the podcast. Great, I appreciate it.

David:
Thank you for that, Aaron and I do have some advice I can give you because I’m in a similar boat. First one, if you didn’t know it, I wrote a book called Long Distance Real Estate Investing that specifies exactly what you can do to find a realtor in another market if you want to do it by hand. So you can check out that book by going to biggerPockets.com/longdistancebook and using the discount code David for 10% off. That will help you out quite a bit.
Second off, you can use the BiggerPockets agent finder by clicking on tools and then agent finder and typing in the area where you want to buy. You’ll get a list of agents that are affiliated with BiggerPockets that understand the lingo that have worked with investors before. Research them and find one that will help you.
Third, you can reach out to me directly and you can ask, and if I have an agent in that area that I’ve used before, I am happy to refer them to you.
And then fourth, you can actually start asking other people on the BiggerPockets forums if they’ve used an agent and did they like them? Also, ask a question of what did you not like about this agent? That’s a good question to ask. That’s one of my favorite questions to ask. So if someone says, “Well, I didn’t really love that the agent was really pushy.” I David Greene might like that. I might prefer an agent who’s pushy because I have an idea of what I want, so pushiness doesn’t bother me. I don’t want a passive agent. I don’t want an agent that I got to text first that I got to keep saying, “Can you go do this? Can you go do that?”
I want an agent that runs out there, does everything, comes back and says, “Do you like it?” And if I say no, they go do it again. One of my big pet peeves agents do is they text me an address or they email me an address and they say, “Hey, I like this property. What do you think?” Then I have to say, “Well, what kind of revenue is it going to bring in? Did you get that verified by a second property manager? What are the comps for this? What do you think the price that we could get it would be? Have you talked to a listing agent? Are they motivated?”
Now, I got to give them a homework assignment that they got to go ask all these questions and I got to wait for them to come back. They should just do that first. Don’t send me the house until you’ve already called the listing agent and said, “Hey, I see you’re listed for 1.5 million. Do you think we could get something done at 1.2?” And they call the property managers and be like, “Hey, I think this house could work for my client. What do you think the numbers are like on this thing. What could they expect?”
And then wouldn’t it be amazing if they did the analysis for me and they said, “Here’s your income that you expect. Here’s your expenses that I would estimate. They’re conservative. Here’s what I think your profit would be. Oh, and by the way, I’ve already called the listing agent and they asked these questions and they said, ‘I think if we have a number between 1.2 and 1.3, we got a good shot.’” Wouldn’t that be wonderful?
As an experienced agent, that’s what I do. So I’m just expecting other agents to do the same. Aaron, if you ask these questions when you’re interviewing the agents and tell them that’s what you like, you’ll get a better feel for what you can expect when they are working with you and then be very direct about what you want.
That’s another problem that the clients make. It’s not always the agent. A lot of the time the client doesn’t communicate their expectations because they don’t want to seem needy or they don’t know what’s industry normal or whatever their issue is. And then the agent doesn’t know how to serve them. So check out my book. Use the BiggerPockets forums. Use the agent finder and message me directly and I’ll connect you to somebody in that area. Thank you very much.
And that advice goes to everybody else who’s looking to invest in long distance as well. I am here for you and so is BiggerPockets. One of the key components of long distance real estate investing was this idea of a core four. I call it long distance real estate investing, but it’s really a book about systems. These are the systems that I put in place and if I have these, I can invest anywhere.
A key piece of that is your team. And your team is made up of four people. Your deal finder, which is typically your real estate agent, your loan officer, your contractor, and your property manager. And if you have those four people, you can invest anywhere. So as you’re doing this research, my advice would be to ask your realtors, “Do you have a good contractor? Do you have a good property manager?”
You’re looking for realtors that can give you actual access to the people that you’re going to need to get a deal done in that area. If they say, “No, I don’t have any of that. No, I don’t have any of that,” they probably don’t do a lot of deals, because just by nature of doing a lot of business, they come across referrals that are needed. So that’s one of the things that I always prioritize.
Is this a person that can help me with putting my team together? And if they’re not, they better have a very specific niche skill set. They better be great at analyzing deals. They better know a lot about short term rentals. They better have some access to off market stuff that other people don’t have. There’s got to be some reason I’m going to work with you if you don’t have a team, because then I got to put the team together myself. Good luck out there. Happy hunting.
All right. That is our show for today. Thank you everybody for joining us on this Seeing Greene episode. I hope that I gave you some information that you didn’t already know that will help you in your journey, and I hope you had a good time listening. It’s important that as I give you information, I also make it fun and easy to listen to. So let me know if there’s anything I could do to make the medicine taste better, right?
The information is a brand muffin, but I can still put a little bit of icing on that brand muffin for you. So let me know what we could do to make this show better. We’d love it. Please subscribe to the channel and remember to give us an honest review on whatever app you are listening to this show on. We could really, really, really use that. All right, everybody. I’m going to get us out of here for today. Please check out another video or episode if you have time, and if not, I will see you on the next one.

 

 

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Here’s the inflation breakdown for October 2022 — in one chart

Here’s the inflation breakdown for October 2022 — in one chart


People shop for bread at a supermarket in Monterey Park, California on Oct. 19, 2022.

Frederic J. Brown | Afp | Getty Images

Inflation was cooler than expected in October, although household staples such as shelter, food and energy remained among the largest contributors to consumer prices still rising at a historically fast pace, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said Thursday.

Inflation is a measure of how quickly the prices consumers pay for a broad range of goods and services are rising.

The consumer price index, a key inflation barometer, jumped by 7.7% in October relative to a year earlier — the smallest 12-month increase since January. Economists expected a 7.9% annual increase, according to Dow Jones. Basically, a basket of goods and services that cost $100 a year ago costs $107.70 today.

The annual rate is down from June’s 9.1% pandemic-era peak and September’s 8.2% reading, but is hovering near the highest levels since the early 1980s.

“That’s obviously still very high,” said Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, of October’s reading. “But at least it’s a move in the right direction.”

A decline in the annual inflation rate doesn’t mean prices fell for goods and services; it just means prices aren’t rising as quickly.

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While the headline annual reading is generally easier for consumers to understand, the monthly change is a more accurate gauge of near-term trends, i.e., if inflation is speeding up or slowing down, economists said.

The CPI rose 0.4% from September, according to the BLS. Economists expected a 0.6% monthly increase.

“For the past year to 18 months, we’ve seen a lot of 0.4%, 0.5%, 0.6%,” Hunter said. “It’s the reason annual inflation has been so high.”

Consistent monthly readings in the 0.2% range would suggest inflation was under control, he said.

The ‘pervasiveness’ of price increases

A healthy economy experiences a small degree of inflation each year. U.S. Federal Reserve officials aim to keep inflation around 2% annually.

But prices started rising at an unusually fast pace starting in early 2021, following years of low inflation.

As the U.S. economy reopened, a supply-demand imbalance fueled inflation that was initially limited to items such as used cars, but which has since spread and lingered longer than many officials and economists had expected.

“That’s the crux of the problem: the pervasiveness of inflation,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.

Inflation weighs on holiday gifting budgets

Inflation was a top concern for voters heading into Tuesday’s midterm elections. An NBC News poll issued last weekend found 81% of respondents were either somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with the state of the economy — a level unseen since the 2010 midterms.

The typical U.S. household spends $445 more a month to buy the same items it did a year ago, according to an estimate from Moody’s Analytics based on September’s CPI report.

Meanwhile, pay for many workers hasn’t kept pace with inflation, translating to a loss of purchasing power. Hourly earnings have fallen 2.8% in the last year after accounting for inflation, according to the BLS.

Food, energy and housing are top contributors

Large and consistent price increases in food, energy and housing have been troubling, despite some recent improvement, McBride said.

They’re necessities that constitute a large share of household spending, making inflation “so problematic” for households, he said.

“You can’t go without eating, you can’t go without cooking or heating the house and you need a roof over your head,” McBride said. “Those are three categories that continue to drive these high levels of inflation.”

Housing represents the biggest share of average consumer budgets, accounting for 34% of household spending in 2021, according to the most recent U.S. Department of Labor data. Transportation, which includes gasoline, and food are No. 2 and No. 3, respectively, at 16% and 12%.

Any meaningful relief for household budgets is something that is still well over the horizon.

Greg McBride

chief financial analyst at Bankrate

Shelter prices increased in October, jumping 0.8% from September — the largest monthly increase in that category since August 1990, according to the BLS. The category is up 6.9% in the last year.

The “food at home” index — or grocery prices — jumped 12.4% in October versus the same time a year ago. That’s an improvement from 13.5% in August, which was the largest 12-month increase in more than 40 years, since 1979.

The energy category — which includes gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas and electricity — was up 17.6% last month relative to October 2021. That’s a decline from September’s 19.8%.

“Any meaningful relief for household budgets is something that is still well over the horizon,” McBride said.

Gasoline prices had been a primary irritant for many Americans earlier in the year. Prices at the pump have retreated from summer highs of more than $5 a gallon nationwide, but edged up slightly in the past week; they currently sit at an average $3.80 per gallon, per AAA.

‘We have a ways to go’

Monthly increases came from shelter, motor vehicle insurance, recreation, new vehicles and personal care, according to the BLS. There were also some monthly declines: used cars and trucks, medical care, apparel and airfares, it added.

“Price pressures remain evident across a broad range of goods and services,” Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, said during a press conference Nov. 2.

The central bank has been raising borrowing costs aggressively to cool the economy and reduce inflation. Powell signaled that policy would likely continue for the foreseeable future.

“I would also say it’s premature to discuss pausing [interest-rate increases],” Powell said. “And it’s not something that we’re thinking about; that’s really not a conversation to be had now.”

“We have a ways to go.”

Inflation isn’t just a U.S. phenomenon

Inflation isn’t a problem in just the U.S. Indeed, it’s been worse elsewhere.

For example, consumers in the United Kingdom saw prices increase 10.1% annually in September, tying a 40-year high hit in July.

But on the global stage, inflation first showed up in the U.S., Hunter said. That’s partly due to Covid-related restrictions unwinding sooner in many states relative to the rest of the world and federal support for households kickstarting the economic recovery.

“The U.S. has been a leading indicator for what’s happened to inflation in other countries,” Hunter said.

Inflation is a global problem worsened by geopolitical factors such as the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. Pictured: damage in Donetsk, Ukraine, on Nov. 5, 2022, after shelling.

Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

Americans had more disposable income as the economy reopened, the result of federal funds such as stimulus checks and pent-up demand from staying at home. Meanwhile, Covid-19 lockdowns roiled global supply chains — meaning ample cash ran headlong into fewer goods to buy, driving up prices.

Those supply-chain issues are “only now beginning to unwind,” Hunter said. But higher labor costs — the result of ongoing worker shortages and wages that have risen near their fastest pace in decades — have led to upward pressure on the cost of services, too, he said.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine also fueled a surge in commodity prices — for crude oil and grain, for example — which has fed into higher costs for gasoline and food, Hunter added.

High energy costs have broad ripple effects on other goods, which become more costly to produce and transport.

“I think this is something that will likely take much of 2023 to unfold, if we’re lucky,” McBride said.



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Europe’s Energy Crisis Is A Bigger Issue For The U.S. Than You Think—Here’s What You Need To Know

Europe’s Energy Crisis Is A Bigger Issue For The U.S. Than You Think—Here’s What You Need To Know


The Federal Reserve just increased interest rates another .75% in one of the fastest course corrections in the history of monetary policy. Many are now predicting doom for the real estate market. And while real estate will almost certainly go down (indeed, that seems to be intentional), the strong lending standards of late, low-interest, fixed-rate debt most homeowners have, and the persistent housing shortage should prevent another housing crisis.

But the saying amongst military strategists that “generals always fight the last war” could just as well apply to economists; “economists always predict the last recession.” (That is when they’re not predicting seven of the last two recessions, but that’s another topic.)

Housing will likely suffer, and the market will “freeze,” as I will discuss further below. But the real dangers to the world and the American economy lie elsewhere.

Indeed, the “technical recession” of Q1 and Q2 this year, where growth dipped but unemployment stayed below 4%, is not going to be enough to quell inflation. And Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell seems (surprisingly from what I predicted) quite dedicated to “be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%,” which will almost certainly push the United States into a not-so-technical recession. 

But it’s important to remember that most recessions are far from catastrophic. People think of the 1950s as an economic boom time, yet it had three separate recessions. Even the deep recession in 1982 caused by Chairman Volker sharply increasing interest rates to quell inflation was relatively short-lived. There are, however, ominous clouds circling in areas outside of real estate and the United States in general that should be monitored carefully as they could conceivably cause a global financial contagion.

And the first place to look is Europe, most notably Germany.

The European Energy Crisis

Most of Europe has found itself in a severe energy crisis, with Germany being hit the hardest. When Russia invaded Ukraine, the United States and other European nations put a litany of sanctions on Russia. Russia responded by cutting off natural gas, particularly to Germany. Energy prices spiked and pressure mounted in Germany to reopen Nord Stream 2. However, such possibilities came to an abrupt end when the pipeline was sabotaged in late September.

Indeed, in September, the situation looked absolutely dire. Just look at this graph showing an almost ten-fold increase in the price of natural gas futures over the previous year.

dutch natural gas futures
ENDEX Dutch TTF Month Ahead Natural Gas Futures- Bianco Research

European leaders have scrambled to find alternatives and shipped in an enormous amount of natural gas from abroad. Indeed, they have shipped in so much that the situation has (sort of) reversed itself, and spot values have fallen below zero

Unfortunately, this most certainly does not mean that the problem is solved. Germany, and all of Europe for that matter, has enough gas to get through the winter as of now. The problem is how much they have had to pay for it.

As CNN notes, despite being blessed with “unseasonably mild weather” with “consumption closer to August and early September [levels],” natural gas futures “are still 126% above where they were last October.”  

Indeed, to fill European gas storage to capacity, it cost 6.5 times as much this year than in previous years. 

nat gas shortage
European Natural Gas Shortage Costs – Bianco Research

The crisis is hitting most of Europe. The U.K. government, for example, estimates 10,000 Brits will die this winter due to energy expenses making them unable to sufficiently heat their homes. But again, the country in the worst shape of them all is Germany, which was especially vulnerable as 55% of its natural gas had come from Russia before the war began. Spiegel International puts the crisis into context,

“The current gas crisis has all the ‘ingredients for this to be the energy industry’s Lehman Brothers,’ Finnish Economic Affairs Minister Mike Lintilä said recently. Back in 2008, investment banks triggered a global financial and economic crisis by selling toxic home mortgages tied up in wild securities constructs. This time, it is high gas and electricity prices that could trigger a systemic collapse…

“Many companies are unlikely to survive. In August alone, the number of insolvencies among corporations and partnerships, mostly medium-sized firms, grew by a quarter year-on-year. For October, Steffen Müller of the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research in Halle predicts an increase of one-third compared to 2021. And this doesn’t even take into account the increased energy costs and inflation. Müller expects a structural change in the German economy. Due to the long-term cost increases in energy, wages, intermediate products, and interest rates on loans, ‘some business models are just no longer sustainable.’ Müller says that weak companies ‘are now getting flushed out of the market.’”

The measures being taken to address this crisis have ranged from the obvious (extending the operations of nuclear power plants that were scheduled to go offline) to extreme (cutting down ancient forests for wood to burn as fuel). And, of course, Germany intends to subsidize electric bills while mandating less energy use amongst its citizens and businesses. 

Government forecasts for growth have been reduced by almost 3% and now expect Germany to fall into a recession in 2023 while inflation stays near 10%. At the same time, for Europe on the whole, energy bills could be three times higher than last year. 

And, of course, it could be substantially worse. There were, after all, many overly optimistic predictions about a short recession at the beginning of the housing crisis in 2008.

A Global Contagion? 

Europe is going to go through a lot of pain this winter. And while our thoughts and prayers should be with them, the immediate question is simply whether this will be Europe’s problem or, as Mike Lintilä analogized, “the energy industry’s Lehman Brothers.” We should remember that what was predominantly (but not only) an American housing collapse in 2008 unleashed a worldwide recession that was by no means restrained by the borders of the United States.

Markets are global, and shortly after the energy crisis started, the United States started sending the bulk of its export gas to Europe. While this made perfect sense, it also depleted domestic stockpiles and has caused prices here to rise.  

While nowhere near as acute as Europe, across the board, we’re seeing energy shortages. For example, in New York and New England, heating oil is at one-third of its normal levels, and rationing has already begun.

The United States also depleted half of its strategic oil reserve to combat higher gas prices earlier this year. In an attempt to alleviate global shortages, the Biden Administration asked (begged?) Saudi Arabia to increase oil production. Instead, Saudi Arabia cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day. Unfortunately, it turns out that relying on a medieval, theocratic oil company isn’t a particularly reliable strategy. 

In particular, though, diesel fuel is in short supply. As of October 25, the U.S. was down to just a 25-day supply. As New Your Magazine put it, “The last time there was this little supply, there were about 3.5 billion fewer people on the planet.”

Of course, the United States will almost certainly not run out of diesel. What will happen instead is that prices will rise to both ration supplies and incentivize imports and production.

The problem is that, well, prices will rise. In fact, prices have already doubled this year and will likely increase further. 

Screen Shot 2022 11 11 at 11.38.34 AM
Diesel Fuel Commodity Price (November 11, 2022) – Business Insider

Energy prices are a major driver of inflation, and, as we have seen, central banks are cranking up interest rates to slow general price increases. Even still, Germany is expected to have significant stagflation next year with near 10% inflation during an expected recession (and perhaps, a deep recession). And if many factories and businesses go under from excess energy costs, it could cause permanent damage to the German economy that will prevent anything even resembling a “V-shaped” recovery.

It should also be noted there are other global areas of concern. The war in Ukraine could potentially escalate. China’s sovereign debt situation is teetering on the brink of becoming a crisis. Volatility and risk is high right now, to say the least. 

Given this situation, it is unlikely that inflation will be quickly stymied, which will require central banks to maintain high rates at least through much of 2023. An all-out collapse isn’t probable, in my judgment. But at this point, recessions throughout much of the world—particularly Europe and probably the United States—seem to be all but a given right now. 

Of course, if we do fall into a deep recession, pressure will build for central banks to ease up, and, at that point, it’s anyone’s guess whether they will cave. Earlier this year, I would have said they absolutely would lower rates if we went into a non-technical recession (one with high unemployment), but their recent aggressiveness has given me second thoughts.

How Will This Affect the Domestic Real Estate Market?

A somewhat odd headline recently ran in Fortune starting with “Housing market activity is crashing.”  Notice it’s “activity” that’s crashing more so than the market.

It notes that, for example, “mortgage purchase applications are down 38% on a year-over-year basis.” It’s clearly not a good time to be a real estate agent or a mortgage broker. 

And with the increase in rates and global energy crisis, there’s no reason to see this train slowing down.

The good thing this time around is that lending standards were far better than pre-2008. Now, almost everyone has fixed-rate debt at low rates and substantial equity in their homes. Therefore, instead of a real estate crash like 2008, expect a “real estate freeze,” or, as Bill McBride puts it, a “Sellers Strike.”

New real estate listings are already down close to 15% year-over-year, and given most people don’t need to sell because of the fantastic loans that were available over the last few years, there’s little reason for them to sell.

It’s this ability for sellers to “strike” that usually buoys real estate prices during recessions. As you can see, looking through the Case-Shiller Index since its inception in 1987, in four of the last five recessions, real estate prices either didn’t go down or barely did. 

case-shiller index
S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index – St. Louis Federal Reserve

Even during the 1982 recession, which saw interest rates in the teens, home prices actually went up 1%. (Although they went down in real terms when adjusted for inflation.) Of course, the 2008 recession was very different. That, however, was because the spiral of defaults and foreclosures from all the bad mortgages lead to a wave of distressed sales.

Goldman Sachs sees home prices falling 5-10% next year. Wells Fargo, for its part, expects the following for 2023:

  • New Home Sales down 6.5%
  • Existing Home Sales down 13.1%
  • Home Prices down 5.5%

I think it will likely be a bit worse, but not by any means catastrophic in terms of prices. 

It will be “catastrophic” in terms of activity. Again, it will likely be very tough for real estate agents, wholesalers, and mortgage brokers. Flippers will also have struggles finding buyers and buy and hold investors will have a lot of trouble with financing.

The most likely effect the global energy crisis will have on housing is that it will likely extend this “freeze” for quite some time. Don’t expect rates to be “back to normal” by the middle of next year. 

It could possibly lead to a global contagion and financial crisis as well. While not likely in my judgment, with this much uncertainty going into the winter, it would be wise to stay as liquid as possible with as high of cash reserves as possible. If we do go into a deep recession, having excess cash to help with increased delinquency and higher interest rates is essential. It’s also great for buying up cheap assets at fire sale prices. 

It would also be wise to be extra conservative on new acquisitions in the coming months, at least until Spring returns. Buying a large project before the bottom falls out is not a particularly lucrative strategy. 

Caution and liquidity would be my recommended approach, at least until it’s clear that the energy crisis in Europe (and the rest of the world to a certain extent) only causes a recession and does not become “the energy industry’s Lehman Brothers.” 

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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Look inside only large-scale 3D printed housing development in U.S.

Look inside only large-scale 3D printed housing development in U.S.


Lennar, ICON partner to build largest 3D-printed neighborhood

It looks more like a project at NASA than a home construction site.

Just outside Austin, Texas, massive machines are squeezing out 100 three- and four-bedroom homes, in the first major housing development to be 3D-printed on site.

One of the nation’s largest homebuilders, Lennar, is partnering with ICON, a 3D printing company, to develop the project. Lennar was an early investor in ICON, which has printed just about a dozen homes in Texas and in Mexico. These homes will go on the market in 2023, starting in the mid-$400,000 range.

“This is the first 100 homes, but we expect to be able to bring this to scale, and at scale we really bring cycle times down and we also bring cost down,” said Stuart Miller, executive chairman of Lennar.

ICON claims it can build the entire wall system of the home, which includes mechanical, electrical and plumbing, two to three times faster than a traditional home and at up to 30% of the cost.

“We exceed code requirements for all the different kinds of strength, wind, compressive strength by about 4x. We’re about two and a half times more energy efficient,” said Jason Ballard, co-founder and CEO of ICON.

The printers are designed to operate 24 hours a day, but they don’t because of area noise restrictions. They are almost fully automated, with just three workers at each home. One monitors the process on a laptop, and one checks the concrete mixture, which has to be adapted to the current weather conditions. Another works in support, misting the area with water or adding new material into the system.

“The promise of robotic construction is a promise of automation, reducing labor – therefore reducing labor costs,” Ballard said.

ICON aims to get the number of operators down to two over the next 12 months, Ballard added. Eventually, he wants even fewer operators. “I think the sort of Holy Grail is where one person can watch a dozen systems you need one person to watch a dozen systems,” Ballard said.

The main squeeze

The way it works is a digital floor plan is loaded into the software system called Build OS, which then prepares it for robotic construction. It will automatically map out the structural reinforcement, placing the electrical and plumbing outlets during the print. The printers then squeeze out rows and rows of a proprietary concrete mixture that looks much like toothpaste, slowly building up the structure.

Other companies, like California-based Mighty Buildings, are also using 3D printing technology, but they print the homes in a factory and then move them on-site. ICON brings the factory to the site.

“With this project, we’re improving our total house count 400%, and we expect to like continue at least doubling for the next three to five years,” said Ballard. He said he already has plans to work with other large-scale builders. DR Horton is another of ICON’s early investors.

Lennar’s Miller said his primary focus is on bringing more affordable homes to the market, and he sees this as one way to do that. But he knows it’s also still the early stages.

“This is all about innovation. If you go around the country and speak to officials at the local and state level, the single biggest question is: How do we provide workforce housing, affordable housing,” he said.

Lennar began plans on the project with ICON when the housing market was still red-hot, driven by strong demand and record-low mortgage rates. Now mortgage rates are more than double what they were at the start of the year, and demand has fallen off sharply, suggesting their could be added risk to this project.

“We still focus on our core business, making the trains run on time, building homes across the country, and as the market cycles up and cycles down we adjust our business,” said Miller. “Innovation is a cycle as it sits on the side of our business because we know, looking forward, there’s a housing shortage out there.”



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You DON’T Need Experience to Invest in Real Estate

You DON’T Need Experience to Invest in Real Estate


Before you invest in real estate, everything can seem new and confusing. Bidding on houses, renovation budgets, finding tenants—these are all skill sets you must acquire to become a financially independent real estate investor. But that doesn’t mean you need to be a pro before buying your first property. Just ask Brittany Arnason, AKA InvestorGirlBritt, the Canadian real estate superstar who started BRRRR-ing her way to wealth at just eighteen.

We brought Britt onto the show to help us dive deeper into a question we received on the Real Estate Rookie Facebook Group. This question came from JP, asking: How do you network and partner with more experienced investors when you feel you have nothing to add value? 

Most investors never feel like they know enough, and this is especially true if you’ve never done a deal before. But, Britt may serve as the perfect person to share her experience with JP, as she went from knowing nothing about real estate to becoming a multi-million dollar commercial investor all before the age of thirty!

If you want Ashley and Tony to answer a real estate question, you can post in the Real Estate Rookie Facebook Group! Or, call us at the Rookie Request Line (1-888-5-ROOKIE).

Ashley:
This is Real Estate Rookie episode 234.

Britt:
In order to raise money, in order to do those type of things, people have to like, know, and trust you. So a great way to build that trust and likability and get to know the people is through posting very consistently on Instagram. What that translated to for me was over $10 million in capital raised through my social media platforms for my projects.

Ashley:
My name is Ashley Kehr and I am here with my cohost Tony Robinson.

Tony:
And welcome to the Real Estate Rookie Podcast, where every week, twice a week, we bring you the inspiration, motivation, and stories you need to hear to kickstart your investing journey. And we’d like to start these episodes by shouting out folks in our Ricky audience. And today’s review comes from Azari E. And Azari says, “This is a must listen podcast. It’s my go-to for keeping my mind focused on real estate investing. The episodes are filled with digestible bits of information, fantastic guides on how to invest in relatable stories from other real estate investors at all levels. The hosts are authentic and super pleasant to listen to, and I listen to them on my runs making both of them super enjoyable.” Azari, I appreciate that, especially the part about the hosts are super enjoyable to listen to because there’ve been quite a few other reviews that have said quite the opposite. So I appreciate you, brother. But hey, if you guys haven’t yet, leave a five star review on whatever platform it is you’re listening to.

Ashley:
Yeah, thank you guys so much for those of you that have left reviews. We really appreciate it.

Tony:
We should maybe do that during BP CON where we just read all the mean reviews that have come in.

Ashley:
Like Jimmy Fallon Mean Tweets.

Tony:
Yeah, like the Mean Tweets because we got a lot of them. There’s enough for us to get through a few.

Ashley:
We do talk about crying at the end of this episode. It might not make me cry.

Tony:
But we’re here live at BP CON. This is I think our second episode we’ve recorded since we’ve been here. This one was super impromptu. We’re just sitting down here in a little media room and then a very special guest walks in and we’re like, “You haven’t been on the Rookie show yet. We got to change that right now.” So within five minutes we start recording this episode.

Ashley:
This is a real estate superstar that is coming on. She started out doing DIYs at the age of 18, buying properties, fixing them up and then renting them out. And since then, has transitioned to raising money for self storage.

Tony:
So today’s super special guest is the one and only Investor Girl Britt. She’s insta famous. She’s crushed it into real estate. And we brought her on some, to hear her story, but more so to talk about how she focused on building her platform early on, the impact it’s had on her business and what she would do today if she had to start all over in building that platform.

Ashley:
And more specifically, how it actually connects with you guys as rookies, why you should be doing it now, not having any experience, maybe just starting to learn about real estate and how you can actually add value to other people because of that.

Tony:
We also talk about how a case of food poisoning changed her life forever for the better. So make sure to listen for that part.

Ashley:
Before we bring on our special guest today, we do want to address a rookie reply question. So this question comes from JP Bailey and was posted in the Real Estate Rookie Facebook group. Today’s question is, “How do you network and partner with more experienced investors when you feel you have nothing to add value? I’m aware that this might just be me being too hard on myself.” Tony, I think this is actually a great question and very relatable to a lot of people.

Tony:
Totally. Even for me, Ashley, when I think about the investors that are more experienced than me, a lot of times I have to question myself and say, what value can I add? I do remember being a rookie with zero deals and that is a very real feeling. But I think there’s a few things, JP, that you can look at. So even if you have no deals, do you have time? Time is one of the most constrained resources that a lot of other successful investors lack. So if you can just bring an abundance of time to help them do the things that maybe they don’t have the time to do, that’s a tremendous way to provide value. So for example, say that you want to work with someone that’s an experienced flipper and maybe they don’t have the time to run to Home Depot to get supplies, or maybe they don’t have time to cold call people to try and get more leads, or maybe they don’t have time to… There’s so many different things going on in that business that are important, but not necessarily the best use of that investor’s time.
So if you just have time, that’s a great way I think for you to add value. And then another thing is ability. So even if you don’t necessarily have experience flipping homes, do you have experience maybe creating systems and processes? Maybe you can be the person that at the beginning of every job you walk the property with the crew and you create the scope of work in the budget. Or maybe it’s your duties to look at all the comparable properties that have sold recently. And you use that to create the scope of work. There’s so many things that go into creating a successful real estate project where even if you don’t necessarily have experience in real estate, but you have experience with other skills, you can still provide value to someone that’s more experienced than you are.

Ashley:
I think that our guest that we’re bringing on today will relate to this even more. So we’re bringing on, as we mentioned in the intro, Investor Girl Britt, and she actually talks about how she has partnered with AJ Osborne, the king himself of self storage. I mean if you think self storage, you think AJ Osborne. She also had that kind of limited mindset about herself as to wow, he’s this huge investor and I’m just burring these $30,000 houses in nowhere Canada. But she talks about how she did add value and she found a way that something he didn’t have. But as far as the networking piece, and not even trying to partner with someone but to network with them and make that connection. People really like to talk about themselves. So find something that that person is interested in and start talking about it with them, asking them questions about it.
Investors are probably tired of answering the same questions over and over, and they won’t get that light inside, that won’t spark a fire inside of them talking about those same things. But if you can find something that maybe they don’t get to talk about a lot that they really love and really enjoy and make a connection that way and build almost like a friendship before you even get into the real estate side. Tyler Madden, I feel like that is his superpower. An investor out of Denver. He’s really good at that, is finding out what people are interested in becoming friends with them or making that connection before it’s even talking business. How can we each add value to each other? Or things like that. So it’s just really think about just social skills in general.
Like dating. Okay, if you’re going to date someone, you’re going to try and find out what they’re interested in. You’re not going to be right away. “Okay, let’s get married. How many kids do you want? You want 2, 3 kids or whatever?” You’re going to find what interests them and you’re going to do things that interest them so they like you and vice versa. You don’t have to right away know how to add value to someone. It’s more about making that connection. Because think about how many times you hear people saying, “It’s not what you know. It’s who you know.” And if people genuinely like you and they feel that connection, they’re going to feel pulled to want to work with you, to want to do something with you.

Tony:
I’m so glad you brought up the networking side of it because I think a lot of people overlook the role that social media can play in building that network. I think for me, there’s a lot of people that reach out to us on social media and ask questions, but there’s always that one person that comments on almost every single post that I put up as soon as I post it and I’ve met some of those people in person and as soon as I see them I’m like, “Hey, I know you.” It’s like, “I’m the one that always comments on your stuff.” So if there’s someone, JP, that you look up to or that you do want to partner with, maybe just start being super engaged in their Instagram comments and every time they post something and don’t just put a little fire emoji, maybe do something like this more insightful, that’s like a value add comment to the rest of the community. And if you’re the first person to comment on every single thing that they post, eventually that relationship will naturally start to build.

Ashley:
Go stalk someone is what you’re saying.

Tony:
Yeah. I think that works up to a certain extent where if you’re trying to network with Dwayne Johnson the Rock, I don’t know if that approach will work, but if it’s someone that’s kind of a smaller influence, I think there’s a path forward there.

Ashley:
So let’s get into it with Britt. And I think that you guys are going to be able to relate to a lot of what she says. And even though this is the rookie channel, we love to bring on those rookie investors. Once in a while, we love to grab that expert at something and break it down for you guys how the thing that they’re doing can really propel you if you start doing it now as a rookie. So let’s bring on the famous Instagram Investor Girl Britt. Britt, welcome to the Rookie podcast. We are so happy to have you. Why don’t you start off telling everyone a little bit about yourself and how you got started in real estate?

Britt:
Oh cool. Thanks for having me, you guys. I can’t believe I haven’t been on the show before.

Ashley:
Because you’re too experienced. You’re not a rookie anymore.

Britt:
True. Well, we all have been there. So first house I bought when I was 18 years old and I got that one. It’s a weird story. I never know how to get into this because it’s kind of weird. But I got food poisoning when I was six years old and the restaurant paid insurance money out to all the people who got super sick. So I had this chunk of cash and when I was 18, I bought my first rental property. So I was a $25,000 house and part of that food poisoning money went to pay for that. And then I worked for the rest of it. The rent was 850 bucks a month. So I’m like, I don’t know anything. But I do know that 850 over the year, this house is going to be paid off in a few years. So it’s almost one of those things where nowadays we have so much information, it’s information overload. But me at that time, I’m like, “That makes sense. Very simple math. Let’s do it.” So learned a lot just after that first deal.

Tony:
I mean that’s got to be the best food poisoning experience that I’ve ever heard before.

Britt:
It’s the best. It was amazing.

Tony:
I mean first, kudos to you for being 18 years old and thinking I just got this $25,000 check and I’m not going to go blow it on, I don’t know things that 18 year olds buy, but I’m going to buy real estate. How did you get to that point? Was someone coaching you? Was someone teaching you? What was the trigger that made you say, “Let me buy real estate instead”?

Britt:
Well, my mom had tenants in our house because she needed help paying the mortgage. So there’s a point where she would have tenants. We had basement tenants and all of this stuff. And I saw her not being able to afford the property to being able to afford her mortgage with renters. And I’m like, “Okay, that makes sense if you have rental income coming in every month.” And then the other part of that was she got me and my brother to help her fix up these properties. So she’s like, “All right, here’s a paintbrush. You’re eight years old. Let’s get to work.” So it was great because I learned a lot of hands on stuff early on too.

Tony:
Got it. So it was your mom that kind of planted that seed for you to become Investor Girl Britt that you are today. For our audience that doesn’t know how much of a beast you are in the real estate space today, just give us an overview of what your business looks like today.

Britt:
Yeah. I grew my Instagram following. It was a huge piece to this as well. So now I own 28 doors I guess in residential. So that’s a mix between apartment buildings, some single family, but I’m kind of away from that now. And then self storage as well. So syndicating self storage in the US. So I’m kind of also in US and Canada and this gets really complicated. But that’s kind of been more my direction now, the commercial real estate space and working with amazing operators in the self storage industry. But through Instagram, there’s just capital that can be raised, there’s deals that can be found. It’s been a huge catapult really to get me to where I am today.

Ashley:
We talk a lot on this podcast about staying on the same path. Pick a strategy, pick your criteria and stick with it. So at what point did you decide, you know what? I’m going to pivot from single family, small multi-family to self storage. And what would be your advice to somebody as to when that time is right?

Britt:
Yeah, that’s a great point because I think it is extremely important to pick your path, get really good at it, but know that you can pivot in the future. Because there’s so many ways to make money in real estate. If I went full out into multifamily, I know I would be successful. Full out into self storage. It doesn’t almost matter the path you choose as long as you just choose it and go all in. But the point of pivoting for me, especially from single family, was getting in rooms with people and masterminds where they were doing big commercial deals. And I just thought, okay, if I want to scale and get to where… And I had this feeling, I really want to grow. I was really in my comfort zone with a single family. I’ll be doing DIY single family until I’m dead. I’m never going to stray away.
And then all my friends at this mastermind are like, “Okay, do whatever you want, but if you want to grow faster, it’s probably better if you stop doing everything yourself.” But I was so comfortable in that I didn’t think I wanted to change, even though I kind of knew deep down. Because it was hard. It was hard being in that world of doing completely everything, renovations, property management, Instagram. I handled all of it on my own. But then getting in that space with all these people who are doing the self storage and the large multifamily and all that, I thought okay, I can actually do this. And I just got a lot of confidence through that.

Ashley:
So you basically became a rookie again.

Britt:
Yes.

Ashley:
You became a rookie at a different strategy, a new business model. So kind of touch on that a little bit, what it was like. Here you were very experienced, an expert in long term buy and holds in your markets and now completely pivoting and you’re a rookie again in a whole different strategy. What was that like?

Britt:
I think the mistake people make is they think they have to do it all alone. You can hire people who are amazing at what they do and then you can use your strengths and then kind of start building a team. So that was difficult though because I’ve never hired anyone. And then I was reading the book Who Not How by Dan Sullivan. He’s like, “I just hire people to hire all my people.” So I said, “I’m just going to do that.” So I hired a company who helped me build out my whole team and just get that together because I had no idea. And that’s part of it too because I didn’t understand the business side of it so much. I just knew how to buy single family homes and renovate them. But the business end of it, I just could never really grasp that. But there’s so many amazing people out there and it’s better to all be working together and really just focus on your own strengths.

Tony:
So Britt, obviously the majority of our audience, they’re rookies who are super early, haven’t even really begun their journey yet. Would you have been able to build that team on day one or did you have to grind it out yourself first before you got to that point of being able to add those people around you?

Britt:
That’s a good question because I do think it takes some time to figure out who you are and what your strengths are. But really try pay attention to that and focus on it. Because if I was doing bookkeeping, there’s a lot of things that I should not be doing. I’m not very organized. But it’s very consistent through even in high school or through my serving jobs, all these skills and what I’m really good at, I’m still really good at. And what I’m really bad at, I’m still really bad at that. I think just paying attention to it and maybe people can start paying attention in their own job or life in general and write down all your strengths, all your weaknesses. There’s tests you can do online, like the DISC test and there’s one called Working Genius and then you can really just figure out, “Okay, I’m really good with this.” And then eventually, maybe it’s not right now, but eventually when you start to partner or build a team, you’ll have a good understanding on what that should look like.

Tony:
I think the other thing, and this is what I struggled with early on, was just being able to afford to pay people. It’s like when you’re first building your business out, there’s very little money coming from your business. So you do have to kind of do everything. But the decision you have to make as you start to scale is do I take the additional profits that are coming off and use that to inflate my lifestyle or do nicer things for myself, or do I take that additional money and reinvest it back into the business by hiring the right people around you? And we’ve made the decision to hire more people to build that team out and I feel like that’s unlocked so much more growth because now, like you said, we’re able to really operate in our areas of strength and not our areas of weakness.

Britt:
Absolutely. I very much struggled with it because I couldn’t understand. I’m like, how am I supposed to pay someone 50,000 a year? I’m not making anything. I’m trying so hard. All the money’s going to renovations. But the sooner I hired, it was the best thing ever. Because it just takes stuff off your plate and what gives you energy and what will actually move the business forward instead of doing all these little tasks that just take all your time and then you’ll never be able to… You just get there so much faster. But I think also thinking about it in a way where it’s not I’m paying someone 50,000 or whatever it is for the year. No, it’s a three month contract. Think about it more short term. Can I afford each month? And then go at it that way.

Tony:
So Britt, something that you’ve done phenomenally well is build your presence online. We talk to a lot of rookies in our audience and we tell them that your platform if you want to scale, is one of the most important assets you can build. First, can you share with our listeners how big that platform is for you today? And then second, if you were starting new today as someone who had zero followers on any platform, what steps did you start taking to build that platform out?

Britt:
So I’m at 250,000 on Instagram. That’s my main platform, but I’m trying to get on all of the different ones now too. But it is the best thing I ever did. I went to a real estate conference, my first one back in 2016 I would say. And I met a mentor there who told me, “Britt, you have to start doing something right now to build your credibility as an investor. Start a newsletter, start something.” So I started a blog and I’m like, “This sucks.”

Ashley:
We have to find that blog. We’ll post it in the show notes.

Britt:
You know what it was called? I forgot about this. It was called Little Investments on the Prairie. Because I had all these little $25,000 houses but I’m not a writer and it was just really difficult to keep up with. But then I found Instagram. I didn’t have Instagram previous to that and I didn’t even want it. I didn’t want to be on social media at all. But then just from this mentor, I thought that is a good idea. It took me a year to get to a thousand followers and I thought this is impossible. I don’t know how to grow social media. This is so hard and so much work. But I just kept very consistent at it. I’d post Wednesdays and Sunday. So I’d post consistently all the time. And then I discovered lots of people are interested in the video side of things and the transformation of the space. Because I was doing all fully renovating the house on my own. So people started to be interested in that and I started getting reposts and it really worked for me.
So I think when people are building their page, what stops a lot of people is they think they have to be experts but you don’t. People want someone to relate to. So that’s more important than anything. It’s building your story and showing transformation of yourself as a person too. Things you’re learning, different things you’re doing. So I think posting just about, even if you’re reading a book and then you could say, “Hey I read this book Who Not How and I learned this thing and now I’m growing and expanding my mind.” But you can always find someone in an audience that can connect to different things. You just have to keep trying different ways, and it’s actually been hard for me because I was doing the DIY renovations for so long, but then I pivoted to commercial real estate. I’m like, “I don’t know what to post anymore.”

Ashley:
Your Excel spreadsheets.

Britt:
I know, this is so boring. But it’s part of that pivoting again. And then I tried a whole bunch of different posts. Some of them went completely dead, just didn’t work at all. But then you try something else and then just kind of find what works. So you have to just keep trying.

Ashley:
Who was the first person that you hired to actually help you with the content creation side? Because you did it all yourself for a very long time.

Britt:
True. Yeah, I did all the content creation and the good thing is I have 50,000 photos and videos of all my renovations. So even though I’m not doing my DIY renovations, I have all the videos that I could still use and I just had a viral reel, I got 2 million views, and I did that project five years ago. So it’s pretty crazy. I think just capturing as much content as you can, no matter what it is, even if you think it’s kind of pointless. Just take a video or photo anyway because your future self will thank you.

Ashley:
What are some of the benefits of actually building a brand or getting your name out there? So for Tony and I, if we wouldn’t have had any social media or he wouldn’t have had his podcast, we probably wouldn’t be sitting here today because nobody would know who we were and how to reach out to us or what we were doing. So I mean that definitely is a huge benefit is that you’re provided opportunities because people see what you’re doing. They get to know you through your social media. So what have the benefits been for you as an investor?

Britt:
Well, real estate is a people business and it’s a relationship business. So the best way to build the relationships and a lot of them all at once is through social media, through Instagram. And you could do Instagram stories and people really feel like they’re connecting with you because you can’t tell if you’re looking… Your brain can’t comprehend the difference of if you’re looking at a phone, it’s like I’m talking to Ashley even though she’s on my phone, we’re not in person. She doesn’t know who I am, but I feel like I know her. My brain’s actually building that relationship with her. In order to raise money, in order to do those types of things, people have to like, know and trust you. So a great way to build that trust and likability and get to know the people is through posting very consistently on Instagram.
What that translated to for me was over $10 million in capital raised through my social media platforms for my projects. So it’s been pretty cool to see that and just friendships as well because real estate’s hard and it feels extremely lonely. It’s not easy. We all know that. We’ve all been there, but if you have people in your corner, you could build those relationships online as well. So you get friendships out of it, you get deals, you get capital investors, partnerships, everything.

Tony:
First, congratulations to you. You said that real casually, but that’s a big deal. I’m glad you shared that because it lets our audience know what is possible when you can build that platform. So I want to kind of connect it back to the audience about what they can do to get started. So you talked about posting consistently. You talked about not necessarily needing to be an expert, but just kind sharing your journey. What other things can you share with the rookie audience to say, Hey, if you’re starting from zero, here’s some good things to do to build that platform.”

Britt:
Yeah, I think there’s so many different formats to do it on too. And it doesn’t even have to be Instagram. If you’re an amazing writer, maybe it’s Twitter and LinkedIn and different ways. But kind of understand yourself. I’m very visual, so I liked Instagram for the photos and the videos, but if you hate photos and videos and you love writing, there’s opportunity for that as well. It’s like the picking your lane thing. So you pick your lane and then you could expand later on. Because I kind of expanded now, but for six years I was only doing Instagram and now I’m all over. But it was just, you have to really pick and focus. And then I think a good tip is people think, oh it’s all about me. And they feel weird. It’s kind of like this self-promotion kind of uncomfortable thing, but put it to the audience. You’re trying to help someone. You can change somebody’s life. You guys have changed so many people’s lives through the podcast, through your social medias.
I think that’s a good way to do it is to think about it that way, kind of flip the script on that. And then also I heard a thing from Patrick Bet-David, you know who he is?

Tony:
Yeah.

Britt:
So he was talking about his great-grandchildren and imagine all the things, the knowledge, the wisdom that he’s sharing and he thinks about them watching it later on in their lives. And I really like that. And I thought if my grandparents had videos and they were sharing their wisdom, I would love to go back and watch that. So that’s another way to put it too.

Tony:
Yeah, that’s deep.

Britt:
I know. I was like that’s a cool way to think about it.

Tony:
Yeah, that’s amazing. We talk all the time and Ashley touched on it earlier too, that neither one of us would be sitting in this seat if it wasn’t for the platforms that we built. So Ashley had a pretty decent following on Instagram before joining the podcast. I had my own podcast. And like you said, it’s like you never know where those little things will take you and the opportunities that might come your way. So what’s next for you, Britt? What are you planning to do next with your social platforms and continue to build those things out?

Britt:
Well, it’s a good question because I never even know what’s next. It’s just who would’ve thought? I’d never in a million years would’ve thought I’d be on a podcast, be speaking on stage. And that’s the thing. You’re just creating these opportunities for yourself when you really work hard and put yourself out there. So what’s next for me? I’m still on the lane for self storage, raising capital for that. And then just bought a multifamily in Canada as well that just kind of came across my plate through Instagram. So it was just these deals that you don’t even expect but then later on down the line, they just pop up.

Ashley:
Yeah, I think the biggest benefit is that things are brought to you that you don’t even know you need in your life. It’s like you could post about something and someone say, “Oh actually, here, use this or buy this thing or whatever.” And it’s like, oh my gosh, this one little post I did, I didn’t even know I needed that thing. I never thought that I would be a podcast host. But I love it so much. So I think that’s a huge opportunity and a huge advantage of sharing your story, providing quality content. I’m going to post a picture of me in a cute outfit probably in front of the sign later on and post it with some stupid caption. But you know what? The other stuff, I try to actually put some kind of content behind it as to something that you can learn from it too. And I think that makes a big difference too. I mean you go through and you show how to do concrete countertops or something like that. You actually tell people how to do it. And I think the quality-

Tony:
That was cool, by the way.

Ashley:
I actually used your videos to do the concrete countertops in my liquor store. We would go through and look back, “Okay, what products did she say we needed?”

Britt:
That’s so cool. I forgot about that. That’s so good.

Ashley:
It turned out great. So thank you. Along the lines of content creation and your social media posting, everything like that, the mindset side of it, do you ever get cringy or, “I don’t know what people think about this.” I doubt you probably get a lot of bad comments, but if you do, how do you deal with that side of things? When I first started my Instagram, I didn’t tell anyone I was doing it because I just didn’t want to be judged I guess. So it was a full year before anyone I knew even found it. But how do you kind of handle that?

Britt:
It is difficult because naturally we focus on the negative. So you can get a hundred amazing comments and one negative one and that’s the one that bothers you the most. But I think just understanding that’s part of it. You have to take the good with the bad. If you want these opportunities, if you want all this stuff, you have to kind of understand not everyone’s going to like you. It’s just part of how it is. You wouldn’t expect that. So I think going into it, understanding it’s going to happen. There’s no way that you can be online posting consistently and not get some negativities and the cringe worthy ones where you’re like, “Oh I don’t know.” Because it can be weird.
And I just started speaking on camera because I was doing my DIY renovations just working and posting the videos of me working. I never actually did face to camera on my feed. I do it in stories but not actually telling a 30 second story on a reel and it is really difficult and I watch the video and it’s just so embarrassing and it’ll take me 15 minutes to get a 30 second clip because I can’t even remember one sentence. This is really hard. So I think just that practice and consistency and then even if you feel really weird about it, it could help someone else. So I think just posting it and then trying to get better all the time.

Tony:
I appreciate you sharing that because I think someone looks at you who has almost 300,000 followers. I think that you’ve got it figured out. So the fact that you even still struggle to get that content in a way that you like it, that you feel comfortable sharing, I think hopefully it makes it easier for the folks that are listening to the podcast as well.

Britt:
Oh absolutely.

Tony:
So one other question for you, Britt. So do you ever feel that you have to take a break from social? And here’s why I ask that question. For someone that’s just starting out, obviously there’s a certain sense of motivation that comes from seeing other investors kind of crushing in their space. But I think oftentimes you also feel that there’s like this, not imposter syndrome, but you feel like, “Man, they’re doing so much better than me. Can I ever get there?” And obviously your business has grown a lot, but even for me, I still see people like, “Man, that guy’s crushing it, that girl’s crushing it.” It kind of makes you second guess yourself as an investor, right? Do you ever feel like you have to take a break from social media just for your own mental sanity or how do you navigate that?

Britt:
Well, that’s a great point because comparison is a terrible thing and the only thing we can do is try to recognize that and then say you have to compare yourself only to your past self and see that progress there. Because there’s no point if you… Because I felt that all the time, this feeling I’m so behind. I’m like, why can’t I get this? This is so frustrating. And I’ve been there so many times. But I think just understanding that and then as soon as you think that, just catch it and then say no. If I think back to 10 years, how much have I grown? I haven’t had to really take much of a break in that way, but I’ve definitely had those feelings and all you can do is know that you are here right now and you’re working really hard and you will get there.
There’s no way you can fail if you keep going. Even if you have bumps along the way, you lose money on a deal, that’s okay too, because you’re going to learn so many lessons from that. And the only way you’re going to fail is if you quit.

Ashley:
I think you and I kind of went through a time period around the same time of not knowing where we wanted to go next. Where was our pivot going to be? I remember being at AJ Osborne’s office together and you very much felt overwhelmed with things and you were trying to figure out what was the next thing for you. And I think that’s kind of where it blossomed with self storage, everything like that. And I went through the same thing and that’s where, okay, I want to do cabins and land and campgrounds, things like that. So you have I think those two things. It’s not knowing what to do next, what to do better, what to do greater, to keep up with everyone it seems like. And then also that imposter syndrome. Am I really doing everything that I could be? Do I even know what I’m doing?
Even on the plane ride here, usually I travel with my life auxiliary, my security blanket and I was alone on the plane and I’m texting him with tears strung down my eyes. I feel like I’m such an imposter. Do I even know anything about real estate? I have to talk on stage. The poor lady having to sit next to me probably looking over at me, but also having that accountability, that business partner, that friend or whatever who just helps you build back that confidence and reinforces it for you. So yeah, Daryl’s actually behind the camera rolling his eyes at me. But I think it’s important to be honest about those things. Those things happen. And just making your mindset stronger and stronger as you go along with the journey and not worrying about outside factors because social media definitely has changed the world on that for sure.

Britt:
It has. And we put people on these pedestals and then we think, “Oh, they have everything figured out, they just have no problems.” And it’s not that way at all. Everybody, no matter what level you’re at, they all have imposter syndrome in different rooms and it just depends what it is. But I think just knowing that we all feel the same is comfort in itself.

Tony:
You mentioned Who Not How by Dan Sullivan. Have you read The Gap in the Game?

Britt:
Yeah.

Tony:
That was a really eye opening book for me because I think most people that are entrepreneurial, they’re so driven to focus on what’s next and what am I working towards and here’s the goal, how do I get there? But we struggled so much at looking back and saying, what have I already done? When I read that book, it kind of gave me this epiphany moment where it’s like I’m really, really good at looking forward and being aggressive in that way, but I am terrible at looking backwards and being appreciative of what I’ve done. So I’m not even saying that you need to do this, but just for me, I’m talking to you guys and this is something that I’ve struggled with a lot and if you have that imposter syndrome, I think reading that book, it gave me a whole fresh perspective. So I highly, highly recommend it.

Britt:
Absolutely.

Ashley:
Well Britt, thank you so much for joining us for this and thank you for going deep with us there. I know our listeners probably appreciate all the honesty. Can you let everyone know where they can reach out to you and find out some more information about you?

Britt:
Yeah, Investor Girl Britt on all of it. Thank you guys. This was really fun.

Ashley:
Yeah, thank you for coming on. Literally Britt came into the room and we said, “Hey, you want to do a podcast?” Within five minutes, we were sitting down. So great job being put on the spot here.

Britt:
I love it. Well, thank you guys so much.

Ashley:
I’m Ashley at Wealth From Rentals and he’s Tony at Tony J. Robinson. Thank you guys so much for listening and we will be back on Wednesday with another guest.

 

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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First-time-buyer-focused homebuilders are best positioned when mortgage rates fall, says UBS’s Lovallo

First-time-buyer-focused homebuilders are best positioned when mortgage rates fall, says UBS’s Lovallo


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John Lovallo, UBS senior research analyst, joins ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss if mortgage rates could fall below five percent at this time next year, which homebuilders would benefit most and what price would entice first-time homebuyers.



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The Middle Class Wealth Boom Is Over—According To Bloomberg

The Middle Class Wealth Boom Is Over—According To Bloomberg


Many Americans dream of a middle-class lifestyle, which has looked even rosier over the past five years. A bullish stock market characterized the period before the pandemic, and record-breaking increases in housing prices followed. Business closures coupled with government stimulus money caused the personal savings rate to skyrocket

But now, it seems the middle-class wealth boom is coming to an end, according to a Bloomberg News report that analyzed new data on wealth. Middle-class families are feeling the pain of inflation, a volatile stock market, and rising mortgage rates more than their higher-earning counterparts, who can more easily absorb the changes. What comes next in their financial journeys? 

Middle-Class Wealth Grew Rapidly Over the Past Five Years

In March, the average wealth of the American middle class reached $393,300, the highest it’s been in history. That figure includes savings, home equity, and other assets. Most of the increase was driven by rising home prices. Homeowners in Idaho, for example, saw the values of their homes increase by nearly 122% over the last five years. Some metro areas in Florida and Arizona even realized gains of over 200%, according to CoreLogic data. 

People who bought homes before the pandemic and those who took out a mortgage while interest rates were low benefited from these unprecedented boosts to home equity. Middle-class home equity values rose by $5.7 trillion between mid-2017 and mid-2022. The group now holds $17 trillion in housing wealth, representing 60% of total housing wealth in the United States, data from the Fed shows. 

It should be noted that there are multiple definitions of the middle class. Some experts define it qualitatively as having a house, a car, and a retirement account. Pew Research defines middle-class households as those who earn incomes between two-thirds and 200% of the median. The wealth data from the Bloomberg report skews higher income, including adults over 20 with between $48,000 and $170,000 in annual income and between $96,000 and $1.07 million in net worth. 

While the wealth of middle-class earners may have increased over the last five years, the size of the group has continued to contract. It’s not a new phenomenon but rather a trend over the past five decades. And it’s unclear whether current economic conditions will exacerbate the issue. 

The Percentage of Americans with Middle-Class Incomes Continues to Shrink

Since 2000, roughly one in four middle-class earners have either fallen into the low-income group or moved up the ladder to become high-earners each year. College-educated folks were more likely to see their incomes increase, while those without high school degrees were more likely to move down. Middle-class Black and Hispanic adults were also more likely to move down the income ladder than up. 

Experts attribute this to several factors, including an increasing reliance on trade with countries with low labor costs. Another primary cause is the decline in middle-income job opportunities offered to less educated individuals. Looking back to 1980, people without college degrees were equally split between low-income and middle-income occupations. But by 2016, only 29% of non-college workers held middle-income jobs—most of the change occurred because workers without college degrees were pushed into low-paying jobs rather than moving up the ladder as a result of training or experience. This shift had a relatively outsized impact on workers in urban and metropolitan areas, especially minorities with high school educations. 

Now, Wealth in the Middle Class is Declining

At the peak of middle-class wealth in March, the average middle-class adult was $120,000 wealthier than in January of 2017. But by October 25, middle-class earners lost about $27,000 in average wealth since the peak, a 7% decline. That’s the biggest drop in average wealth since the financial crisis that began in 2007. 

The remarkable increase in wealth leading up to the peak may be enough to insulate the middle class during a recession. With the consumer price index up 8.2% from last year, 78% of middle-class Americans report cutting back on spending at least a little bit—but there’s a chance that could be the extent of the impact. 

While research suggests the Fed’s plan to raise the federal funds rate to 2008 levels will cause rising unemployment, it’s expected to affect low-income workers in rural areas the most. Will the middle class stay safe from layoffs, and will their savings and housing wealth act as a cushion for price increases?

Will Housing Wealth Insulate the Middle Class from a Recession?

Some economists believe middle-class housing wealth will help cushion the recession’s blow for the entire economy. Housing wealth isn’t liquid—without taking out a home equity loan at today’s high rates, middle-class homeowners can’t access their housing wealth to help with their rising expenses. But fixed mortgage payments give homeowners more wiggle room than renters facing skyrocketing rent prices

And while some housing markets are cooling off due to higher mortgage rates limiting the pool of potential buyers, most experts don’t see a crash in the near future. Younger generations are fueling high demand for homes while supply remains low. And stricter lending standards mean today’s borrowers are much less likely to default than their counterparts who took out mortgages in the 2000s. That means it’s likely that middle-class homeowners will continue to realize appreciation gains that may help offset increasing expenses. 

Could the Job Market Increase Middle-Class Jobs, or Will More People Fall Out of the Middle Class?

The unemployment rate currently sits at 3.7%. There’s a chance that the competition for and high cost of hiring educated and trained professionals will lead businesses to provide more on-the-job training, creating more middle-class jobs. We’ve also seen pandemic employment trends reversing, with layoffs in higher-paying fields, such as finance and tech, and gains in some industries like travel. The Inflation Reduction Act seeks to create more registered apprenticeships, giving low-income workers a chance to climb the ladder. 

But there are signs the job market is already cooling. Major employers aren’t hiring new workers as rapidly as they once were. Turnover is also down, indicating that the job-hopping trend is winding down, and wages aren’t increasing as rapidly as last year. Executives report that it’s getting easier to attract and hire talent. If a decrease in consumer spending converges with the cooling job market at a time when it’s expensive for businesses to access capital, middle-class jobs could be at risk. 

If unemployment rises for the middle class, the size of the group could contract even further. Non-college-educated workers who are laid off from middle-class jobs may be pushed into low-income jobs. Meanwhile, high mortgage rates alongside high rents and expensive groceries are making it more difficult for people to become homeowners and build middle-class wealth. Each new generation has experienced a decrease in the homeownership rate since the boomers. Homeownership is less affordable now compared to historical averages in most of the United States. 

And since housing wealth is a means for passing down wealth through the generations, the problem could continue to snowball. It could become more difficult for low-income earners to enter the middle class, while at the same time, a recession could cause some middle-class earners to fall out of the group. But middle-class adults remain optimistic. 81% believe their children will have even better financial prospects, according to a Harris poll. Whether or not their expectations are met depends on a wide range of factors impacting an unpredictable economy. 

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Mortgage rates fall sharply to under 7% after inflation eases

Mortgage rates fall sharply to under 7% after inflation eases


A ‘For Sale’ sign is posted in front of a single family home on October 27, 2022 in Hollywood, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Mortgage rates fell sharply Thursday after a government report showed that inflation had cooled in October, prompting a decline in bond yields.

The average rate on the 30-year fixed plunged 60 basis points from 7.22% to 6.62%, according to Mortgage News Daily. That matches the record drop at the start of the Covid 19 pandemic. The rate, however, is still more than double what it was at the start of this year.

In turn, stocks of homebuilders such as Lennar, DR Horton and Pulte jumped, along with broader market gains. Those stocks have been hammered by the sharp increase in rates over the past six months.

The Consumer Price Index rose in October at a slower pace than expected. As a result, bond yields dropped sharply, and mortgage rates followed, as they follow loosely the yield on the 10-year Treasury.

Housing is the canary in the coal mine, says Tri Pointe Homes CEO Doug Bauer

So what happens next?

“This is the best argument to date that rates are done rising, but confirmation requires next month’s CPI to tell the same story,” said Matthew Graham, chief operating officer of Mortgage News Daily. “This was always about needing two consecutive reports of this nature combined with acknowledgement from the Fed that the inflation narrative is shifting.”

But Graham said rates are not out of the woods yet. They are also unlikely to move dramatically lower, as there is still plenty of economic uncertainty both in U.S. and global financial markets.



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Seven-Figure Flips and Opportunity Zone Investing

Seven-Figure Flips and Opportunity Zone Investing


House flips, opportunity zone investing, student housing—name a real estate strategy, Evan Turner, former NBA player, has probably done it. Unlike most professional athletes, Evan left the league with more assets than at the peak of his career. He was buying real estate, building homes, and making moves while working a grueling six days a week schedule, knowing that he had to use this opportunity to build something that went far beyond basketball.

Evan grew up in the inner city with a single parent. The realities of struggling for money were all too real for him when he got hit with millions of dollars in his early 20s. He struggled to spend any money for the first few years of his NBA career, which led him to have a surplus that he used in all the right ways. Relying on NBA veterans around him, Evan knew that to build wealth, he needed to up his assets. The most tangible thing he could think of investing in? Real estate.

Now, with many deals under his belt, Evan has become proficient in almost every aspect of buying, funding, and profiting on a real estate deal. He, like many other investors, is seen as lucky for buying consistently throughout the past decade. But Evan knows that the rewards he reaps today came from smart decisions he made years ago. Now, even after he’s out of the game, Evan is still able to bring in seven-figure paychecks. But this time, thanks to smart strategizing, he’ll get to keep most of it.

David:
This is the BiggerPockets podcast show, 686.

Evan:
I’m a competitor and I compete at basketball at a high level, but I’m good on a journey and minding my own business. You understand? I think one thing that occurs as you get older, even doing contract negotiations, the humility in that is making sure you don’t miss out on your money or the right deal or situation worrying about what the person left the right has. You know what I mean? It’s like a marriage, that relationship has nothing to do with anybody besides those two people.

David:
What’s up everyone? This is David Greene, your host of the BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast, the best, the biggest, the baddest, real estate podcast in the world here today with an amazing episode for you. Today, my co-host, Rob Abasolo and I are interviewing our friend, Evan Turner. Evan had a very impressive NBA career. And while he was in the NBA doing his thing, he was also buying real estate. He’s now a businessman and entrepreneur, and a real estate investor and has been making bigger and bigger moves since he first got started. And he comes on the show to share with us his process, his journey, what he’s buying, how he’s buying it, and how he looks at the world. And you’re going to love what you hear. Rob, what were some of your favorite parts of today’s show?

Rob:
Oh man. This is a favy-fave, as I call it, this is one of my favorite episodes, man. We were just really having a lot of fun. And for those of you, if you stick around to the very end, you’re going to see me drop, I don’t mean to be so intense about it, but some pretty intense basketball analogies there at the end. So I would definitely stick around to the end.

David:
You cannot miss this. Everybody, you have to listen to this show. Rob and his basketball, I don’t know if analogies is the best word, references are worthy of being made into a T-shirt. You definitely need to say these words to Rob when you see him in real life. It was so bad it was good, in a way that only Rob Abasolo can do. By the way, guys, this episode’s a little bit longer, so we’re going to make a shorter intro for you, because we took advantage of as much as we could to get as much out of Evan’s brain as possible, which is why it’s such a good show.
Before we bring in Evan, today’s quick tip is, consider looking into opportunity zones as a way to save in taxes and still help the community. This is a wonderful marriage of social improvements along with smart business moves. And it’s one of the best moves that I think the government has made in a sense where you can get massive tax savings by investing in opportunity zones that also help the community where those properties are. And another part of Evan’s success was his understanding that you win better as a team. So look for ways to surround yourself with like-minded people on the same journey as you, with the same goals as you that are highly skilled in what they do, and find a way for you to contribute as well. All right, enough of that. Let’s bring in Evan.
Evan Turner, welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. Great to have you here, my friend.

Evan:
Thank you. Thanks for having me. Appreciate you guys.

David:
Yeah. Now if anyone hasn’t heard of Evan Turner, I’ve never actually said this, so this will be the first time Evan’s hearing it, he was one of the people that I actually, actually followed your NBA career, Evan. When you first came out of college, I loved the way you played. A lot of people, they hear me talk about jujitsu, but basketball was my first love. And I don’t know, you were just the person who got it. You understood the game at a pretty high level. I really liked watching you play. We’ve talked about the stuff that we like and the things people don’t like. I was a San Antonio Spurs fan. I hated when people were like, “Oh, they’re boring.” It’s like, no, they just play basketball the right way. They’re good.

Evan:
Yeah, yeah.

David:
Yeah, they don’t dunk all the time, they’re boring. So you were like that San Antonio Spurs style of, you understood the game as a whole. So I’ve been following you for a while. I had no idea that you were actually a real estate investor. It’s very cool to get to know you here. And now you actually have your own podcast. So you can tell us a little bit about that and the stuff you guys talk about.

Evan:
Yeah, sure. Thanks for having me, for one, I’m a big fan of your platform. And everything you’re doing is definitely dope and this is cool. I’ve been telling all my friends I was going to be on this podcast, so everybody’s been like, “For real?” I’m like, “Yeah, I’m really going to be on there.” So…

David:
Yeah, Rob dressed up just because he knew that you were-

Evan:
Really? Yeah, I heard he added a pocket to his black T-shirt he used to wear. So…

Rob:
That’s right. I keep all my snacks in here.

Evan:
Hey, that’s all that matters.

Rob:
If you hear me crunching-

Evan:
Hey, don’t worry.

Rob:
… just a few pretzels hanging out.

Evan:
I appreciate that. But like you were saying before, David, I just retired recently, in 2020, from a 10 year NBA career and right now myself and Andre Iguodala, we started a podcast. We just start our second season, it’s called the Point Forward Podcast. Much like David was saying, it’s a play on words from a certain type of position in basketball, which myself and Iguodala were point forwards. And obviously we talk a little bit about basketball, but it’s not fully a basketball podcast. We go over business elements of the podcast, we go over current events and we like to have a overall good time, just like this show. So the basketball part is the second element. But we’re really trying to give free game and have the real conversations that most people won’t have in their position.

Rob:
Yeah, man. So I’m curious, you were in the NBA here for about a good decade. So how did your day to day look? Your entire career, did it change or was it always a pretty regimented day to day for you?

Evan:
It’s always a pretty regimen day to day. I think you guys know as well as anything when you’re focusing and locked in and you’re passionate about something, I felt like it had been basketball 15, 16 hours a day since I was probably 12 years old. So entering the NBA, it was the first real time I had an opportunity to do it as a career. So the first, you have to really wake up and it’s six days a week. You usually get to the facility around 8:00 AM practice usually starts at 11:00. In between there you’re getting your preparation going, you’re eating meals, you’re getting stretching, you’re probably doing body work. Then you’re also lifting weights and then you’re going through a two, two and a half hour crazy regimen practice. And you probably leave the facility each day by 2:30 or 3:00 PM if you’re lucky after healing and icing and taking care of your body. And you go back home and do it the next day. So it’s usually off and on, even if you’re not including game days, a 10 hour thing sometimes.

David:
With that downtime, I got to imagine a guy you who’s a very cerebral player, you’re actually a very cultured man as well, we talked for about 15 minutes before we started recording and, man, you were all over the place. That was pretty cool to see. What was your thought process like? What emotions were you going through when you were in the middle of the career and you realize that real estate was a road that you wanted to explore?

Evan:
I think it was just a door I was thankful that I could knock on because at the end of the day, when you make it to the NBA and you’re living such a fast life, the opportunities that you have, you have access to a lot of money, you have access to the best of best things. And like everything else, you have to govern yourself in order to explore it and also in order to learn. And I think that was one thing I was able to do where real estate somewhat gave me the flexibility. I knew if I bought a piece of property, it wasn’t going to pick up and leave on me. And when I first started out at, which was Columbus, Ohio, I was able to have a familiarity with the people and the environment in order for me to invest and be able to leave and have a time demanding job like the NBA.

Rob:
Was there a little bit of a real estate bug at any point during your career or was it really something that at the very end you decided to go into it? Did you see other friends investing in real estate? What was really that catalyst for you?

Evan:
To be honest with you, I don’t know you all’s background, but where I came from, the typical stuff, I was an inner city kid, single parent home and everything. So to comprehend money, I wasn’t too familiar with that. And then going to the NBA and have a large lump sum of money and you hear all these crazy stories around that time, you’re just coming out of one of the biggest financial crisis and everything. So when my finance company is trying to suggest in investing in stocks, I never really believed in that. I was more so, humbly speaking, just being like, “No, show me what I own,” more so than tell me about what’s going to happen and hit me with the [inaudible 00:08:04]. And I think to say that story was just an understatement because I wanted to make sure my money worked for me. And, David, like what you said, money’s energy.
So I wanted to make sure I had money going somewhere in an asset with the finances that I had much more than just sitting on it and not making it work for me. And I was always fortunate enough to have family and mentors like my mom to tell me that basketball isn’t always going to be there and I got to make sure that my plan B is being worked on before I need it.

Rob:
Totally. So going from not having a lot of money to getting that large lump sum payment, that’s pretty weird. I’ve gone through this in my real estate entrepreneurial career a couple of times and it’s really hard to comprehend.

Evan:
Yeah, for real.

Rob:
Yeah. Did you ever look at your accounts and everything and just not really believe it? What was that whole thought process?

Evan:
Now, to be honest with you, I don’t know how you feel when you look at some of your stuff, but I’m so grateful that sometimes when I look at my accounts and stuff, it’s not like it brings a tear up to my eyes or anything, but I’m just saying, I’m just grateful that this is really mine. You know what I mean? This is what hard work really brings. And I guess, as you guys comprehend, it takes years and years and years to see the fruits of your labor. So I’m just appreciative to really have stuck in with a dream, a passion, and all the sacrifices I’ve made to see it come back in that type of form is a blessing. And it’s something I never take for granted because in this situation there’s a reason why they call it the 1%. Not many people are able to experience that. So you have survivors remorse, but at the same time when you’re on your hustle, you are appreciative towards it and you deserve it.

Rob:
100%. Yeah, I really do struggle with this a lot because, I’m not going to say I came from nothing, that’s definitely not true, my parents were immigrants from Mexico and money was tight growing up, right?

Evan:
Yeah.

Rob:
And so it’s been very hard to break out of this because I have this big fear of losing it all because I’m just like, “Oh, I don’t know, I don’t want to go back.” But I don’t know, what was your first big mindset shift going into this new phase of life where money was plentiful? Were you using that as an opportunity to learn? Were you going back to your family with that? What were some of those big changes for you?

Evan:
I think the biggest changes for me, obviously the first thing you do is go take care of your mom. You know what I mean? And I wanted to take care of my mom, get her house and everything. But I think the biggest change for me was trying to fully comprehend what money was. That’s an understatement. It is a huge lump sum of money. I wanted to make sure I came in with the right opportunity and plan to have it work the right way for me. I was more so scared of losing it more than anything. And that was a big fear to me, almost so much to the first point, my first three or four years, I barely spent money on anything. I think I was fortunate enough to have reached a certain financial mark by the age of 24 that would’ve took care of me for the rest of my life in that certain realm.
So I was still touching the water, seeing how hot it was. But during that time I wasn’t hesitant to dive into real estate and to invest in that because I knew for sure I want an asset along with keeping the money with me.

David:
Okay. That is very insightful because-

Evan:
Yeah.

David:
… it’s odd that you hear a person who… You hear about lottery winners, the majority of them don’t keep their wealth, hardly any of them do. In fact, their life tends to go to crap when they get that money. The analogy that I use is it’s like you never worked out and you held this barbell above your chest for bench press and someone throws four plates on each side when you hit that. You had no foundation to handle that and the money crushes you. So I’m sure a lot of the people that were making money through being a professional athlete that you’re around, it was a scenario for them. They never had it, they got a bunch of it all at once. They weren’t trained for how to handle a weight of that, they lose it.
You were in almost the opposite scenario, you’re saying, I was afraid of losing that money and I had to overcome the fear of losing what I had gained as opposed to the discipline of saving it. What do you think led up to the moment when you received the money and you wanted to keep it that was different in you than in some of the people that were around you?

Evan:
I just think the upbringing, I’m not trying to make my situation seem like, “Oh I came from this,” or try to write a documentary on myself. But I think a lot of times as simple as fact as this, if money doesn’t mean something to you, you weren’t broke enough. You know what I mean? And it is a God-honest truth. So when you break it down, I believe in Darwinism, survival of the fittest. You understand? And there’s a game we play, a life, and there’s certain things that you really have to take into consideration in order to win. And it’s all the stuff they taught you as a kid, make your next move your best move. And I think the environment I hung around as well. I’ve been fortunate enough to have the right type of people around me.
I came into a locker room as a rookie where I had Elton Brand who was huge in investing in real estate, investing in movies. I had Andre Iguodala speaks for himself, he’s a tech entrepreneur and he is very business savvy. I was fortunate enough to be around the right people. And with my notoriety the right type of people came into my circle that can give me, even if it was bad finance advice, it was more than I ever heard growing up. You know what I mean? And I think that type of environment really was able to mold me because I was able to stay in the right rooms and somewhat get the leftovers of game.

Rob:
That’s really cool, man. So was one of your first pieces of real estate that you bought the house for your mom?

Evan:
First real piece of real estate I bought? Honestly, so the first one I bought, we had rented a spot for her and I bought a five unit in Columbus, Ohio, while her spot was being built. So we could say 50, 50, whatever, got closer. But, I was able to buy a 5,000 square foot crib in a up and coming community outside of Columbus that was able to make a pretty penny when we sold it. We bought in and I think the land in 2010 and the house was done at 344. We were able to sell it for 655 as of a year ago.

David:
So that I think is one of the huge, huge, huge foundational pieces for someone that becomes a real estate investor. It’s so important that you have a good experience on your first deal. We all have this amazing amount of fear. People don’t realize it, I’m sure the two of you would agree, the three of us, even today when I buy a house, I still have fear. There’s always that, what if, that hangs over your head. And it’s amplified in the beginning when you get that first one. And if you have a bad experience, you’re like, I’m never doing it again. You have a good experience, it really helps to overcome that fear. So what I love that you’re describing is it was a primary residence. That’s what you’re saying, the first house you bought was a place for your mom. Right?

Evan:
Yes, yes, yes.

David:
Yeah. That is why we talk about house hacking so often because it gives you an experience to get your toe dipped in without getting your foot bit off by the shark or without drowning. Was that how your experience was?

Evan:
Yeah, basically we were able to buy into an area early, build a house up, and there was no real pressure that was just an asset, you know what I mean? It was a very good asset, in my opinion, at that time, that when we sat on it we were able to live and made memories and it’s time to move on. I was grateful we bought it because, like I said, prior to, we were able to double our investment on it and it taught me a lot as an investor in buying into something and seeing how it builds. And like you said prior to, money’s energy. I put however much money into that house and without looking and just living and enjoying myself in it, we were able to make double off at what we put in, so that was a blessing. That’s one thing I always take with me when it comes to continuing to try to build and keep my patience.

Rob:
Sure, sure. So you buy a five unit, you sell it, you make a really good profit, and then what happens after that?

Evan:
So after that I went on a campus and I bought two six bedrooms on campus where students could rent properties from and I own that. Obviously, with real estate, I was able to get that on campus. I put it in a LLC. And one good thing about that is we’re able to do from August to August type situation. You can guarantee that most of the students, especially back then, student loans, all that money, all that rent, is going to be guaranteed each month. So I was able to take advantage of a open real estate market in Columbus and finesse from there. And with that, which I was fortunate enough to occur, is with those same builders, I took that money and the profits from that money and I invested into a new apartment condominium that was built in 2014.
It was called 600 Goodale. I invested a couple 100,000 with a 8% rate of return. And within the first two years I was able to get all my money back, which was big time. And then from there, once they sold it, fortunately enough, it’s been an annual return of 36% since then.

Rob:
Dang. That’s cool.

Evan:
Yeah, so that was shout out to the-

David:
It’s a good experience there too.

Evan:
Yeah man, it is good experience mixed with a lot of good luck. Like I said, coming to Columbus, Ohio, you guys are all familiar, I live a couple blocks away from campus. But being out here you have a lot of real estate developers such as the Kaufmans, the Schottenstein families, the Schiff families, the [inaudible 00:18:06], the Diamonds, where I was fortunate enough with basketball to do well here that had opened doors and open opportunities to invest in some really good opportunities where Columbus was being built up as I was making my wealth. You know?

Rob:
Sure. I don’t know if it’s really all that much luck. Obviously you made it into the NBA and had a successful career because you had hard work. Luck is a component that comes into play when you’re really good at something. So you’re obviously crushing it in the real estate game at this point. You get the house, you make a sale, you get a couple of six bedrooms and then you invest in this apartment condominium. At what point do you feel you told yourself, I’m pretty good at this?

Evan:
I keep it humble in that sense, because I thought, respectfully, if you ask me what I’m an expert at, I was an expert, it’s proven, at basketball. You understand what I’m saying? So I think, after a first couple, talking with some of my mentors, some of my advisors, I was like, man, this is turning out pretty good enough to the point where I’m passing up on trying to buy certain cars and being like, “Yo, I’m going to get this car after I flip this to take that,” almost to the point where I would leave my city in the fall, go work where I had to work at and come back in the spring and feel as though I was going to come back and reap the rewards of a pretty good investment. So I don’t know if that was a sure thing much, but I thought it was going to work for me and luckily it has.

David:
Well something that I learned in basketball, I think a lot of people who played that sport or other team sports learn, is that your individual skills of whatever type you have manifest very differently within a different group. So you could take a certain player and put them on a team and they are lackluster and then they get on another team and like, boom-

Evan:
Absolutely.

David:
… They’re amazing. Right?

Evan:
Absolutely.

David:
And I think that doesn’t get talked about very often because, most of the conversation, let’s use the basketball example here, would be about how you improve your own skills, ball handling, defense, shooting the ball, strength, speed, jumping. But the really smart players are the ones who say, now I know I would be good in this environment. And they actually make that a part of their career, is they’re willing to take a little bit less money to play longer on the right team. That works in business too.
You can have an incredibly skilled person who can analyze properties great, network really good, they have some version of skill within real estate investing, but they never get around the right team. They don’t have the right advisors, they don’t have the right environment, there’s no deals where they’re looking. They don’t have a bookkeeper, an accountant, a construction… Sometimes just having a contractor that’s solid can make a deal work for you that would not have worked if you didn’t have that one piece. You’ve mentioned you were blessed enough to be surrounded by some mentors and some guidance in the right piece. What role did that team that you found yourself around play in helping you be successful in this endeavor?

Evan:
I think everything. I think they helped a lot due to the simple fact of their willingness. You understand what I’m saying? It’s one thing for people to work with you, it’s another thing for people to help you. And I think along those lines, in regards to us doing good business together, each time we were able to make a flip or do something or when I would come up to somebody and be like, “Hey, I’m looking for some deals, I’m looking to invest,” I was always fortunate enough to be turned in the right direction. And also I think in regards to just behind the scene things, in regards to funding, you might get into a deal where the developers are guaranteeing all the risk. You know what I’m saying? And we’re able to just invest freely. I thought the support and the timing of the people in the city of Columbus helped the most with me.
I think my finance advisors finding the right type of loans, making sure, from day one, my business and my finances were in order to make sure I had ways to free up lines of credit. Making me comprehend how important the lines of credit is in order to get things done. Because right now I’m playing in a situation where my interest rate is still at four when everybody’s still at 10. You understand what I’m saying? So those type of moments where I’m able to be able to have a team that can foresee a forecast and have me steer towards less turbulent air is everything because I haven’t really felt a bump in the road yet. I’ve been able to keep adding more and more points to my portfolio.

Rob:
And that makes sense to have those mentors and the people that you’re working with and the people that are helping you. I got to imagine, too, that you probably had some buds also coming out of the league and everything like that, that were also doing real estate. Were you surrounding yourself with more people that were like-minded at that point? Or were you keeping your network the same for the first couple of years?

Evan:
I’ve always been told, even my mentor, my OAU coach, Coach Mullins, he used to always just tell me, even when I was in college and stuff, just like, “What book are you reading? Make sure you read something.” Or if he heard I went to a rap concert or whatever it’s like, “All right, bro, stop going to rap concerts, go up the street, go see Hamilton,” or, “Go…” You know what I mean? I always-

Rob:
Good choice. Good choice.

Evan:
Yeah. But I’ve always been encouraged to go outside of my element and go learn more. And I’m a stubborn individual and some people say I might not listen a lot, but in certain areas I made sure, for whatever reason, I listened at the right time. And that was one thing I always knew that was important to my development, because crossing into an unreal world in the NBA, I was more so wary of making sure I didn’t lose myself or my footing and to really keep in touch with the people and the elements around me, whether it became real estate or it became some other hobby, was part of my everyday regimen. And I think that’s where it helped benefit me in the right rooms of meeting people who wanted to buy real estate.

David:
I think it’s very easy for anyone in any capacity to just zoom in on their own thing and not take that perspective, like you said, getting exposed to more stuff. So I see this with investors where they’re very comfortable analyzing a property. They’re the people that like to use a spreadsheet, they like to run numbers and they just do that over and over and over and they never zoom out and take a look at, is the market I’m analyzing a good market to be in at all? Or what does the appraiser do? How do they come up with the numbers that they’re looking at? The more you learn about the different people’s jobs that are in whatever you are doing, the better your chance of being successful in that. And I think you stumbled into that without realizing that was necessarily happening by just exposing yourself to more than the little stuff that was around you. Right?

Evan:
Absolutely. And I think one thing that occurs as well is, with anything, is humility. Sometimes when I get too cocky on a basketball court, the basketball guys are going to teach me my lesson. You know what I mean? So even coming around into this business world, I think I was able to keep my ears open because I was humble because I comprehended who the experts were. The same way I got off my butt, rearranged everything, when I found out about the BiggerPockets conference. Because at the end of the day I need to go around and be around like-minded people and go talk to the people that have been doing this at a high, high level and that can show me different ways of thinking and maneuvering. It is never changed. It’s just me want to learn and when my direction’s going that way, I’m going to knock on those doors and try to walk through them.

David:
Have you seen a pattern of others around you that want to get a piece of what you’re doing, whether it’s business, entrepreneurship, tech, real estate, and you’ve noticed the thing that stops them from pinning through the doorway of where you’re at is a lack of humility?

Evan:
I think a lack of humility always turns into ignorance because you mix humility in with learning. And when you learn, that’s where innovation comes from. And I think a lot of guys, they’ll stop at the door when they see how hard it takes or how many loops they have to jump. Or sometimes the number one thing, as you guys may know, everything ruins when the percentages come in and we’re fighting over money that doesn’t even exist yet. You know what I’m saying? I think a lot of times those dudes are so wary of coming into those problems mixed in with, if you don’t surround yourself with the right people, there’s a lot of crooks in this day and age as well. So I think guys stay on the stoop more so than going to adventure off.

David:
So you’re referring to the people that are arguing over the split of an endeavor before they even understand how the money flows or what they’re going to be doing, right?

Evan:
Yeah, just that type.

David:
Which is really ego, that’s what you’re getting at, right?

Evan:
Yeah, absolutely.

David:
I need to have the bigger share because of my ego, even though they don’t really understand. I’ll give you an example that makes me think about in sports. Sometimes you see a player negotiate a ridiculously large contract for them on a team and then the team has no money left in the salary cap to bring anybody else in, and then they lose.

Evan:
Yeah. And then they’re talking about, I’m trying to win, I’m trying to win. It’s like, bro, with all due respect, all the great gave up money. If you want that 20 point score… You know what I mean? 35 million and 40 million, it’s a difference, but it ain’t much of a difference. You’re going to get it back some way.

David:
In other ways, that’s exactly right. One of the things we’ve been talking about within the businesses I run is, stop talking with words telling me what you want. So you’d hear these people say, “I’m doing everything I can to bring a championship to the city.” That’s what your words say, but your actions say, “I’m getting every dollar I can for myself,” and now they got to go bring in a 38 year old veteran or draft a rookie who can’t play yet to fit within the salary cap. Your actions are telling me, no, you’re actually just trying to get paid and the championship would come second. Now we’re not trying to win championships in real estate, but there is something to be said about what your actions are saying to the world and to other people versus your words.

Evan:
No, bro, that’s a understatement. You hit the nail on the head because when you break it down and you’re working with certain teams, it’s like, “Yo, this is about the development, this is about the bigger picture.” And sometimes you look at guys you would think they got a reality TV show following them around, you know what I mean? And I think one thing, the humility is, I’m willing to work as a team with this real estate group, I want to make sure I’m investing the best things and whatever can happen best for the group. It’s great for us because like Warren Buffet said, “You don’t want to lose a dime.” So if it comes down to like the urgent care campus I own, I just sold recently in 2021, I partnered 50, 50 with someone out there. You know what I mean? We took a responsibility, took the accountability. But I partner 50, 50 with someone out there in 2019. 2020 hits, pandemic occurs and we’re booming and all that type of stuff.
And just recently I was able to sell that at a 50, 50 split and got a sizable profit from there just off being able to partner up and not trying to control the situation and financing what is a right and good idea and good play. You know?

Rob:
Yeah. Well that’s awesome. So obviously you were crushing it there at the very beginning and you were diversifying there with all the different types of units. Now that you’ve spent some time in real estate, can you help us understand what your goals are and how you set those goals for yourself?

Evan:
Being honest with you, next thing I invested in is block housing. So it’s basically, in Columbus we got funding from the city or whatever, but it’s just more housing. Everybody’s screaming out that we don’t have enough rental housing and rental property. But I want to make sure we’re able to develop something where it’s providing more homes for people that grew up in my situation. You know what I mean? I definitely have ambitions of making sure… I do like to luxury real estate and the vacation real estate, but I definitely want to go back to my old neighborhoods and stomping grounds of that matter and building, buying portfolios and foreclosed homes and rebuilding a block. You know what I mean?

Rob:
Yeah. Is that something that’s important to you just because of your upbringing and everything like that?

Evan:
Yeah, I think it’s very important because at the end of the day it’s like, how hard is it to put something decent for the youth to grow up in? You understand what I’m saying? I used to hoop in the alley. It takes nothing to pave a spot, go put a basketball court over there or… You know what I mean? Go put something that is really going and help the families, but then also help the future. Whether it be a area with a decent swimming pool, an area with a decent computer lab or… You know what I mean? I want to make sure, in those city areas, much like, I don’t know where you all are from, but in the city areas, in those isolated dead areas, sometimes our resources, we get cut off from the rest of the world. So we don’t get the Whole Foods, we get the Dollar Generals or Save-a-Lots, you know what I mean?
We don’t get the Sunkist, we get the orange pop. You know what I mean? Like the knockoff stuff.

Rob:
Dr S.

Evan:
Yeah. Yeah. And I want to make sure we bring back positivity towards the hood because it starts with yourself. Once you start appreciating your environment and what you have, that’s going to breed confidence and everything else, so that’s one thing I really want to do that’s a big picture. And then other than that, I would love to own vacation real estate all over. I would love to do that in Lake Como, own in Bali. I want to own in Barcelona. It’s tons of places I visited. I definitely want to tap into those markets.

Rob:
I haven’t really dived into the international vacation rental market yet, but, hey, Barcelona sounds nice.

Evan:
But you’re diving into something that’s pretty cool though. What is it? The hotels?

Rob:
Yeah. Yeah, we bought a unit motel in New York-

Evan:
Yeah, yeah.

Rob:
… few months go.

Evan:
Yeah, I love that idea. That’s going to be unbelievable because that way you can theme everything, you guys are going to have theme type vibes. I think, obviously I want to steal your idea, but in the grand scheme of things, curating those type of environments and everything is something I would really be interested in, for sure. I think those type of getaways, even if you see my condo, it’s filled with art and just the type of vibe and theme that really curates your energy and mood.

David:
One of the things I really liked about what the government did with the tax code in the last couple years was the creation of opportunity zones where they rewarded investors with tax benefits if they invested into areas that they deemed as an opportunity zone, which were typically lower income, struggling. They’re not getting the same influx of resources that the nicer areas are going to be. What are your thoughts on that principle as a way of building wealth that as the investor improves the area, they also make themselves money and you have a win-win scenario?

Evan:
Yeah, I think it’s necessary because you have to entice people. You know what I mean? I don’t think anybody’s going over there or any smart investor is going to try to go over there and start with rebuild where there’s no guarantee of anything coming to support you. So I think that’s a perk you get for taking that type of chance and trying to rebuild certain parts that literally been systemically forgotten. You know what I’m saying? When we talk about those opportunity zones, we’re going back to the 1940s when we’re talking about the racial wealth gap in America and everything that’s happened systemically, the housing loans only granting 98% of the best real estate to whites. You know what I’m saying? That type of situation. So I think when it comes down to it, we hate talking about reparations, but in certain areas you have to have that to support, especially, when it comes to black athletes or black entertainers that made it out that area. Odd are, a lot of times, unless it’s super beneficial or developers haven’t talked about building that area up prior to or trying to gentrify it, nothing’s ever coming.
And the only people helping other people that climb out that barrel from the other crabs, you know what I mean?

David:
Yeah, for sure.

Evan:
So it’s deeper than rap. I hope the city and everybody in the government keeps trying to do more to help invest in those upbringings. Because at the end of the day, much more than real estate, we’re only as good as our worst guy, you know that ,David? We’re only as good as the last man on the bench. I’m not saying anybody in those low income areas, but at the same time it’s just a truth. There’s no such thing, I’m not okay if I’m making a bajillion dollars and the guy the street is messed up, that’s just not ill.

Rob:
Yeah. Yeah. I think opportunity zones do create that win-win for a lot of people. We actually did a whole episode with Malachi Sims, episode 599, for everyone at home listening. I would really recommend checking that one out.

Evan:
Yeah.

Rob:
Oh yeah, I have all the episodes memorized. No, I’m just kidding. I looked it up. But have you done much investing in opportunity zones yet or is that a big goal for you moving into 2023?

Evan:
So recently, with the block housing, I just invested… Actually, from a shoe company that I signed with, David, coming out I took a bunch of stock back in 2010. That stock was at a few pennies that grew to a bunch. I was able to take money out of there and invested strictly into opportunity zone. So like I said-

David:
Did you avoid some of the capital gains from the gain you had in the whatever?

Evan:
Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes. So like I said, that’s one, in circles from having a great team, that don’t let me take all. Shout to Steve Vujevich, [inaudible 00:36:13] Financial, that was the team doing that. Matt Anderson, that was the team doing that and making that play. So when we were able to do that, we’re able to put it into opportunity zones, the block housing. And with that, the city was able to work with us as well. So we’re able to be able to build some stuff coming up. We’re in production right now.

David:
That’s what I loved about the opportunity zone approach is it didn’t try to guilt people into investing money into something that would lose them money. And it didn’t say, “Well, forget it, they don’t pull themselves out so let’s just ignore.” There was a way of saying, “Listen, rather than, us, taking your money and the government trying to make this better, which is going to be 10 times more expensive than it should be and be a terrible job, let’s take the people that are good at real estate investing, give them a tax break to get them to go in and do what they are good at. And then everyone wins.” And I love, Evan, how you tied it together, where you added the team aspect we talked about earlier. You had people that understood the shoe business. I’m sure your contributions to that company, when you bought the stock for pennies, you realize some of your direction, council, guidance, whatever resources you’re bringing to that investment would make it more likely to be successful.
Then it does well. You take the profit out, you reinvest it into the thing that you care about, it benefits you because you don’t get hammered on taxes. So now you’re not dis-incentivized to do another project just like it. And you get to invest in the area that matters to your heart, which gets you more motivated and amped up to do it again. As opposed to, like we said, you had that bad experience on your first deal, you don’t want to do it anymore. If you have your bad experience with your first, I’m trying to help somebody at my own expense now, you don’t want to help anymore.

Evan:
Yeah. Right, right, right.

David:
Everything worked well, now you want to play the game harder.

Evan:
Yeah, no, and that’s absolutely right. I think one thing that’s occurring now that I retired, just being an adult, I want to take the gloves off, and obviously have my team with me, but have my hand held a little less. You know what I mean? And in order to go from being an investor and developing smaller things to, like I said, getting groups and me being a forefront of the funding and developing big commercial buildings where there’s a seven 11 at the bottom or whatever cool chain store there is and there’s luxury buildings up top. You know what I’m saying? So I think that it’s a next level of playing harder and trying to make it to the Hall of Fame to say the least.

Rob:
Yeah. Well, we have a understanding of where you were growing, but can you give us a snapshot now of the different types of bigger projects and developments that you’re working on? Because I know you’re doing a lot of development now, right?

Evan:
Yeah, so I’m doing a lot of development now. So even as of recently, I invested it into a unit right off on, it’s called San Marcos residence. It’s in Austin, Texas. So I invested that with Schiff Capital. So it’s about 95% occupied. It was a old, I believe, hotel or something. We invested, we refurbished it back in 2018. It’s a college apartment building, probably 150 doors, 200 doors. So I thought that was a pretty big one I invested in. Right now I have a vacation property that I bought during pandemic for two. I put a little bit into it, probably three. I have it on the market right now for 11. So it’s 8,000 square foot, three houses, guest house, pool, seven acres inside Brier’s Creek golf community right outside Charleston, South Carolina, three miles from Kiowa. So you see that little area, that little area’s been booming.
Obviously, everybody knows about Charleston. It’s one of the most tourists visited cities in America. And we got with a group down there, I think when I first bought the spot during the pandemic in 2020, and obviously as a fixer upper, but I was looking into just using as a vacation property for family and everything. But halfway through, the market, it jumped crazy up. And the house I was building was already pretty spectacular. And I was getting a lot of compliments on it to the point where I was like, if I can make this flip and sell this, I would love to continue on, take that money, buy acreage, and start doing a little 12 unit development.

Rob:
Man. Okay. I don’t want to gloss over this. That’s a crazy, crazy project. So-

Evan:
Yeah, I’m trying to be humble about it because-

Rob:
Yeah, I know. I know.

Evan:
If you and I were off this, I’d be hyping be like, bro, guess what I just did. Do you understand what I’m saying?

Rob:
Oh yeah. Definitely.

Evan:
But I’m trying to be calm and not make eye contact and hold my smile.

David:
Oh, no, no.

Rob:
I like that.

David:
We’re going to change that right now. You’re going to tell us exactly how you did this?

Evan:
Yeah.

Rob:
Hey, look, I’m turning off the record button. Click. Okay.

Evan:
All right.

Rob:
Now you can tell me and David. So, all right, you stumble upon this property, you say it’s a vacation property. Let me clarify. Do you mean a vacation rental? Is that the idea? Like it a vacation rental?

Evan:
Oh no, no. Just a vacation for me and my family. Family home. Like a getaway. From Columbus is an hour plane ride. You land three miles at the airport, three miles, you’re right there into 85 degree weather nonstop. So I’ll go back into how it started. So I was looking into vacation properties and rental properties and I kept hearing about Charleston, Charleston, Charleston. And obviously I don’t like being on planes like that. So I was checking the time limit and everything for flights and I found I was only an hour away. My mentor once again, had people in the area that were very familiar with it. So I was able to go out there, start house hunting and start searching. And we stumbled across Brier’s Creek golf course. And the developer of the golf course was actually selling his own house.
He built it and everything, he was selling and he was trying to get out of there. I think he’s trying to move somewhere to some part of South Carolina, and we showed up. And prior to that we had went to Kiowa. And if you go to Kiowa with anything under 10 million, you’re not finding anything with space. And on top of it, if you’re spending that much money, to me, I want land. So that’s why I ended up in Brier’s Creek. And once I saw the seven acres and the three houses, and I knew it was a fixer upper, I was like, okay, I’ll be able to get this for a pretty good price. The price wasn’t terrible, but the number one thing that I did was try to go out there, find a house and find a contractor that I could trust. You understand what I’m saying?
A contractor that knew the area. And that was my guy from Redwood Contracting and that was Tom Cresanti. And from there we tried to figure out the best way to build the best house and not lose money into it. I like lavish things, I like nice things. So some of our tastes are a little up to par, but when I bought it for two, I was able to put three into it. During that time, I don’t know what happened to the housing market or anything, but my land, my space, everything just catapulted to the point where, by the time it was getting done, we were able to put it on a market for damn near double. You know what I’m saying? And –

Rob:
Yeah. Did it sell?

Evan:
So we just put on a market two weeks ago and-

Rob:
Oh okay.

Evan:
… so we have somebody coming tomorrow to take a second look, so it’s people all over. Not to brag on it, if it doesn’t sell by then it’ll be on Selling Kiowa being recorded on the 15. I’ll send you guys a link over after so you can see. But it’s a beautiful crib. And to go deep into it, I think timing and luck, and not just luck but timing and when you know it’s right, it’s right. I didn’t hesitate on this feeling because I went out there trying to probably spend one something or something under, I wasn’t naturally going out there to go in and refurbish something. But once I realized the investment in the property and I saw the opportunity, I’m like, okay, I understand what my budget was, but if I’m up here and it’s an opportunity to do it, I’m going to do it right.
And I think that commitment was what really allowed me to reap the fruits of this labor because I wasn’t hesitant. I was like, I believe in this area, I believe in what I bought, I’m not about to do what prior homeowners did and just buy a crib and just not invest what it should. You know what I’m saying? And it’s like, if this area’s worth it like they say, I’m going to set the tone or at least follow up with my next door neighbors and refurbish the house and add value into the community. And I think that’s one thing I committed to doing that really, I guess, made me look genius, which wasn’t.

David:
Well, I don’t know if I’d say it wasn’t. Part of the genius that expresses itself on a basketball court is when you see the right play to be made in that moment. It’s very hard to translate that onto like Xs and Os, you can’t write it down on a piece of paper and say, this is how you know when you’re right you’re right, it’s a feeling. You’ve played enough basketball, you see the opening, you know what you should do in that scenario. Investing works out the same way. A lot of times I think geniuses express through feeling. It’s very difficult to describe how Eminem can write a rap that is different than someone else, or Beethoven can create a symphony that is different. With this project you recognize through a feeling, I need to rehab it, I need to remodel it the right way. Other people don’t see the angle of how important this is, but you did.
Now, on the flip side, you mentioned timing and luck. You actually probably had some bad luck and some bad timing. You had some good timing buying the property and the vision. But then interest rates have been skyrocketing right after you bought this thing and you put it on the market as rates are going up, and more expensive properties are absolutely more susceptible to more… What’s the word I’m trying to say here? The higher a price is, the more sensitive it is to the interest rate. So an $11 million property is much different than a $400,000 property when rates go up. So how have you handled that, oh, I wasn’t expecting this, right? You just got a double team thrown at you. They put a full court press as soon as you caught the ball. You’re going to have to adapt, in a sense. How have you handled the struggles that have come from, this isn’t the best market to be selling a luxury property now that I’m ready to put it on the market?

Evan:
Honestly, it’s like what you heard at the conference. Sometimes when you’re hitting a home run, you can’t worry about the outfielders. You know what I mean? And one thing, know what you know. Not everybody’s buying cribs. Not everybody’s doing this and the other, but I’m not pertaining to a certain type of market. You know what I mean? So the people that can afford an $11 million crib or afford this, that, and the other-

David:
Yeah.

Evan:
They haven’t stopped shopping.

David:
That’s a great point.

Evan:
They haven’t stopped living, they haven’t stopped hopping on their jets, they haven’t stopped hitting their yachts. You know what I mean? One of the conversations the dude had with me was like, damn, I low-key want a deeper water. So it’s like, damn, baby, you want $20 million worth of stuff. You understand what I’m saying? So I think the number one thing is, you’re a shark, you’re a lion, Rob, you’re the same thing. When you swim with sharks and lions, you don’t really worry about eating grass. You understand what I’m saying?

David:
I’m so glad to hear you say that.

Evan:
Yeah.

David:
Because the people listening to the podcast that are the most discouraged, they’re buying the $220,000 property in the worst area where there’s 100 more of them in the same space and they’re having a hard time making that deal work or they’re having a hard time finding the opportunity. You went out and you found a property that other people were not looking for, you remodeled it better than the other homes around it, knowing that would be a good return on your money. You did it in an asset class where, quite frankly, and this is the point I was going to make but you made it for me, a lot of people buying 11 million properties aren’t getting loans in the first place. So they don’t care what the interest rate is.

Evan:
Yeah, they don’t care, yeah. The lady’s just like, I wish we had more space on the first flight. They’re worried about that type of thing.

David:
Yeah, they’re going to go spend $2 million to knock walls down and add it to make it bigger. Money doesn’t mean the same thing to them that it does to us. Right?

Evan:
Yeah. And that’s humbly speaking. So I’m not trying to say anything from that sense, but that’s literally what the mindset of-

David:
It’s smart, that’s what I’m getting at. You zigged when everyone else zags and that’s why you’re seeing opportunity when other people are just getting discouraged and saying, our real estate’s not working.

Evan:
And, Dave, what do you think…? And, Rob, you guys can tell, I have the same mindset for everything. I think it’s almost like, was it the Battle of the Alamo? They burn the ships. You know what I mean? I’m a burning ship type of dude. Obviously, not throw all my money in it or anything, but I’m not going into anything with fear. Do you understand what I’m saying? Granted, with my preparation and everything prior to that, but I put great mojo, great belief, and great energy into my team and a preparation into it that it’s like, yo, when they come see this or whatever work that I have, when they come see this, they’re going to understand. You know what I mean? I believe that the right people showing up are going to understand and they’re going to want to purchase a property and love the property and see it far out amongst the times.

Rob:
Yeah, totally. I don’t know, I think a lot of people just aren’t down with mistakes and failures and so when that mistake happens, they get to that point, it’s a lot harder for people to grasp and they’re like, I’m going to be real stubborn about I, I’m not going to learn from this. For me, I’m just like, look, real estate is all a journey. I always say we don’t become real estate experts by everything going right, we become real estate experts by everything going wrong. So I don’t really go into stuff with fear either. But I’m also down for whatever happens. I’m like, I will become better, smarter, wealthier, from whatever happens from whatever deal I make.

Evan:
And I hope we never lose that invincibility, for real. You know what I mean? Because that’s a skill, that’s a talent because, for whatever reason, whatever God gave me, I don’t worry about the serious stuff and then I’ll flip out over if somebody ate my last brownie. You know what I mean? Something stupid like that.

Rob:
Yeah. Well, but it really is those little things, that’s what makes us invincible, genuinely. I’ve had so much stuff happen to me in my short term rental journey. A couple weeks ago someone said an intruder broke in. Cops came, there’s a manhunt. It turned out that they just turned on the light switch and scared themselves. A couple weeks before that, I had four bears break into my cabin. And the intruder situation happened when my neighbors were at my house having dinner and they were just like, “How are you so calm? This is a big deal.” And I was like, “Well, it’s probably not really what you think.” And all those things that blow up are really never a big deal to me. I feel I’ve got such thick skin because of all the little bruises that I’ve encountered along the way. And now I’m just like, literally, effectively, anything can happen to me and I’m going to be okay because I know that there’s always a solution. It just may not be convenient.

Evan:
And you also need that poise because you comprehend, once you handle one solution, it’s always going to be another problem. You know what I mean? So I’ve been trying to just learn how to be a solution maker and keep my poise through there. And at the end of the day, with the solutions, it allows you to comprehend, you’re staying focused on the big bigger picture.

David:
One of the ways that I’ve found to help overcome that fear of making a mistake, fear of losing something, is I stop looking at money the way I used to, like you’ve mentioned a couple times of, Evan, I see money now as a store of energy. I put an eight hour work day in doing this thing. I was given money as a way of storing the energy that I put in on that workday. And I can take that energy and I can convert it into real estate where it will grow, stocks where it might grow. I could go spend it on Air Force 1s and I’ve converted into shoes that don’t store energy very well. I’m like Neo in The Matrix where I’m seeing the code as opposed to just seeing the wall that everybody else is looking at. And money comes and it goes, you’re going to make mistakes.
If I use the same analogy of basketball, when you’re learning to play, you’re going to make turnovers, you’re going to make mistakes, you’re going to lose, you’re going to get shots blocked. It’s weird, I could tell you the stories learning to play basketball where I first learned the painful lesson that if you’re not really fast and you’re dribbling the ball on the open floor, people will come up behind you and steal it. I remember just thinking, I think it was probably around the time I went from eighth to ninth grade, damn, these varsity guys, they will jump in between and intercept the pass you through. You can’t look right at the guy you’re going to throw it to.

Evan:
Yeah, yeah. Yeah, yeah.

David:
If I get a rebound and I don’t hold it really hard, someone’s going to smack it out of my hands. This stuff sounds silly, but it was a paradigm shift at the time. I have to approach playing basketball differently and then I adjusted to it. But if I wouldn’t have put myself in this situation to make those mistakes, I wouldn’t have gotten better at what I did. And by trying to avoid money, if you never invest it, if you never jump into a new endeavor, you just don’t get better, and you live in a state of fear your whole life. Even though I made the turnover, I learned a skill. Even though I threw a bad pass, I left my feet to pass, I missed a shot, I learned something about basketball, and that can’t be taken away.
That’s how I tend to see business endeavors in entrepreneurship. If you are looking at how you become better, the turnovers don’t matter. That means you can’t have an ego. You can’t be looking at these scenarios and saying, “Well, if I failed, that means I may failure.” You have to look at it like it’s a game. If I lost the game, I got better, I’m more likely to win the next one, and I ascend into higher levels of competition with more rewards. And that’s what I’d like to pull out of what you’re describing right here, is this humility you have is such a powerful force in your success because you’re saying, “I’ll burn the ships and I’ll figure it out as I go and they might kill my whole army, but, man, I will learn a lot about warfare and I’ll build a better army and come back and I’m going to win that time.” Those skills never leave you. And that’s the real value in what you’re doing.

Evan:
Absolutely. And I’m glad it translates, you know what I mean? And one thing my mentor always just told me, take full advantage in the NBA., Take full advantage of basketball, because it’s going to teach you everything you need to know about running your own business one day. So a lot of times we correlate it sometimes. Number one things just coming back from what I learned on the court and learnt from the people around me, you just take it step by step.

David:
There’s so many times where people like you that have been very successful have had a foundation in something, for you that was basketball, applied it to a new endeavor, business, and your learning curve was much shorter than everybody else’s. You hit that point of success quicker because you had this foundation to build on. And that’s why I’m always preaching the message that, quit looking at real estate as the escape from the life you don’t like, you’re bad with girls, you hate your job, your boss doesn’t like you. If you can’t be good where you’re at, you’re probably not going to be good when you get into the new thing. Instead, develop excellence in whatever job God happens to happen you in that moment and then apply that to the next opportunity that you get. And it’s like this staircase approach. And that’s what I love about what you’re sharing is you didn’t have an advantage over anybody listening to this or anyone else doing it.
It’s not like you just had advisors fall from the sky and angels come up to you and say, “I want to help bless you.” You had a foundation that was helpful to you and you just built on it. And now you’re talking about, how do I get bigger? I have a vision, I want to get into development. I want to have luxury condos with a 7-Eleven and a CVS at the ground floor. I want to pair stability, which is low risk, low reward, with luxury, which is high risk, high reward. And you see these angles because of the stuff you’ve done before. And so that’s one of my favorite parts about the story that you’re sharing is it’s encouraging that whatever team you’re on, whatever sport you’re playing, whatever thing you’re doing, give it everything you have, show up and do your best every single day. And then look for the people to start passing you the ball rather than the guys that say, “Well, when I get the ball then I’ll try. When I’m the man, then I’ll give my effort.”

Evan:
No, and you’re absolutely right and I’m glad we hit that point because a lot of times, even with friends, and I’m sure the same way, people think it’s some type of pill you take. You know what I mean? Or some type of drink you have or you go to the store and grab medication, it’s like, “Nah, dog. It started 10 years ago, back when you thought it was unsexy and cool.” You know what I mean? Or, this hard work or whatever you’re going to get isn’t going to be cool. By the time you reap your benefits, you probably don’t even care about them because you’re already on something else. But you know what I mean?

David:
It’s a great point.

Evan:
You’re literally that locked in-

Rob:
That’s exactly how it works.

Evan:
You’re literally that locked in and passionate about it and then six years down line you’re like, I did that six years ago. I was a real life animal and I hadn’t… But before you know it, and luckily so, you pick your head up and it’s a consistency of greatness or a certain level that you maintained that allows you to cross over like we all have in order to be successful. And I’m just grateful to be-

David:
Especially with real estate.

Evan:
Yes, yes.

David:
Rob, wouldn’t you agree that the best deals you’ve got going right now, were probably the ones you bought the longest time ago.

Rob:
Oh, of course. Yeah. We’re all a genius because when you buy 10 years ago, you’re a genius at any point in the cycle. so-

Evan:
Yeah.

Rob:
Yeah.

Evan:
And everybody’s like, “How’d you do that? How’d you do that?” It’s like, well, during this time I picked up weight, I went and did this. Literally you just invested and left. You know what I mean? In certain areas, it’s not like you’re standing there working it, working it, working it. But there’s certain stuff where you invest it, leave, make sure it’s getting ran and just stay and keep it set up on a certain form of consistency to be the go of the times.

David:
Which is so funny because everyone’s looking for the opposite. They’re like, “I hate my job, I want to just focus on my one property all the time.” And that never works. It’s literally the best properties I have are the ones I forget I own, if I’m being honest. When I forget that that is my property, I’m like, damn, look at this, it’s been making all this money for all… The ones that are crossing my path all the time are the ones I didn’t like. And there’s definitely a trend with the more recently I bought it, the worse it performs. And that stops a lot of people because, what I say is they look at year one. They run an analysis, does it make me an 18% return right off the bat? It doesn’t, bad deal. I’m moving on to the next one.

Evan:
Yeah, you might as well go hop on Robin Hood if you looking for that type of return. You know what I mean?

David:
Yep.

Rob:
I often get people that are like, “Well, of course you’re doing well. You bought the property five years ago.” And I’m like, “Well, guess what? 10 years from now you’re going to be saying the same thing when I look smart for having bought consistently.” It’s funny.

Evan:
And I always tell friends, just buy something. Not buy something, but eventually it’s year four or five and we’re still pump-faking on you buying your first property. It’s like, “Dog, this is pointless. You could have had three or four by this time and we could have been having this conversation in a completely different atmosphere as opposed to my condo.”

David:
I’m so glad you said that. That’s exactly right. I look at it like, okay, in five years, how will this property perform? I almost don’t even look at year one. I make sure I have enough money in case it goes poorly, I can float it. But I want to know how am I going to feel in five years to 10 years and all of a sudden the metrics of decisions you’ve got to make become a lot more clear. That $32,000 Indiana property that you’re like, “Oh, that’s so tempting, man.” No it’s not, when you look at 10 years later and it’s worth 33,000 and every day you’ve had a new issue with it.

Evan:
And those are usually people that go and tell everybody, y’all, I own this property, I own this property. And it’s like, bro, that’s the worst property you could have ever chose.

David:
Yes.

Evan:
Literally.

David:
Yeah. It’d be like buying a bunch of terrible cars that you dump all your money into all the time, but you’re bragging because you’re like, “Oh, I got 12 cars.” You’re like, “No, you have 12 problems.” You don’t want that. Right?

Evan:
Yeah. No lie. That’s real. That’s real.

David:
And that’s why humility’s so important because it’s ego that leads people to say, “Man, at the next conference I go to, I want to say I got X amount of doors, I got X amount of units, right?

Evan:
And, bro, that’s one thing, I’m a competitor and I compete at basketball at a high level, but I’m good on a journey and minding my own business. You understand? I think one thing that occurs as you get older, even doing contract negotiations, the humility in that is making sure you don’t miss out on your money or the right deal or situation worrying about what the person left the right has. You know what I mean? It’s like a marriage, that relationship has nothing to do with anybody besides those two people. So when it comes to my real estate journey, it’s like, hey, if I’m going to do this 10 unit over here, I would love to come back to the next conference with 10 or 15 more units, but the interest rates aren’t hidden on that property right way, or I might have to wait until this sells or that sells. It’s like, that’s my situation and God willing I’m around for 100 more years to keep turning flips and keep making the next move my best move.

Rob:
David, I’ve got an analogy as we wrap up here to… I think I’ve got two.

David:
[inaudible 01:01:54] pocket have led to some inspirations.

Rob:
Yes, that’s right. I would say that this podcast interview was a slam dunk.

Evan:
That wasn’t even supposed to be funny. It just shocked me. That shocked me.

David:
Oh that’s so bad. That’s so bad that I laughed at it.

Evan:
It was a triple double, I’ll say.

David:
You also reminded me of what it was like to host a Brandon Turner who knows absolutely nothing about every sport.

Rob:
That’s me.

David:
He would impressed me with how little he knew about any sport at all.

Evan:
That beer was impressive though. And he’s six, six. So I’m surprised he never played any sport. But he’s a surfer though.

David:
Well, he got into surfing mostly because he’s terrible at sports. And so…

Rob:
One of the first jobs I ever got out of college was I was a copywriter for Gatorade. So I would write all of their tweets and all of their Instagram posts and Facebook posts and then when they were interviewing me, they were like, “Yeah, so are you a sports guy?” And I was like, “Me? Yeah. Oh, yes. Love all of them.” And then when I got hired, they were all like, “You’re such a liar.” And I was like, “Well, you like me though, so it’s all good.”

Evan:
Man, I feel you. But any job, when he asks, “Why are you here?” It’s like, “Bro, I’m trying to get paid. Don’t ask me that question, why am I here? I can do it all, sir.”

Rob:
That’s right. And I did all right. I did All right.

David:
I love the Gatorade marketing campaign. Did you have anything to do with this one, Rob, where they would take the black and white athlete and they would make their sweat the color of the Gatorade? Do you guys remember that?

Evan:
Yeah.

Rob:
Yeah. That was literally when I was born. That was like 1990, 1991. But I’d love to take credit for that.

David:
That was a cool thing they did.

Rob:
Sure. Yeah. I made that up. That was my thing.

Evan:
The coolest Gatorade commercial was Phil Jackson discussing Michael Jordan, when he is talking about the flu game.

Rob:
Oh yeah.

Evan:
And he was saying, that’s the first time I ever believed in Will. He was like, “That was the first time I ever seen Will really be a thing.” You know what I mean?

David:
We were talking about that the other day. Just how certain scenarios or environments will bring the best out of you. That’s what happened. His environment, meaning how he felt, was so hard that he had to rely more on Will to have the flu game, which is NBA iconic performance. And I think that’s so important of a lesson because there’s people that come from incredibly difficult environments that have a lot of pain and they waste that pain. That pain is a fuel that will propel you way past the comfortable person who grew up in Orange County and went to an Ivy League school and has nothing to drive them, right?

Evan:
Yeah, absolutely right. You don’t know how many kids that come from my AAU program or come from my background or even certain teams I played on, and I’ll be like, yo, he’s as good as you, he’s you were, and da, da, da, da. Then when it turns out he wasn’t, it’s like, bro, do you know what background or upbringing I came in where it is deeper than just if you put a ball through the hole, this is Darwinism, this is survival of the fittest. It’s either we’re eating today or we’re not. So I’m never-

David:
Those are people that win.

Evan:
Yeah. And I’m never losing, period, point blank.

David:
That’s a beautiful approach because whether people won’t admit or not, that’s the real estate environment we’re in right now. There are not enough of the best homes to go around. Interest rates were kept very low for a long time so people got into our game that never wanted it. But business people are now investing in real estate because they can get a better return here than they can in other things. The tax code benefits real estate more than other things. And so wealthy people… Everyone’s fighting over these things and you were just over here, man, I can’t find a deal, I don’t understand. They don’t understand, you’re lions and you’re all trying to find the few gazelle that are out there. And that’s why you’ve got to listen to a podcast like this and approach it with everything you have. Like you’re saying, it’s Darwinism and those that understand that are the ones that win and those that think that they’re in a communistic, kumbaya, “Oh, no, everything’s going to be fine,” are very frustrated that things aren’t working out.

Evan:
Man, when (beep) get tough man, like this, my fault for cursing, but I snap into a slim gym. This is crunch time, fourth quarter, I like these type of situations. So I’m sure you guys are the same way. So it is a hell of a time to be in right now.

David:
So on that note, I’ll ask you, Evan, before we get you out of here, where do you see the future of real estate or the economy going and what’s your recommendation for the moves that people should be making in the next two years?

Evan:
Well, the first one, I hope the interests rate drop sooner than later. I for sure want that to go on. And I think it’s going to be something in a similar fitting, the same way of how the world is going as well. I feel like everything is a borderline of improv mixed in with casual. So I think we’re going to see a lot of more developments, more properties and more innovative uses in the real estate market that is going to be cool. Similar to the 20 unit hotel you bought in New York and how you’re changing that type of real estate market. I can’t really put a thumb on it, but I think anything goes right now in regards to the real estate market, what you create and what comes about and I’m looking forward to that.

David:
Beautiful. So look for creative ways rather than just trying to push the same square peg through the round hole that isn’t working.

Evan:
Yeah, because you got to break it down. We had this argument earlier, I guess we’re turning to the cooler, older unhip guys, you know what I mean? Or the weird older unhip guys and that’s still pretty cool. So imagine what we’re going to create, you know what I mean? It’s not going to be the same, stick up your butt, suit and tie, weird type of stuff. I think it’s going to be some cool, hip creative stuff where hopefully it turns into one big game of Sims. You know what I mean?

David:
Well, if that art in your background is any indication, you will be one of the forefront leaders in that movement. So thanks for spending your time with us and your thoughts, Evan, I appreciate it. They’re both very valuable.

Evan:
I appreciate you guys for real. Thank you, again.

David:
If people want to find out more about you, where can they go?

Evan:
If you want to find out more about myself, please tune into a Point Forward podcast, everywhere where you listen to podcasts. It’s actually amazing. It really is. And then you check me out on Instagram. My name is Evan Turner. E-V-A-N, T-U-R-N-E-R, and then also on Twitter, the kid ET, T-H-E, K-I-D, E-T. Show some love, holler at me, give me some advice, keep it classy.

David:
Rob, how about you? Where can people find out more about you?

Rob:
You can find me on… Well, okay, well first of all, look, typically, I would say you can go find me on YouTube at Rob Built and you can go follow me on Instagram at Rob Built. Of course, I could say that. But what I’m going to say instead of following me over at Rob Built is to go over the Apple iTunes review center with the podcast app, leave us a five star review. If you like hearing these conversations, these real world conversations of how to get started in real estate, please go drop us a five star review. It means the world to us and it lets us know that you’re listening and it helps us improve how we do the show. What about you David?

David:
Well, now I’m really wanting to know where I could find you and you’ve left me with an itch I need to scratch. After I do that, is there a preferred way of following you? Where’s your best content?

Rob:
Oh yeah. You could find me over on YouTube at Nothing but Net. No, I’m just kidding.

Evan:
Like what?

Rob:
Yeah, it’s my sports channel, actually. You find me at-

Evan:
Why not? Why not, right? Nothing but Net.

David:
Oh my gosh, I forgot that was a phrase people used to say, Man, we were really corny in the ’80s. That is such a nothing… Yeah, that was a thing that was said.

Evan:
Swish.

David:
Yeah, Swish

Rob:
NBA, baby.

David:
Every one of Rob’s basketball references comes straight out of NBA Jam. He’s the guy that’s like, boom shaka laka every time he-

Evan:
From down town, and defense.

Rob:
I told you man, I’m an ’80s baby.

David:
What we used to say when you blocked a shot, you got packed. Remember that?

Evan:
You got packed.

David:
I haven’t heard that one in a very long time.

Evan:
No. The best thing I think that still hangs on that hasn’t been corny, and one of the best basketball commercials, was the Sprite, Tim Duncan, Kobe Bryant commercial. But anytime you miss the dunk, the label was like, you just got to Sprite it. You know what I mean? I thought that-

David:
That was good. I used to love the Sprite commercial with the three actors pretending to be hard basketball players, but they were like thespians.

Evan:
Wait, no, I got to look that up. I got to-

Rob:
Excuse me. Excuse me. What’s my motivation? That guy.

Evan:
I got to check that.

David:
Oh, that’s a really funny one. Rob, we talk about it all the time because he’s always asking for his motivation. He is a thespian. Pretending to be a podcast.

Rob:
I did letter in theater.

Evan:
Oh, did you?

Rob:
That’s how cool I am.

Evan:
Well, what role broke your heart that you decided to leave?

Rob:
And it was Snoopy in You’re a Good Man, Charlie Brown.

Evan:
That’s funny.

David:
All right, Evan, thanks a lot, man. It’s been great having you. I don’t know if we have plans from you to your podcast, but I’d be happy to do it. I think it’d be a lot of fun.

Evan:
No, I’d be lit. We would love to have you guys on. Thank you for the hospitality. This is lit. What you guys are doing, it’s unbelievable. I’m grateful for what you guys do week in and week out. And I once again, thank you for being so open when I showed up to the conference and everything. You guys are awesome guys. I really appreciate you. Thank you.

David:
Thank you, Evan. You can find me on social media at David Greene 24, and I just tagged Evan, so if you’re seeing this, go make sure you follow his account and get some good content.

Evan:
I’m going to repost, too. I hate when people don’t.

Rob:
All right, hold on. Let’s do this on air. I’m going to get a photo of us. Ready? That’s the first right there. That’s the first. Interrupting a podcast for a selfie.

David:
Yep.

Rob:
That’s good.

David:
That’s how narcissistic we’ve become.

Evan:
That’s how progressive the work field is.

David:
All right. Thanks, Evan. We’re going to get you out of here. This is David Greene for Rob, slim gyms in his shirt pocket, Abasolo signing out.

 

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