November 2023

The looming office space real estate shortage. Yes, shortage

The looming office space real estate shortage. Yes, shortage


Visoot Uthairam | Moment | Getty Images

There is more pain to come in the office real estate market across the U.S., with maturing debt needing to be refinanced and a wave of expiring leases, but there is also what may seem at first brush to be a counter-intuitive message being sent to top tier companies by real estate intelligence company CoStar Group: prepare for an office space shortage.

You read that right: amid a commercial real estate market across U.S. downtowns being described in apocalyptic terms, CoStar sees a shortage on the horizon, with one key caveat for top companies to bear in mind.

The more office real estate that disappears – an estimate recently given to CNBC by the CEO of major bondholder TCW Group forecasts up to one-third of office real estate still to be wiped out – the more the major players in the market will be vying for the top tier of Class A commercial space. Add to that the fact that more companies are headed back to an in-office reality closer to pre-pandemic expectations, and competition may be hotter than the weaker end of the market suggests.

CoStar’s call of an upcoming office space shortage is predicated on a look at the current data on leasing and construction activity compared to recent market history. As office occupiers scrutinize their footprints more carefully, and in the months ahead leases that were executed before the pandemic continue to approach expiration, newly constructed buildings aged 0-3 years are proving to be the winners. They have attracted over 175 million square feet of net new occupancy since the beginning of 2020, an average of 12.7 million square feet per quarter. By comparison, the quarterly average from 2011-2019 for similar properties was 11.7 million square feet. From 2008-2010, during the Great Recession, the quarterly average was 13.6 million square feet.

“Modern, premium office space remains in demand, just as it has historically, even during difficult economic times,” said Phil Mobley, national director of office analytics at CoStar Group.

Google’s mixed-use campus on New York’s Hudson River that opened in 2022 includes a two-acre rooftop and public gathering spaces.

Photos courtesy of Google

And the supply will increasingly not be there to support the demand. Currently, buildings aged 0-3 years comprise 2.4% of office inventory in the U.S. While that is in line with the average from 2015-2019, Mobley says construction has slowed dramatically. Less than 30 million square feet has broken ground in 2023, making this year the lowest for construction starts since 2011. Today, there is about 200 million square feet of office space in buildings aged 0-3 years, but that figure will be under 150 million by early 2026 and under 100 million by the middle of 2027. At that point, it will represent only about 1% of inventory. Even in the aftermath of the Great Recession in 2013-2014, buildings aged 0-3 years never represented less than 1.3% of inventory.

“The very type of space that tenants have historically demanded most — even during recessions — will be in short supply,” Mobley said.

When things get tough, people tend to invest more market in their real estate, says CoStar CEO

This isn’t to say there won’t be more headlines about trophy buildings being sold at discounted values. But those transactions also mean that now is a time when tenants are getting good deals. The number of new lease transactions is higher this year on a quarterly basis than the 2015-2019 period. Deals are smaller in square footage – which explains why overall market vacancy is up – and expiring leases are part of the reason for the uptick, too. Still, the deals are “highly concentrated” in the premium space, Mobley said.

Meanwhile, landlords of iconic, trophy buildings are offering sweeteners, from bigger contributions to custom buildouts to the number of months offered rent-free. It’s not clear how long that will last, though. As more top buildings are sold at depressed values, investors mark down the value of property holdings, and bonds go bad, new owners can make their finances work with attractive terms to tenants. But for building owners who will need to refinance in the near-term, that game is ending. Case in point: a recent deal for the City of Los Angeles to occupy multiple floors in the iconic Gas Co. Tower, a deal which would have comprised 11% of new quarterly leasing activity in the market, was rejected by bondholders.

Billionaire real estate investor Jeff Greene explained his bet on new towers in West Palm Beach, amid the correction he sees coming for much commercial real estate in the next two years, in the following way during a recent CNBC interview: “There will just be office buildings with no tenants whatsoever in markets where brand new building will get the tenants. … Some of the older buildings just won’t have any tenants at all, and if there’s no tenant at all for a prolonged period of time, that paper [the bonds] will be worth next to nothing.”

The U.S. housing market never recovered from the financial crash as measured by the inventory levels today, one factor responsible for pushing up home values across the country. But Mobley says there is a better parallel for the office space crash: the retail washout, which was overbuilt, and has not been built much since e-commerce disrupted the sector. While Class B malls are still sitting vacant, high-end “experiential” retail is not.

“That’s the parallel for office,” Mobley said.

CoStar estimates there is still over half of leases executed before 2020 set to expire. “As companies face these renewal decisions, they are now laser-focused on utilization,” he said. That implies a world in which tenants may need less space, but as they continue to make the case for the world of work to return to pre-pandemic in-person collaboration, competition for the best square footage in the market is heading higher.

For companies facing lease expirations that believe in the notion of the office as a tool to help maximize workforce effectiveness and, as a result, want to be in premium locations  — and not the 10-20 year-old iconic buildings but the newest properties – some of the best opportunities are now, Mobley said.

Billionaire investor Jeff Greene: We're in the first inning of the commercial real estate correction



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Lessons Learned From The World’s Most Successful Startups

Lessons Learned From The World’s Most Successful Startups


Do you have a promising idea for a business? You might want to press pause before you start grinding away at marketing plans and networking your way to seed funding. Not that you should sleep on your visions for a startup, of course. But you should take a moment to study what has made other founders successful.

It’s understandable if taking a page from someone else’s book doesn’t hold much appeal. Most entrepreneurs get into the game because they have a desire to carve out their own niche, after all. However, you could pick up strategic insights to add fuel to your momentum. In that spirit, here are a few lessons from some of today’s exceptionally successful startups that took an idea from zero to IPO.

1. Simplify a Difficult Process

Consumers crave simplicity. If a product or service is too complex, they tend to think twice about using it. But say it’s a service that markets consider essential, such as buying or selling a home. The U.S. real estate market might have tapered off recently, but 5 million transactions still went through last year.

Despite the necessity of home buying and selling, most consumers would agree it’s a complicated ordeal. You’ve got to find an agent, disrupt your routine for showings or open houses and—should you eventually find a good fit—sift through all the legalese. A lot about the process can slow things down. And when you need to buy or sell fast, the traditional route can be too much to handle.

Opendoor is an example of a startup founded on the idea of simplifying an overly complex but necessary process. Its business model leverages technology to make it easier for buyers and sellers to carry out this multifaceted exchange. Opendoor’s idea caught on with homeowners who want to skip the hassles of showings and need to sell their properties quickly. The company’s services also streamline the process for those buying and selling at the same time. Goodbye, stress and inconvenience.

2. Connect the Dots

Profitable startups sometimes begin with the notion of bringing groups of businesses and consumers under one roof. Take the restaurant industry as an example. Some restaurants have the capacity to offer delivery services, while others don’t. Simultaneously, hungry customers don’t always want to dine in or pick up curbside. And in households with different palates, calling multiple restaurants to deliver a family feast can be a pain.

Sometimes, a brilliant business model starts by building bridges between unmet needs. This is something Doordash did by providing a service both restaurants and diners find useful. By expanding food delivery services, the company creates a way for more restaurants and consumers to connect.

Restaurant owners win because they don’t lose out on sales or have to maintain the overhead, including personnel, associated with deliveries. Consumers also score because of the convenience of ordering from multiple restaurants under a single platform. The key to success in this model is finding the overlap in market needs and offering convenient, centralized solutions to both sides of the transaction.

3. Uncover the Real Need

It’s hard to believe streaming giant Netflix was once a startup. Known for disrupting the video rental industry, the company’s founders did it by closely studying the market. Consumers were seeking home entertainment—the more on demand, the better. The reason video rentals were popular was because they brought the movie theater into people’s homes. This was easier and more economical than going to the theater, yet consumers’ choices were limited to the films video stores had on their shelves when they visited.

Netflix knew that access to seemingly endless video content was what mattered. Through extensive market research, the company was able to reshape how consumers fulfilled this need. The fact that they didn’t have to leave their homes to do it made it even better. Netflix’s model of delivering DVDs to people’s doors was born, and it continued to evolve with changes in technology.

By uncovering the core driver of your target market’s behaviors, you can find ways to introduce disruptive, high-growth solutions. Listening to what the market is saying and analyzing consumers’ actions leads to improvements they’ll want to embrace. Uniquely serving the identified need helps your company stand out and establish market leadership.

Learning From the Lessons Others Learned

Launching a startup comes with risks and rewards. You’re pursuing an entrepreneurial path because you want a different kind of life. You see a way to do something better and want to bring that to the world. You also want to experience the freedom of being in charge of your career.

Learning what’s made startups before yours thrive can help you determine whether your business idea is viable. You might find ways to serve markets with simplified solutions, bridge market gaps and/or identify consumers’ true wants before they do. By applying these winning strategies to your distinct offering, your startup could be the next big success story.



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2023 Housing Market Predictions (ENCORE Episode!)

2023 Housing Market Predictions (ENCORE Episode!)


Happy Thanksgiving! This Turkey Day, we’re giving you an encore of our 2023 housing market predictions episode. Hear what we got right and what we (definitely) got wrong, and tune in next week for our 2024 predictions! 

The 2023 housing market predictions are here. We heard you in the forums, the comments, and all over social media. We know you want Dave, the data man, to give you his take on what will happen over the next year. Will housing prices fall even more? Could interest rates hit double digits? And will our expert guests ever stop buying real estate? All of this, and more, will be answered in this week’s episode of On The Market.

Unfortunately, Dave threw his crystal ball in with his laundry this week, so he’s relying solely on data to give any housing market forecasts. He and our expert guests will be diving deep into topics like interest ratesinflationcap rates, and even nuclear war. We’ll touch on anything and everything that could affect the housing market so you can build wealth from a better position. We’ll also discuss the “graveyard of investment properties” and how one asset class, in particular, is about to be hit hard.

With so much affecting the overall economy and the housing market, it can be challenging to pin down exactly what will and won’t affect real estate. That’s why staying up to date on data like this can keep you level-headed while other retail homebuyers run for the hills, scared of every new update from the Fed. Worry not; this episode is packed with some good signs for investors but also a few worrisome figures you’ll need to pay attention to.

Dave:
Welcome to On The Market, and happy Thanksgiving to everyone. I hope you enjoyed a wonderful Thanksgiving, and I hope that you enjoyed the day after Thanksgiving even more where you get to eat all those delicious leftovers, hopefully piling everything onto a giant sandwich and then going into a food coma for the rest of the day. For today’s episode, we’re actually going to be replaying an episode that we recorded last year where me, Kathy, Henry and James made predictions about 2023. Now that the year is winding down, we wanted to be accountable and share with you what we thought was going to happen in 2023, and you can see for yourself what we got right and what we got wrong.
We’re choosing to do this right now because next week we are going to be airing our 2024 predictions. So listen to today’s episode and you can evaluate our credentials for making predictions, see how well we did last year, and that should give you some context for our predictions episode that is coming next week. Okay, so hopefully you enjoy this replay episode and join us again next week for our 2024 predictions. Hey, everyone. Welcome to On The Market. My name’s Dave Meyer, I’ll be your host, and I am joined by three wonderful panelists. First up we have Henry Washington. Henry, what’s going on?

Henry:
What’s up, Dave? Glad to be here, man. Good to see you again.

Dave:
You too. We also have James Danner. James, how you been?

James:
I’m doing well. We have a sunny day in October in Seattle, which is very rare, so it’s a good day.

Dave:
Cherish it.

James:
I am.

Dave:
Kathy, how are you? Probably sunny and enjoying Malibu ’cause it’s always nice.

Kathy:
It’s been foggy, but you guys, I’m still recovering from BPCON. I don’t know about you, but trying to keep up with all these youngsters.

Dave:
Kathy is completely lying, by the way. She was leading the charge. There’s no way. You were hanging in with us. You were absolutely driving all of the fun we had at BPCON. All right. So today we are going to talk about… this show gives me a little bit of anxiety because we are going to try and make some forecasts about the 2023 housing market, which normally housing market years, it’s not that hard to predict. It usually just goes up a little bit, but the last couple of years have gotten pretty tricky, but we’re going to do it anyway because even though none of us know exactly what’s going to happen, this type of forecasting and discussion of the elements of variables that go into housing prices could help all of us form a investing hypothesis for next year and make better investing decisions. Sound good to you guys?

Kathy:
I should have grabbed my crystal ball. It’s in the other room.

Dave:
I know. Mine is very broken right now, unfortunately.

James:
I think everyone’s is broken.

Dave:
All right it’s time to make these very frightening predictions for the 2023 housing price. Who is bold enough to go first? Henry, I’m looking at you man.

Henry:
Absolutely not.

Kathy:
Are we talking rates?

Dave:
No. I want you to guess year-over-year, one year from today, where are we? What day is this? It’s October 12th. One year from today, year-over-year housing market prices on a national level where are we going to be? Right now, we are at about 7% from 2021 to 2022. Where are we going to be in 2023? What do you got, James?

James:
I do believe that we are going to slide steadily backwards and that we’re going to be looking at about a 9% drop. We’ve just seen too much appreciation. I think we were up what, nearly 10, 12% last year? Then from 2018 to 2020 we saw over 30% growth in home prices, and so the growth has just been too large. I think it’s going to pull back and we’re going to see about a nine to 10% year-over-year drop from where we are at today.

Dave:
All right. Henry, I’m going to make you answer this.

Henry:
No, I want to answer it. I think that’s aggressive. Maybe it’s because the Seattle market is the one having the largest pullback right now compared to the rest of the markets in the country. So but not joking, you’re feeling it more than everybody else is, ’cause you’re So heavily invested in that market where I’m the opposite. We’re still seeing… sorry, we’re still seeing home price growth here, so I don’t know. I think on a national scale it’s probably going to come down, but I don’t know, 5%, I feel like it’s still even a lot, but that that’s my guess.

Kathy:
Wow. So if I came in around 7.5, I’d be right between you two? I’m going to stick with my 7.5. I played this game on car rides, you guys.

Dave:
Isn’t there a movie about that, the number 24 or number 23 where it’s like everything comes down to that number? That’s you, Kathy.

Kathy:
There it is, 7.5. I don’t care what the national number is. I really don’t care because look at Henry, he’s like, “I don’t care.” I’m not in those markets that are going to have a pullback. If you got into Boise or Austin or Seattle a year or two years ago, you made a lot of money and some of that’s going to get pulled back. It’s not the worst thing in the world for the person who owns the home because if you hold it long enough it’ll rebound eventually. It’s obviously really hard for people who are trying to sell right now, better price your property right. But if you are in markets, Tampa’s another market where prices went up a lot, but there’s still so much demand they’re not really seeing the pullback that some of the other cities are that saw such massive gains over the last year.

Dave:
Kathy, you’re absolutely right, and we do want to allow you to have your public service announcement that there is no national housing market, which is true. You’re absolutely right, but just to clarify, ’cause I have to hold you to this, was that a +7.5% or or a -7.5%

Kathy:
It was a -7.5 nationwide.

Dave:
Just making sure.

Kathy:
Nationwide, and then I think that’s going to come from certain areas going down 20%-

Dave:
Totally.

Kathy:
… where other areas might go up a little or stay flat, but overall, I think it’ll be a national number will be negative. So let’s say 7.5% ’cause I’m right in the middle, and it’s a safe place.

James:
One thing that I think everyone should know is typically when housing starts sliding backwards, the more expensive markets actually start going first and then it does catch up across the board. Because at the end of the day, rates going to be up 75% of cost of money from where they were 12 months ago. It’s just something to pay attention to because when money gets increased that rapidly, nothing is protected. They’re doing that on purpose. If they’re trying to put us into a recession, it’s going to have impact across the board, ’cause Seattle used to be a more affordable market. We were actually always one of the last markets to get hit.
In 2008, we were one of the tail end areas to start deflating, but now it’s became an expensive market, so we were one of the first to go off. So always check the trends in your historical trends too in your neighborhoods. What Kathy said was completely right. Look at where you’re investing, not the national. National will throw it way off, and then just check those trends. See what it’s done in other prior recessions during that time, and it will give you some predictability. Then just check the growth, and if the growth was rapid, it’s probably going to come back a little bit quicker.

Dave:
Well said, and there’s never been more data available for people too. You can go on just regular websites like Zillow or Redfin or realtor.com and see what’s happening in your market in terms of inventory, days on market, pricing. So there’s really no excuse not to do it, it’s free. You can get a lot of this information right there and look up just what Kathy and James were saying.

Henry:
I think what throws a wrench in those plans, though, is that there’s going to be less competition out there, but there’s still going to be people who can afford to buy single-family homes, and there’s still going to be a shortage of those homes. So even though the interest rates are higher, there’s still going to be a subset of people who can afford to pay those interest rates and who are going to want to buy homes because they can get a little bit better price and there’s less competition out there, which is going to help the sales numbers.

Kathy:
Right. That’s such a great point. 552,000 homes sold in August. We’re still on track for over 5 million this year, which was the average over the last decade if you take out COVID, so homes are still selling. It’s definitely down from the crazy frenzy of the last couple of years, but it’s down to somewhat normal. Would you guys agree with that?

Henry:
Absolutely.

Dave:
I think as soon as mortgage rates get a little bit more stable, people will do it. It’s just like every day it’s just so volatile right now I think that probably is people a little afraid. But at some point, people are going to have to get used to it cause personally, I think even if the Fed starts cutting rates, we’re not going down to 4% again anytime soon. We’re going to have to live with something in the fives probably. So I think people are just going to have to get used to it at some point and start buying again. Okay, I am going to make my guess. It’s right in the middle. There’s not that much variance. I think we also of think it’s the same thing, so I’m going to just go with 6%. Since Jamil’s not here and-

Kathy:
6% negative?

Dave:
6% negative, yes, I definitely think that national housing market’s going down. I’m going to give Jamil a +12% as his estimate because he declined to be here. He’s on the record saying he thinks the housing market’s going on 12%. All right. Well, that’s all fun. As Kathy said, listen, the national housing market, totally agree. It doesn’t really matter. It’s for the headlines, and it is fun to just guess and see how we do on these things. But I’m curious in moving on to some more anecdotal things that you all are thinking about. I want your hot take for 2023. This can be about the housing market, the economy, the state of the world. What’s a unique thing that you think is going to happen next year that will impact the lives of investors I guess I would say? Anyone want to go first?

Kathy:
Oh, my gosh, I’ll jump in.

Dave:
Yes, Kathy, go.

Kathy:
[inaudible 00:10:32] Do you think?

Dave:
Yeah.

Kathy:
Oh, you guys, you guys, you got to understand. You understand the difference between a seller’s market and a buyer’s market and people, they mess this up all the time buying in a seller’s market and selling in a buyer’s market. Oftentimes, I’ll talk to a room and say, “Do you know what a seller’s market is?” They’ll say, “Yeah, it’s a great time to buy!” So I just want to be super clear that a seller’s market means this seller has the power. They can do whatever they want. They can put a house on the market with nothing fixed, with all kinds of problems to say, “You know what? You don’t even get to do inspections. This is the price,” and then get people overbidding.
That’s a seller’s market, the seller has the power. That’s what we’ve had for two years. It was a tough market. If you’re a savvy investor, you could still work around that, but man, if you were flipping houses, what a time. You’ve got the power. If you’re a home builder like we’ve been, wow, got people lining up for your homes. It is shifting. It’s shifting to a buyer’s market, and this is the time to buy. It’s so funny ’cause people are freaking out. It’s like it’s your turn.

Dave:
That’s such a good way to put it.

Kathy:
If you’ve bought and you’re holding on and rents are solid, you’re good. This is the time to get in there and not have all that competition. You have the power. You get to negotiate. It’s a buyer’s market. I don’t know how long that’ll last because I do think eventually, the Fed’s going to get what they want. They’re going to slow things down, and that’s going to, again, bring potentially mortgage rates down. I really think they will, not lower than 5%, maybe slightly or if you pay points, but as soon as those rates come down, what do you think’s going to happen? People are going to come pouring in again as buyers. So you have this window to take advantage of what might be a small opportunity to play in a buyer’s market as a buyer.

Dave:
I love it. That’s a good way to put it, Kathy. Yeah, I think it’s just crazy that people are yearning for what was going on last year. No one wanted to buy last year and now they’re like, “Oh, but interest rates are high, and now it’s going down?” It’s like everyone was completely about it last year. So I think a lot of people are just scared to get in the market at all, and that’s the problem. But as Kathy said, good opportunity right now. Henry, what’s your hot take?

Henry:
My hot take is surprise, surprise at me being a single family and small multifamily investor. I think single-family homes become a very, very hot commodity and something everybody wishes they kept more of or could get at the prices they’re able to get them at right now because of the supply and demand issues. So you look at the interest rate hikes and you look at inflation, at some point, I think those things either level out, maybe start to come down. I don’t know if it does in this year, but at some point, it’ll become normalized. Like you said, the people will continue to buy. But our supply and demand problem didn’t get fixed through all of this, right? There’s still a need for housing. I got approached by a hedge fund just last week asking me if I had any deals, anything in this area that I would be willing to sell them.
I think their thought is the same is that these single-family homes are going to be in need and that over the next, I think a year is tough to predict to say, but over the next couple of years, I think definitely they’re going to be more valuable and in a commodity that a lot of people want to be able to get their hands on. You’re right Kathy, it’s your time to buy, and so we are doing just that. We’re buying, and I’m more bullish on single-family homes than I have been in the past. I’ve typically been flipping all of my single families, but just today we closed on… literally right before this, I had my title company here in my office.
We closed on a single-family home that we’re going to keep. We may start to look more aggressively at not flipping all of the singles and keeping them because the people who own the single-family homes are going to be in the best position to make the profit as well as… The interest rates right now, there are some people who aren’t buying maybe because they can’t, maybe ’cause they don’t want to. But then they have to live somewhere so they’re renting and rents are still doing well here. So I think owning that single-family home, you’re going to be able to get outstanding rents, and I think it’s going to be a more valuable asset to everyone than it seems that it is right now.

Dave:
All right. I like it. James, what do you got? Something controversial maybe?

James:
So I think 2023 is going to be a pretty big shock year for people, and I am actually predicting that defaults are going to be extremely high,

Dave:
Really?

James:
Not percentage wise, but in a different sector. I actually think it’s going to be in the investment sector, not the residential homeowner sector. I think over the last 12 to 24 months, we’ve seen a lot of FOMO and greed in the investment space, and there’s been a lot of purchasing of bad assets or assets that had artificial performance. What’s going to happen is if the market corrects down, which I believe will happen, you’re going to see people needing to bail out of these deals because they had bad practices, they did the rust investments. They were packing performance because they just wanted to get into the market, and I do think there is going to be a graveyard of investment properties and opportunities out there, and that’s really what we’re gearing up to buy.
We’re actually gearing up to buy half-finished town home sites, fix- and-flip projects that are red tagged and stuck and tore apart. I think you could see in the short, short-term rental market, people walking away from properties ’cause they were putting 3.5% down in markets all for the appreciation and those investment engines are slowing down. The high-yield investments right now are not yielding the same growth. Flipping is not doing that well. Development is not doing that well on the margins in a lot of markets. Short-term rentals are down too. These high-yield investments are going to deflate backwards and I don’t think people accounted for that, or they had all stars in their eyes rather than balanced look at portfolios.
I think this is going to be a massive opportunity for investors to purchase bad investments that need to be stabilized and turned into profitable ventures. I think this is going to be a big deal in the next 12 months and I know personally I’m geared up for it and gearing up for it because it’s just the writing’s on the wall for a lot of people. Bad underwriting, greedy underwriting, bad plans, and that equates to inexpensive money in a lot of these deals. That creates a recipe for disaster, but they will need to be purchased and that’s where investors are going to have a lot of opportunity If they have the right plans, right systems in play and the right capital in the door, there’s going to be a lot of opportunity out there.

Kathy:
100%.

Dave:
All right.

Kathy:
Yeah, multifamily particularly. Yeah, there was just insane underwriting.

James:
Oh, talk about stacking performance. They were just stacked. People were just pumping every little yield into these deals, and if you do it that way, that’s where the risk is and it’s going to hurt on the way out the door. It’s all market time at that point and you have missed the market. That game is over.

Dave:
That’s really interesting ’cause when you said that you were going to see a lot of defaults, I was surprised because when you look at home buyer positions like American home buyers are in pretty good position to service their debt right now, but what you’re saying makes total sense. There’s a lot of people who got pretty greedy. We did that show a couple of months ago, Kathy, you said you were looking at two multifamily, right? Syndications that were just crazy with some of the assumptions that we’re making. That was like people were still doing those types of deals even after the writing was on the wall, and you could see that the market was changing gears.

Kathy:
It’s still happening. It’s still happening. On this last one, again, I won’t say who it is, but it’s somebody who’s on a lot of podcasts and they were using… I don’t know if you know-

Henry:
And their initials are…

Kathy:
… who it is, and when we underwrit it… underwrit, is that a word? Underwrote, they were using the reserves as a return, not a return, a return on capital, not even a return of.

Dave:
What?

Kathy:
Basically saying that was profit. Well, first of all, you’ve got reserves set aside ’cause you’re probably going to need them. If you have an older building, I guarantee you’re going to need those reserves. But to put them in the proforma as if it’s profit, oh, boy, I was just like, oh, boy.

Dave:
Yeah.

Kathy:
It’ll be interesting.

Dave:
Wow. Yeah, James, so that actually goes well with my take, and I was going to be a little bit more specific. I’ve said this a little bit, I think there is a storm brewing in the short-term rental market, specifically. If you look at the way those markets grew, it was even faster… I’m not necessarily saying short-term rentals in cities, but in vacation hot spots have gone absolutely crazy over the last couple of years. We saw a demand for second homes go up 90%. So that combined with the increased demand from investors just sent those prices through the roof. Like you said, people put 3.5% down and they were seeing this perfect storm where the supply of short-term rentals has continually gone up. I think it was up like 20% year-over-year.
So there’s way, way more short-term rentals than there have ever been at a point where if we hit a recession and we continue to see this inflation that’s hurting people spending power, we’re discretionary spending things, and going to a short-term rental is probably going to go down. So you could see the whole industry have more supply but less revenue, and that could put really people in a bad spot. I’m not saying this is going to be everyone. I think people who are experienced operators, people who have good, unique properties that stand out can still do well. But I personally believe there’s going to be very good opportunity in these markets over the next couple of years like James said, and so I’m excited about that. The other thing I think that’s happening in the short-term rental market that is this slow-moving freight train is all the regulation that’s going on in short-term rentals.
More and more big cities are starting to regulate, like Dallas just regulated. I think Atlanta is starting to put in regulations, and I think that trend is really going to continue, and we’re going to see an erosion of opportunity in the big cities. People who have grandfathered in will probably do really well ’cause there’s going to be constrained supply. But I think that’s going to be a really interesting thing to watch. If housing prices stay this high, more and more municipalities are probably going to be tempted to try and solve the housing problem with regulating short-term rentals, which makes no sense to me, but I think they’ll try and do it anyway.

Henry:
Well, it might make no sense in some smaller… but we just got back from San Diego. There’s tons and tons of Airbnbs out there and they’re starting to impose more restrictions. The same reason why Atlanta’s doing it is because tons of people were buying property, they’re turning them into Airbnbs. Again, there’s a supply and demand problem. So the best way they can think to get more housing on the market, the quickest is you impose these taxes and rules and things and only allowing people to have a certain amount of Airbnb property that they own, and that frees up housing almost immediately. Is it the best move, the right move? I don’t know. That’s not for me to say, but it is absolutely happening, and that’s why I think people need to be careful. Just as an education piece, we’re not saying that Airbnb’s bad don’t do it. I always say if you’re going to buy an Airbnb property, you want to be able to buy it and have more than one exit in the event that some regulations change.
We just bought a property that we bought solely to use as Airbnb, but we also bought it at a point where if we renovate it and we don’t get the return that we want, we can sell it and still make a profit. So I have two exits there, but not everybody’s doing that. Especially what we saw over the last year-and-a-half to two years is people had all this extra money. They didn’t have all these restrictions on where they had to live. They started buying second properties and Airbnbs in all different places, and they weren’t really evaluating what the numbers were going to do if they didn’t have to do it or use it as an Airbnb if they had to pivot and do something else because they were just like, “Well, it’s appreciating. It’ll appreciate. It’ll be fine,” and that’s not what we’re seeing anymore. So just be careful about the markets you’re investing in and be careful about the numbers and have more than one exit, cause if you’ve got a second exit and that exit is positive, then you’re fine.

Kathy:
Yeah, a great hack around that, by the way, is buying short-term rentals just outside of that perimeter of where they’ll be illegal. That’s what we have. We’re two houses away from where those rules are, so we’re still slower. It’s definitely still slower right now. Then also if you are stuck with a short-term rental that’s not performing and you’re upside down, really consider some of the shared vacation ownership because it makes vacation home purchases really cheap if you split it between eight owners. Some municipalities don’t want that either because then you’ve got all these vacation homes with multiple owners. But again, if you just stay right outside the city perimeter, then you’re usually allowed to do it.

Dave:
That’s good advice, and places that need it to survive the economy, I think Avery said that on a recent show too. It’s like if you’re in a tourism-dependent destination, I have a Airbnb in a ski town where there’s very few hotels, which makes no sense, but they need to drive the economy. They absolutely need short-term rentals. So while they’ve raised taxes, which is fine, they’re not eliminating it, but just to want to say, Henry, I get the logic of why they’re doing it. But short-term rentals, even though it’s gone up so much, make up less than 1% of all the housing stock in the U.S., so it could help, but it’s like it’s a short-term fix. Maybe it will help short-term, but it’s not going to address the long-term structural issues with housing supply in the U.S.

James:
That’s hotel lobbyist money going to work. [inaudible 00:25:26] Hotels don’t like losing money.

Kathy:
Yep.

Henry:
It’s the Hiltons [inaudible 00:25:31]

James:
Airbnb needs their own lobbyists.

Dave:
Oh, I bet they do. I bet they’ve got [inaudible 00:25:36]

Kathy:
I’m sure they have it.

Dave:
All right. Well, we could talk about this all day, and I’m sure throughout the next year we’ll be talking about the 2023 housing market. But we do have to wind this down because Kathy, we have a special request of you.

Kathy:
Oh.

Dave:
A listener reached out with a question just for you, which we will get to after this quick break. All right. Well, Kathy, you are on the hot spot. You’re in the hot seat right now. We had a listener named Gregory Schwartz reach out and said, “This question is in the title.” The title was, “Will Increasing 10-Year Treasury Yields,” we talked about this a little bit, “decompress cap rates?” I’ll let you explain that, Kathy, but he said, “The question’s in the title. I’d like to hear from the panel, but mostly Kathy Fettke, you’re the favorite. I believe she mentioned something about this relationship in the most recent podcast. I read an article that the historical average spread between 10-year cap rate and multifamily… 10-year yield,” excuse me, “and multifamily cap rate has been 2.15%.” Kathy enlighten us.

Kathy:
Well, it’s such a good question because if you could get 4 or 5% if wherever the 10-year ends up, like you said earlier, that’s a pretty safe bet. You’ve got the U.S. government backing your investment and they haven’t failed yet. I think at one of the conferences I was at, someone was selling a 2 cap in Houston, so that’s going to be a lot harder to sell.

Dave:
Basically, a cap rate, it’s a formula that does a lot of things in commercial real estate, but basically, it helps you understand how much revenue or income you’re buying as a ratio to your expense. So basically, the easiest one is like a 10 cap. If you’re buying 10 cap, you’re basically getting… it will take you 10 years to repay that investment. If you get a 5 cap, it will take you 20 years to repay your investment, generally speaking. So when cap rates are low, that’s good for a seller because they’re getting way more money. When cap rates are high, it’s good for a buyer because they’re buying more income for less money relatively.
So I think what they’re asking, and just generally speaking, cap rates are very low right now, and no one sets cap rate. It’s like this market dependent thing where just like a single-family home, a seller and a buyer have to come to agreement. Right now, I don’t know what the average cap rate is in the country. It really depends market to market, depends on the asset class. It depends on competition, what rents are. It depends on all these things, but generally speaking, they’re pretty low right now. Just like everything, it’s been a seller’s market. So my guess is that what Gregory’s asking, is will it become more of a buyer’s market in the multifamily space?

Kathy:
Yeah, and that’s what I was saying earlier is exciting is when you’re in a seller’s market and everybody’s bidding for the same property and prices go up, your return goes down. Your cash flow is down. So for the past few years it’s been really hard to find properties that cash flow or the cash flow has definitely gone down and the cap rate has gone down. In single family at least, as prices come down generally then you have more cash flow except the interest rate is a problem. So I would say that in commercial real estate, the biggest factor to focus on is the interest rate because generally, that is tied that if interest rates go up, your NOI, your return goes down, and that will affect pricing more. So I think more commercial investors are worried that cap rates will increase, which again, if you’re a buyer, that’s great, but if you’re trying to sell, that’s awful. If you bought it at a low cap rate, which is a high price, you got to sell it at a higher cap rate, it’s a lower price. You’re going to take losses.

James:
We’re seeing that in the market right now. Locally in Washington, we are apartment buyers. We typically have been buying 20 to 30, 40 units at a time. That’s the space we’ve had to hang out in because the big hedge funds have been buying these properties. If it was above 40, 50 units, the hedge funds were buying, they were buying it like a 3 cap, which is bizarre to me. I don’t understand why anybody would want a 3 cap. But as the rates have increased and their cost of money’s increased and now the bonds that they can also redeploy into and get a good return, we’ve seen them really dry up. We just recently locked up an 80 unit and we got a 5.6 to 5.7 cap on that, which was not in existence the last 24 months. So the cap rates are definitely getting better, especially in the bigger spaces.
We’ve been getting good cap rates in the small value add for the last 10 years in our local market, but we had to put in a lot of work to get it there. Now we can buy a little bit cleaner in that space because it’s less competitive and the opportunities are definitely there because, again, we could not touch that product. I think that the property that we’re in contract on, it was pending twice prior to the rates really spiking for 2 1/2 to $3 million more than we’re paying for. So as the rates come up, pricing comes down, gets way more opportunities out there. Then also to think about too, the debt coverage service ratios are changing rapidly right now too. So investors have to leave a little bit more capital in the game too. So it’s really slowing everything down, but it is creating a lot better opportunity in a way healthier market to invest in because you should not be getting into a 3 cap, or at least that’s my firm. I just-

Dave:
It’s crazy.

Henry:
It’s insane.

James:
It’s disgusting.

Dave:
Yeah.

James:
It grosses me out. I don’t know, earn some money. But now the investments are more balanced into they’re there to buy, which is great.

Dave:
Generally, I think, yeah, there’s a lot of factors that go into the cap rate that something trades for, but I think generally speaking, they’re going to expand and it’s going to become more of a buyer’s market. But we have to remember that multifamily, at least multifamily, excuse me, that commercial specifically multifamily is based off rents. If rents keep going up, I don’t think we’re going to see cap rates expand too much. They probably will just because of interest rate, but there probably will still be fair demand from investors if rents keep going up because it’s still going to be one of the better, more attractive options in real estate, I think.

Kathy:
That’s going to be a big if because Yardi Matrix just came up and said rents were unchanged and then Apartment List said there were actually declines.

Dave:
Did they?

Kathy:
Mm-hmm.

Dave:
Okay. That’s really good because we had a production meeting before this, and that’s going to be one of our upcoming shows. I saw some headlines about that, and we’re going to do some research and dig into that. So thanks, Kathy. All right. Well, Kathy, great job, Henry, James also great job. I guess we’re not as cool. We don’t get the specific questions asked for us, but it’s okay. I’m not that offended. But thank you all for being here. This was a lot of fun. We’ll come back to this and check out how our predictions and forecasts did in about a year, but in the meantime, it’ll be very fun to… or at least very interesting, I don’t know about fun-

Henry:
We’re good to go.

Dave:
… to see what happens over the next couple of months. Obviously, for everyone listening, we will be coming to you twice a week every week with updates on the housing market. Before we go, if you like On The Market, if you are so impressed by our incredible foresight and ability to predict the future, please give us a five-star review. We really appreciate that either on Apple or on Spotify, and we would love if you share this with a friend. If you know someone who’s interested in real estate investing, someone who just wants to buy a house and is trying to understand what’s going on in the housing market, please share this podcast, share the love.
We work really hard to get this out to all of you. We know that a lot of you at BPCON were telling us how much value you get from it, so share the love with your friends and your community as well. Kathy, Henry, James, thanks a lot. We appreciate you. I’ll see you all soon. On The Market was created by me, Dave Meyer and Kailyn Bennett. The show is produced by Kailyn Bennett, with editing by Exodus Media. Copywriting is by Calico Content, and we want to extend a big thank you to everyone at BiggerPockets for making this show possible.

 

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.



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Mortgage demand jumps to six-week high as interest rates continue to drop

Mortgage demand jumps to six-week high as interest rates continue to drop


Mortgage demand jumps to six-week high

Mortgage demand is finally crawling out of the basement as interest rates continue to move lower.

Total application volume increased 3% last week from the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) decreased to 7.41% from 7.61% and points decreased to 0.62 from 0.67 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment.

“U.S. bond yields continued to move lower as incoming data signaled a softer economy and more signs of cooling inflation. Most mortgage rates in our survey decreased, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate decreasing to the lowest rate in two months,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s deputy chief economist. “Mortgage applications increased to their highest level in six weeks, but remain at very low levels.”

Applications to refinance a home loan increased 2% for the week and were just 4% lower than the same week one year ago. Rates today are about 75 basis points higher than they were a year ago, but more than twice what they were two years ago when there was a massive refinance boom. Most homeowners with mortgages today have rates far lower than they would get now.

Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home increased 4% week to week but were still 20% lower than one year ago.

“The average loan size on a purchase application was $403,600, the lowest since January 2023. This is consistent with other sources of home sales data showing a gradually increasing first-time homebuyer share,” Kan added.

While mortgage demand is moving slightly higher off historic lows, the housing market is still extremely weak. October sales of existing homes dropped to the lowest level in 13 years, according to a new report from the National Association of Realtors.

Mortgage rates moved slightly lower this week, but analysts are not expecting any major moves in the near future.

“The market has clearly shifted gears into holiday mode with light volume and liquidity greasing the skids for random volatility without any fundamental justification,” wrote Matthew Graham, chief operating officer of Mortgage News Daily.

Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:



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What The Autumn Statement Means For Britain’s Entrepreneurs

What The Autumn Statement Means For Britain’s Entrepreneurs


To his credit, the UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt put the long-term interests of British businesses front and centre of the Autumn Statement.

Most critically, the Government announced it would make full expensing permanent. In 2017, full expensing was the best idea in politics you’ve never heard of; today, the idea that you should let businesses deduct the cost of any investment they do from their corporation tax bills is orthodoxy. As my colleague Derin Kocer explains: “Full expensing gives businesses what they need: incentives to make long-term investments. Making this policy permanent will offer certainty to invest and drive businesses to upgrade the nation’s capital stock, boosting our productivity and unlocking new opportunities for entrepreneurs and innovators across the country.”

Another crucial bit of tax tinkering came through the extension of the sunset clause to 2035 for the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) and Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs), which encourage individuals to invest indirectly in a range of unquoted smaller, higher risk trading companies. This follows calls from the EISA, the VCTA and most recently through the All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) for Entrepreneurship’s Funding to Flourish report.

Also of note, the Government announced it would be accepting all of the recommendations of the Independent Review of Spin-out Companies. Among these recommendations are calls for: academics and their institutions to agree spin-out deals on market terms which avoid unnecessary negotiations; greater disclosure of deals to increase transparency; and the ability for universities to use funding to cover the costs of university technology transfer offices.

Responding to the announcement, co-author of our most recent paper on spin-outs, Academic to Entrepreneur, Eamonn Ives, said: “Ensuring that as much of the research as possible which takes place in Britain’s universities can be turned into dynamic companies will be essential for growing the economy and tackling problems such as climate change or our ageing population. In theory, the recommendations made in the Independent Review of Spin-outs represent a good first step for enabling academic entrepreneurs to build investable startups of their own, but it remains to be seen how they work in practice. If problems continue to persist, the Government should not be afraid to go further when it comes to boosting Britain’s spinout landscape.”

The Government also announced it will progress the National Infrastructure Commission’s (NIC) April recommendations on planning by delivering reforms to return the Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project regime, which aim to strengthen the capacity of the planning system to deliver a better service for businesses. It will also bring forward plans for authorities to offer guaranteed accelerated decision dates for major developments in England in exchange for a fee, ensuring refunds are given where deadlines are not met and limiting use of extension of time agreements.

As we have argued in Strong Foundations, the UK’s rigid planning system drives up the cost of housing, office space, and lab space, and is severely holding back our startup hotspots around the country. Britain’s sclerotic planning system makes new infrastructure and housing more expensive to build and longer to develop. This hurts businesses who can’t otherwise make use of it, and denies opportunities for those who want to build it. Meanwhile, agglomeration is curtailed as people are prevented from moving to more productive areas to fulfil their potential. We therefore welcome the incentives for local councils and other reforms to speed up development.

With the Office for Budget Responsibility’s growth forecasts down, Hunt was right to focus on Britain’s businesses as the key driver of future prosperity. It’s just a shame that this long-term thinking has not always been present in other fiscal announcements made in the last 13 years. With Brexit, the pandemic and crippling energy prices, the last few years have been incredibly tough for entrepreneurs. As our recent Risk Readiness Report with Mishcon de Reya showed, a significant proportion of entrepreneurs (39%) believe the overall level of risk in the business environment is higher now than it was 12 months ago, and the same proportion (39%) think the level of risk will only increase in the coming year.

A spot of good news is long overdue.



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All the Money Hacks We WISH We Had Known About (ENCORE Episode!)

All the Money Hacks We WISH We Had Known About (ENCORE Episode!)


Happy Thanksgiving! This Turkey Day, we’re giving you an encore of one of our favorite episodes on the money hacks EVERYONE should know about! This was one of our top shows of last year and will teach you how to save better, spend less, and travel for CHEAP! Enjoy!

Travel hacks, spending hacks, medical hacks. If there’s one thing that Chris Hutchins has learned from hosting the All the Hacks podcast, it’s that everything is negotiable. You can travel to over sixty countries for (almost) free, outsource your cooking at a reasonable rate and even get free money once forgotten. Chris should know—he’s done all this and more as he works to optimize every aspect of his life, both financially and personally!

Chris was hacking at a very young age. In high school, he made a fake magazine so he could score free press passes to concerts. When he was away at boarding school, he would buy whole pizzas and sell them by the slice just to afford a few slices of his own. Then, later when he quit his job to travel the world, Chris and his partner hit over sixty countries, using credit card points to globetrott from South Africa to Singapore!

Now, as a father, Chris is more concerned about hacking his time. He’s got kids to take care of and doesn’t want to waste a second of his day that could be spent planning for, or playing with, his children. In today’s episode, you’ll hear some of the most insane life hacks, from hiring a personal chef for a fraction of the cost to getting free champagne at any hotel stay and even snagging twenty to thirty percent off of your dream vacation villa. These hacks work (we tried them in real-time), and you may need a pen and paper to write them all down!

Mindy:
Hello my dear listeners and welcome to the BiggerPockets Money podcast Thanksgiving weekend edition. Today we have a very special encore episode for you. Last year we aired an episode with Chris Hutchins from All The Hacks podcast. We talked about travel hacks, meal and grocery hacks, money investing hacks, and so much more. That episode was so popular that we are re-airing it today. On Monday, we actually have Chris coming back to the show where we discuss holiday hacks. We hope you had a safe and happy holiday and we will see you back here on Monday. Today’s guest is Chris Hutchins, the host of All The Hacks podcast. Chris has an impressive resume filled with big names like Google, Grove, Milk and Wealthfront, and has been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and CNBC. But it’s his ability to master ways to hack his life and come up with the easiest way to get something done that truly caught my eye. Today we’re going to talk with Chris about All The Hacks. Chris, welcome to the BiggerPockets Money podcast. I am so excited to talk to you today.

Chris:
This has been a long time coming. I’m so excited to be here.

Mindy:
So let’s jump into a little bit of your background before we look at some of your favorite hacks. Where does your journey with money begin?

Chris:
My journey with money, it’s one of these things where I always try to pin it down with my parents and I never get a good answer. I’m like, “Come on, tell me the childhood story that I could come on a podcast and be like, ‘I had the lemonade stand and then I hired my neighbors to run it.’” I don’t have a perfect childhood money story. There were a bunch of random little like, “Ooh, I’m going to create a magazine to pretend that I’m in the press to go to concerts for free.” But little stories.

Mindy:
Wait, what?

Chris:
I wanted to go to concerts as a kid in high school, and so I just made a fake magazine and print it out on paper so that I could just go and be like, “Oh, I have this cool ‘zine about music. Can I come to this concert as a press person?” And it worked for shows that were like 500 people shows in a church basement kind of shows. It was not like I was going to a giant stadium concert.

Mindy:
But it’s still got you free tickets into a concert. So your life hacking skills started when you were in high school,

Chris:
Yeah. But there’s not a journey. It’s just a random thing that I was like, “How do I get into this thing?” Or in high school another one was I went to boarding school and there were a lot of people to go to boarding school that have a ton of money. My parents didn’t give me this allowance and this credit card that allowed me to do whatever I wanted, but I loved pizza and everyone was always ordering pizza. And so what I did was I would just order Domino’s Pizza and I would sell the slices at enough of a markup that I would get two slices every night. So I feel like my whole life was just like… Boarding school was a good example because everyone had their parents’ credit card except me. So I had to find ways to make money and kind of keep up. And so I convinced the school to hire me to run the mail room because I was like, “Then I can make some money.”
I don’t know. And then I could curry favors because I was like, “Oh, I can unlock the mail room after hours if you didn’t get your package.” So my life is full of these random things. But the kind of broader, bigger picture financial story kind of came after college. I took a job in investment banking and management consulting. I took two jobs because I didn’t know what I wanted to do and I had two offers that started nine months after each other and I didn’t have the time to figure out what career path I wanted because I was late to the game. So I was like, ask friends, “What’s the best job?” And they’re “Management consulting, investment banking.” I was like, “Oh, I’ll do those.” And I hated both of them. So nine months into the first one, I said, “Ah, I’m not going to do this.”
And I took the other offer that I’d already accepted. I went to work there and I was like, “Wow, if I don’t love working, what am I going to do? I have 50, 60, 70, 80 years left in my life and if I don’t like working, I am screwed.” So I was like, “I have to save every dollar and find a way to be very optimal because otherwise I’m going to be stuck doing a job I don’t love.” And so not knowing at the time that there was a fire movement, not knowing all of this stuff, not having read Mr. Money Mustache’s blog, I was just “I need to find line item by line item a way to reduce all the costs on my spending so that I can save as much money as possible so I don’t have to work a job I don’t love.” Because my naive self was like, “Well, I’ve only had two jobs, but I didn’t love either of them, so I must not like working. What do I do?”

Mindy:
I disagree with you. I think the broader story is you going back to high school, always looking for ways to figure things out instead of playing by the rules. Because the rules are you work for 40 years and then you retire at age 65 and the rules are you pay for concerts and the rules are you buy a pizza or you don’t eat a pizza, you don’t sell it by the slice. Why would you do that? I love that you are always looking for ways to, I don’t want to say get… Well, you are looking for ways to hack your life. You’re looking for ways to hack the system.

Chris:
It’s funny, I was working with this woman to, I hired someone who helped me figure out what are my life principles. If I were ever going to write a book, how do I distill everything I think about the world into something that is not just a five-hour rambling story? And over the course of a month and a half, we kind of came up with what are the principles of living an optimized life, mine? And the first one is the conventional wisdom sucks, which I think is where you’re going. It’s always when someone says, “Oh, this is how it works,” even when it’s normally accepted, I’m just like, “Is it? Is there another way to do this? Maybe that’s actually not correct. Maybe this other thing will work.” And that’s like the guiding principle. And then there’s a bunch of others that we came up with after talking this and now I’m like, “Ooh, now I have nine principles for living an optimized life.” Now I got to figure out how to put more of them into prose and something that someone could read.

Scott:
Can you roll through a couple more of those principles please?

Chris:
Yeah. So the next one was question the outcome you think you want. So I think a great example of this is someone says, “I need more money.” It’s like, “Well, why do you need more money?” “Oh, I need more money so I can retire early.” Well, why do you want to retire early?” “Oh, I want to retire early because I want to spend time with my family.” It’s like, “Well, what if you found a way that you could find a job that gave you a little bit more time now and then you had time to spend with your family? Or hypothetically, maybe you decide you want to be a teacher and you get summers off and you spend all the summers with your kids and you don’t have to…” So if what you really want is that you want more flexibility to spend time with your family, the only way you might get there is questioning the original outcome you thought you wanted, which was, “Oh, I need more money to retire early.”
And so that was one. Another one I think is I really believe in structured information gathering. We have a note on this one that’s come up with a catchier way to say this, but whenever I’m collecting information about anything, I try to figure out how I can structure it before I do any research. So my wife and I were deciding, gosh, our daughter’s two, our neighbor has a daughter and she’s going to ballet class. We were like, “Should we be sending our daughter to a class or something, gymnastics? I don’t know.” And so I was like, “Well, let’s figure out what all the options are.” But instead of just doing casual research, I was like, “Let’s build a page in our notion board and let’s figure out what we want to collect. How often does it run? How much does it cost? How far away is it? How old are the kids in it?”
And all this stuff. And now we have this little mini database that when I go to my wife, she’s like, “Oh, well what could she do on Wednesdays? Because she doesn’t have preschool.” I don’t have to go back out and do all this other research. I’ve already kind of collected in an optimal way. And it forces me to think about what I want to get out of learning when I’m trying to do research and then I end up finding more optimal outcomes because I’ve been able to collect more information in a structured way. So that’s three of them.

Scott:
Where can people find all of the principles that you have here?

Chris:
Nowhere. These are fresh. So one of my jobs, actually, if you want more, email me, [email protected] and I can get some feedback. But the conversation I had with Sarah Stibbets, who’s this person who’s excellent at helping people distill their thoughts on the world into principles or a framework, we just came up with them. These are like draft form days old and I’m still supposed to go and test them and see how they should be iterated. So this is not something ready for prime time, but you heard it here first.

Scott:
Well, for a show on hacks, we really started with the deep core fundamentals to get going here. So this is awesome. Where is a resource or what’s something that we could link to in the show notes where people could learn more about this concept before we move into some of the other discussions we want to have today?

Chris:
The concept of coming up with these life principles?

Scott:
Yes.

Chris:
I wish that I had a place, maybe I’ll come up with allthehacks.com/principles and I’ll put my draft principles there. I don’t know if I’ll get it done, but I’ll lease a landing page or something. If you subscribe to the newsletter I put together, I’m going to write a newsletter to test this out, but it might be a couple of weeks. So I don’t know, this is so fresh on the top of my mind, I don’t have a place for it yet.

Scott:
For now, it’s something to consider life principles, go Google it and try to figure out ways to research if you’re interested in learning more.

Chris:
Yeah, Ray Dalio wrote a book about life principles that I think was a little bit of inspiration of just what would mine be, but for me it’s less about life and more about optimizing your life, the thing that I feel like is my thing.

Mindy:
Yeah, I think that is your thing. Let’s talk about optimizing your life. What is your absolute favorite optimization under any category at all that you have ever come up with besides the free concert tickets in high school? That would’ve been my favorite.

Chris:
No, no. Oh man, it’s really, there’s the obvious favorites and the kind of obscure favorite. So the obvious favorite is that my wife and I have traveled extensively on credit card points, but I feel like that’s not unique enough to come out and be like, “Oh, my favorite life hack is earn points and take trips for free.” Though-

Mindy:
Well, it doesn’t have to be some brand new thing that nobody’s ever thought of. That’s a really great life hack is I just spent this year $6,000 on airfare because I was going to Germany with my daughter, but she was going on a school trip and the school trip gets a huge discount and they can book whenever they want. And Lufthansa is like, “Yeah, you already buy like 5,000 tickets a year. So whenever,” but I only buy three tickets once on Lufthansa. They’re like, “You can pay full price.” So if I would’ve thought about it in advance, I could have gotten a Chase Ultimate Rewards credit card and started earning those points and transferred them over to Lufthansa when it was time to buy with three weeks notice, even though I knew that I was going on this trip for 18 months. So being able to travel extensively for almost nothing is a great life hack. I think that’s one of the best life hacks out there. Where have you gone? What have you done?

Chris:
Yeah, I’ve done the tally. It’s probably 65, 66 countries at this point.

Mindy:
Oh my God, okay, so that’s not just to grandma’s.

Chris:
No, no, we’ve been all over. We hit a lot of places once where we took a trip, we flew one way to South Africa, we quit our jobs and we just said “We’re going to figure out where we go.” And we ended up mostly overland trekking from South Africa to Singapore on trains and buses and hitchhiking and all kinds of stuff, all the way up Africa through the Middle East, through India and Southeast Asia. But for us, travel was the thing that we wanted to do that wasn’t in the budget. We were trying to… This was early on. My wife and I have been together since 2004, so a long time. And when we were just kind of living on our post-college budgets, we were like, “Well, how do we do all the things we want to do and not run out of money?” And there are ways to hack, house hacking.
I’m sure you’ve had plenty of episodes on that. There’s ways to eat for cheaper, but travel was this thing where it’s like there’s not really a way to get a flight to Europe or to Asia for $7 unless you play the Points of Miles game, which is why I think that became this one huge item on our budget that the only way to get rid of was either to not do it, which we didn’t think was what we wanted or to play the game. And so that one for us has let us take, I don’t know, all kinds of things we’ve done. We’ve been to so many places. Japan is awesome. Namibia was one of our favorites. Thailand, the whole Southeast Asia circuit was amazing and so cheap. So it’s like once you get there, if you can use your points to just cross the ocean and land there, then all of a sudden it’s really cheap.
So I think most of our travel has optimized around going to places that once you’re there where it’s not as easy to use points and miles, it’s a lot less expensive. So my wife and I have never been to the UK. We’ve never… A lot of these mainstream, I was joking with my wife, we’ve been to all over the world, but she’s never been to London. And I’ve only been because I went once as a small kid, but we haven’t gone to the expensive places. Japan aside, we’ve been to Japan a few times, because it’s just our favorite place.

Scott:
Can you tell us what you did to earn all of those points, how you optimized them and what if anything is available today? I know that the reward systems change and so that many of the hacks you probably used are not available and then there are new ones that have taken their place.

Chris:
So I think the biggest thing is there’s two main ways to earn points. One is just make sure that every time you’re spending money on a monthly basis, you’re putting it on a card that optimizes where you spend money. So if all your money’s being spent on groceries, the Amex Gold card gets four points per dollar on groceries, the Amex platinum card, which someone might be like, “Ooh, that’s even better.” It gets one point on groceries. So there’s not a one size fits all solution for everyone. And so I always say, “Look at where you spend the bulk of your money. If it’s travel and dining, Chase Sapphire, Preferred Reserve, great options.” It kind of depends. If you spend all your money at Home Depot, there’s not a great option. So you might get a card like the Capital One Venture or Venture X that just earns two points on everything.
So that’s one. And then the other is that credit card issuers, banks give massive bonuses to try to lure new customers to use their products. And so if you sign up for a credit card, you can get anywhere from, if you’re picking the right opportunities, let’s say anything, 75 to 150,000 miles or points to open a new card and spend some number of thousands of dollars in 90 days. And so a lot of my points have come from that. Just, “Oh, there’s a new card, it’s got 100,000 point signup bonus, let’s sign up for that one.” And I’ll say before going any deeper on this, no amount of points is worth paying interest on any of these cards. So if anyone listening right now is like, “I need to pay off my credit card bills,” do that first. This is not going to outweigh the 17, 25% APRs at all. So if that’s the circumstance you’re in, this is not the game for you yet, but I promise there’s another episode of this wonderful podcast that will help you think about how to save and pay off debt.

Mindy:
So I have one little tip about your credit cards. You just said that the Amex Gold gives you four points for groceries, so now I need to go get one of those, but you can have more than one card at a time. And what you should do is if you can’t remember, especially if you have 50 different credit cards in your wallet, write on the top of the credit card, what you’re using it for. I have a card that has an address on it because it’s for that house. That is the only thing I use that card for is to put purchases for that house on that card.
I don’t want to mistakenly use it for another house or another project, so I don’t, and I’m going to get this Amex Gold and write groceries on there because I want to make sure I use it for groceries. I’ve got a Costco card that’s I think three or four points per dollar for gas when you’re at Costco. So write on these cards so you’re using them in the most optimal way. But what I do is I have a hotel points card, I have Costco card, and I think we have a Southwest card as well just because that’s where we travel the most. So we are constantly earning points for these things that we are using anyway.

Chris:
Yeah, And I’ll say with the advent of Apple Pay, I feel like I’m not carrying all these cards around anymore. So I’m going to give a plug for an app that’s really fantastic called CardPointers. And it’s basically load all the cards you have in. The one great thing that I know anyone that cares about information security or privacy, this is not an app where you go link your accounts and they pull down all your spending data and you have to share your passwords. This is just, I have these cards and they’ll just say, “Okay, here’s the card of your arsenal of cards that is best for each category.” It works really well. If you’re trying to do this with a partner that’s maybe not as excited as you are, you say, “Hey, let me just load this up. And then you have an app,” they can open the app and it’s just a crib sheet for what to use, where.

Scott:
Probably helps with categorizing expenses as well because they’re all the same buckets of spending that are going on one card.

Chris:
Yeah, I think if you go to allthehacks.com/deals, there’s a CardPointers deal there if you sign up for pro. But it’s a great app, I use it, I pay for it. I think it’s an easy way to… And I helped set it up for my mom once I was like, “Hey, you have three cards.” Here are the settings for you.

Mindy:
Okay, this is obviously the best hack is the travel hacking. What’s the most unusual hack that you love?

Chris:
I think one that it seems so obvious, but somehow it just never came to me. And I’ve shared this with you before we recorded. I know you love it. We were trying to go through this process after we had a child. We were like, “Gosh, we don’t have time.” We used to have all this free time, then you have one kid and then you have less free time, but there’s only one kid, so one of you can slip away. And then we had two kids and we’re like, “Now we have no time because when we’re not working, we have to be on the kids. And so what are we going to do?” And we started going through what are all the things in our life that take time that we could outsource? And there are the obvious ones. You’d probably all either have or know someone that has someone to could help clean your house or you could drop off your laundry to get it washed and these things.
And we had someone help clean the house, but we did our own laundry. I think my wife would never want someone else deciding what gets dried, what doesn’t, never in a million years. And then someone I don’t remember who was like, “Well, what if you outsource your meals?” And I was like, “Well, we’re not going to outsource to a chef. We’re not the kind of people that have the money to just have some chefs come over and cook us fancy dinners.” And someone had told me, “Oh no, no, no. There’s people that’ll just prep meals for the week. You send them five recipes, they’ll go to the grocery store, they’ll make them, put them in Tupperware and drop them off at your house.” And I was like, “Really?” So I made an ad on Craigslist and I’ll even send you guys a link if you want to put it in the show notes of here’s the ad I made.
I got five or seven people wrote back, and I think I did the math about half the cost if I were to order DoorDash for dinners. For about half of what DoorDash would cost, someone went to the grocery store, bought all the ingredients, cooked meals and dropped them off twice a week so that we had each time two days of enough food for two dinners and leftovers for lunches. And so basically it was this woman who was just like, “I like to cook.” She was not a professionally trained chef. She’s just like, “I like to cook and I can follow directions in a recipe.” And sometimes she’s like, “Oh, I have some ideas. Can I try this recipe?” And it was the best thing ever. So for six months, and my wife and I love to cook, but for six months we just didn’t have the time and we were just trying to get into the right routine and we didn’t have to think about it and it was the best thing ever.

Mindy:
That is my favorite hack because I’ve never heard it before, first of all. The travel points, I love that. But like you said, that’s not a new hack. This I’ve never heard before and I absolutely love that because it can be so hard to find the time to cook sometimes. You’re like, “Well, I don’t want to go out to dinner,” but you kind of, that’s the only option. Or DoorDash, which is also very expensive, or we’ve had meal plans that sponsor the show, those are awesome, but if you haven’t already ordered those, what are you going to eat tonight?

Chris:
Or you have to cook them. If you have meals delivered, even if they chop up the ingredients for you and get it all ready, you still need time This, it’s take something out of the fridge, put it in the oven for 15 minutes and you don’t have to sit and watch the oven cook. You could step away. And so that was just amazing. And then we started thinking, “Gosh, are there other things?” And unfortunately we couldn’t find any other huge unlocks in our life. Though I’m now thinking, I’ve never been one to hire a virtual assistant. But what we’ve been doing is cataloging various tasks that could make sense for an online virtual assistant and one that sounds so silly, but takes 20, 30 minutes is now we’re cooking and we have this app called Paprika, which is a recipe manager app and a meal planning app.
Because my wife and I were like, “Gosh, we kind of miss cooking, let’s bring that back.” And we might go back and forth, cook for six months, go back. And I was like, “We have all these recipes. I just need someone to go through all the recipes and put them all in a list and then just add them to our Amazon Fresh cart.” And I’m like, “I wonder if that’s a task for a virtual assistant or these sites like Fancy Hands where you buy five 15 minute tasks a month or something for $20.”
So that’s something we’re going to experiment with next is are there little kind of research driven tasks like, “Oh, we need to get our dog vaccinated. We haven’t found a vet. Can you just call around and find a vet that can get him in this week?” Little tasks like that, maybe they take you 15, 20 minutes, but those things add up. And at the end of the day, if you spent 15 minutes, three times, you almost spent a whole hour of your day doing these things that you could have spent, I don’t know, working, reading out with your kids, relaxing, sleeping. So for me, I’m trying to find these things. I’m trying to catalog them so that I can really feel like I have something to fill the time. If I had five tasks a month, I don’t want to fill them all.

Mindy:
Okay. The most surprising thing that you just said is that you have not yet hired a virtual assistant.

Chris:
Is that something you guys both do and I’m just late to the game?

Mindy:
No, no. I am just way behind you. We have virtual assistants at BiggerPockets, but I don’t have one for my personal life.

Scott:
I have experimented with personal assistants in the past, including back in college a few times.

Mindy:
What was the funnest one that you had your virtual assistant do Scott?

Scott:
I had the virtual assistant call my mom for me and hear about her day. That didn’t go over too well. I don’t advise that one.

Chris:
But now that you could break it up into I only need an hour, I’m looking at Fancy Hands and it’s like three requests a month, five requests a month. You don’t need to go hire a full-time assistant. And you could have people do everything from research to scheduling things. I could have done when I described earlier, trying to research all the classes that our daughter could go to, that probably took me 45 minutes, but I could have found someone that could do that. So I don’t know, I’m starting to think about whether I’m going to have enough tasks that it would make sense. So outsourcing things. I like to calendar audit, so where am I spending my time? Am I spending a lot of time on things that someone else could do that would give me more leverage on my time to do the things that I’m uniquely capable of doing? Ideally that could earn money so that I could make up for the fact that I just hired someone to do these other things.

Scott:
I think the framework here is whether or not you articulate it like this. You have a very clear understanding of the value of your time and these things are below that threshold in value and these things are above it. And I am generally at max capacity, therefore if I have a good handle on that, everything below the threshold needs to get outsourced in some way to somebody else. And if you can do that, that’s great. And for those listening, a great tool for that is if you earn $100,000 a year, then you can compute the value of your time at $50 per hour. That’s all pre-tax. It might be a little less than that after tax, but that’s a great way to compute. That’s 2000 hours per year at $50 an hour gets you to $100,000 in annual income. So if you’re doing tasks that are $10 an hour or $15 an hour like going to the store or shopping and cooking perhaps, then that may be a good arbitrage it was for Chris, otherwise you’ll need to do that and that number should move over time.

Chris:
So I really struggled with that. I was like, “Well, but it’s not like my employer is going to give me more money if I work a little more.” So the thing that I finally did was I signed up to be a Lyft driver and I did one ride and I was like, “Oh.” My wife had worked at Lyft. So I was like, “Oh, this is kind of fun. I get to go do the thing the company you work at.” So I gave a ride and I was like, “Oh, now at any point in time I could open an app and flip a switch and start making in the Bay Area right now I think it’s like $30 an hour or something.” So now I struggled with could I really value my time at $50 an hour because if I don’t spend this hour researching activities for my daughter, I’m not actually going to make $50.
Now I sign up for Lyft and now I know if I want to make $30 in the next hour, I have a way to do it. And that immediately made me think, “Okay, every hour I’m not turning this on, I’m foregoing $30 an hour, which means that I should be able to spend $30 an hour for someone else to do something.” So for me, it needed that one extra step of actually creating a simple way to show myself that I could go make that money at an hourly rate, even though that might be lower than my hourly rate at my job, it at least put a floor that was like, “If I’m just hanging out doing nothing, I know that I could be making $30 an hour.” And so that changed everything for me. And now I’m like, “Well, if it’s not worth $30 an hour to pay someone, then why am I not out there earning that $30 an hour?” So that helped me get comfortable.

Scott:
Love it. You just take that a step further and go to the marginal value of the addition of the next hour worked. So you’re an economist.

Chris:
I try. And I would just want to loop back quick because I don’t know if we’re going to get back to travel, but there are a couple cool fun travel hacks I want to throw in there. One of my favorites is when you book a hotel, book it directly with the hotel. And here’s the reason. So hotels are still in the hospitality business and they love building relationships with customers because the loyal repeat business is what drives a lot of revenue for them. And if you book on Expedia, Travelocity, they kind of don’t really get that opportunity because the channel between the consumer is with Expedia, Travelocity. So you book directly with the hotel, you get their email either on their website or call the front desk and email them and just say, “Hey, here’s my confirmation number. I’m coming on this day. I’m really excited to stay with you.”
If you’re celebrating anything, let them know. Then a few days before reply and just say, “Hey, just want to follow up. We’re still on track to be here in a couple of days, really excited.” I have gotten hundreds of emails, Twitter messages, Instagram foot posts of people who’ve gotten upgrades, gift baskets, wine, free cocktails at the bar, their parking comped, free breakfast all the way to my favorite, which was their initials embroidered on the pillow in the room, all for sending an email. So if you want a hack that’ll get you something for nothing, it’s just send the email to the hotel and see what happens. I’m not going to promise it’ll work every time, but if it’s the kind of hotel that has room service and could deliver chocolate covered strawberries or a bottle of wine to your room, I think it’ll probably work If I had to peg it 40, 50% of the time.

Scott:
That’s awesome.

Mindy:
And you could hire a VA to do that for you.

Chris:
I probably could have, yeah. I’ll add it to the list of tasks. Every time I book a hotel for the confirmation, have that person go and send that. Yeah, so I’m a big nerd on the travel hacking I think is the core. I always tell people the podcast, All The Hacks, it’s like one third all about travel, one third about money and one third about life and life is career. It could be hosting cocktail parties, it could be anything you do, but the travel side is where I think I find all these kind of weird crazy things.

Scott:
Chris, these are fantastic. Let’s fly through a bunch more of these tips. What else you got for hotels or other travel tips?

Chris:
Okay, I got a couple cool travel ones. One, if you’re booking a villa or a house, you’re looking on Airbnb. If it’s in another country, sometimes this works in the US but really great in Mexico and overseas. Take the image that best represents the property, save it to your computer, go to Google image search and upload it. And chances are there’s probably three or four other websites that are a broker for booking that same property. So you might find some local version of Airbnb in Mexico, there’s a site called Cabo Villas, which is great for booking villas in Cabo. You might find that property somewhere else and it can be 20, 30% cheaper. You might even find a website that the owner themselves has set up so there’s no extra commission going to the booking agency and you could save even more. So that’s one.
If you’re flying international, don’t always look from where you live to where you’re going when you’re searching for flights. First off, I do all my flight searching on Google Flights. I think it’s the best tool. You don’t book there, you go book on the airlines website. But Google Flights is where I start when I’m using dollars to book a flight. If you’re using points, it’s a whole different ballgame. But if you’re using dollars Google Flights, you could put open-ended things like San Francisco up to one stop, go anywhere and look at a map in July for one week trips. You could do all this crazy stuff. But if you were trying to get from where I live, San Francisco to Santorini in Greece, there’s like three airlines that fly all the legs necessary to get you there. But if you say I want to go from San Francisco to Athens, there’s probably 15 airlines that can get you to Athens and the flight from Athens to Santorini is like $50.
So if you’re looking to go anywhere that’s a little bit off the beaten path. It’s not a major city, maybe it’s an island, maybe it’s a small town. Just try to buy your ticket to the closest destination. People call these positioning flights, get yourself really close to where you want to go and then just do that last leg separately. Because the way all these flight searches work is they’re all looking for some carrier and their partners that will get you the entire way there. Very few of them will pair up in the US like a Southwest flight with a Lufthansa flight. You’ve probably never seen that happen. So if you were in Germany trying to do this and you’re like, “I want to get to Seattle,” it’s like we’re only looking at places that United and Lufthansa work together because they’re partners. So that’s one.
I love if you’re booking car rentals, Autoslash is this great website where you can go in and just say, “Here’s where I’m booking.” And even if you’ve already booked separately, they’ll just continually monitor for you. And if they find a cheaper price, they’ll say, “Hey, we found a lower price.” And because almost all car rentals you can just cancel the reservation and book it again. They really help with that. And then if you’re not booking with a credit card that has all the travel benefits, delayed bags, lost bags, trip delay, cancellation, evacuation stuff, make sure you do that and then just stay on top of if you have something come up, make sure you cancel it. If you have something come up, there’s a little tiny hack that doesn’t always work. But if you need to cancel a flight, if you know you’re not going to take that flight, I always wait until 12 hours before to cancel it because every now and then there’s a schedule change or a delay or something and then you get to cancel it for free.
A lot of the airlines now will let you cancel for free, but you get credit. But we were in Hawaii and we kind of wanted to come back a day early and so we booked a Southwest flight the day early, but we didn’t cancel our other flight until we were ready to leave. And sure enough they changed the flight and they were like, “Hey, if you need to cancel at no cost, you can.” Because they pushed it back by four hours. So I always wait to cancel flights. Look, I probably have 15 episodes on travel hacking, so we could probably do the next three hours on this. I’ve got… Go check out more there, but I don’t know. Those are some of my favorite travel hacks.

Scott:
That was fantastic. What’s another category of hacks outside of travel that you have?

Chris:
I’ll call this spending money. It’s pretty broad but I’ll put it in the money category. There are a few ones that I love here. So one Amazon Smile, it’s like this site where you could basically, if you buy everything through Amazon Smile, it’s basically you get to buy the same stuff that’s on Amazon except Amazon will donate 1% to charity. So that’s a cool one. Help other people.
I think that if you have a family and you look at the cost of buying memberships to zoos and museums, it’s because most of them are all nonprofits. When you join the membership to the zoo or the museum, it’s a tax deductible donation to a charity. And if you factor that in most zoos and museums, and we’re talking like science museum or history museum or art museum, most of them end up costing about 25% more and sometimes even as little as less when you factor in the tax deduction. So we had family in town for Thanksgiving a year ago and we all wanted to go to the Oakland Zoo and to get a membership to the Oakland Zoo that included four guests and kids was the exact same price after you factored in the tax deduction as just buying all the tickets. So we just got the membership to the zoo and then for the next year we’ve been able to go to the zoo for free.

Mindy:
I do want to tag onto your zoo tip with my museum tip that I think I got from Jillian Johnsrud from Montana Money Adventures. Your Nature and Science Museum membership is good at something like 360 science and nature museums around the country that are more than 90 miles outside of your home museum. So we are close to the Denver Museum of Nature and Science. So any museum within a 90 mile radius, my membership wouldn’t get me into, but there’s a list of more than 360, I’m on their website right now. There’s a list of more than 360 science centers and museums that you can get into with your museum pass. And I think actually somebody up in Oregon told me this as well. There’s a Portland Museum that’s pretty interesting. So it doesn’t work with zoos I don’t think, but it works with science museums all around the country.

Chris:
There’s another version of that that a lot of zoos have. So if you have a science museum, you might be able to go to the science museums. If you’re in a zoo one, you might be able to go to the zoo ones or there’s actually a museum in the Bay Area called CuriOdyssey, like half zoo, half science, and I think they’re in both. So we have a membership there. Yeah, it’s wild. And I don’t know, the kids love it. So it’s like anytime you’re traveling you’re like, “Oh, what’s the free museum we can go spend the afternoon in because we made one time, one-time donation in the last year at our local one?”
The other fun one Library Extension, you installed this browser extension and when you’re browsing Amazon, it’ll just tell you whether your local library has the book that you’re looking at, either available in digital download right away format or check out at the library. So you’re looking at a library, you’re like, “Oh, I’m about to buy this book.” Or you’re looking at Amazon, you’re about to buy a book. It’s like, “Oh, I could just literally download the Kindle version of this book right now for free from my local library.”

Mindy:
Ooh that’s a good tip.

Chris:
Unclaimed money, I don’t know if you’ve talked about this a lot, but there’s a website for every state where you can just go search whether there’s money owed to you. So that’s probably the version one of it. Go see if anyone owes you money. I just cashed a check for $1. So sometimes you get a check in the mail that might not be worth your time to cash it. But on the flip side, that website’s also a place where people can go find your address because they just need your name and your city and it confirms your address. So I like to clear all my unclaimed money out, but I also, anytime I’m going to a friend’s house for dinner or something, I’m like, “Oh, I got your address, I got your name.” I go look them up and I show up to dinner and I’m like, “Oh, I brought a bottle of wine. But I also found that Verizon owes you $35. So if you want to go to this website, you can get a free $35.” And so that’s my party hack is bringing unclaimed money.

Scott:
What is this website?

Chris:
So every state has a website where you can go search a database of unclaimed money or unclaimed property. So California has one that I’ve gone to because I live here and you can search by last name and city and find out whether you have unclaimed money anywhere. So while I get through any other ones, go look and see if you find any unclaimed money we could have a live report.

Scott:
Yeah, I’m doing this right now.

Mindy:
I found $1,000 once. I don’t remember what it was for, but I was like, “How do I not remember $1,000? It was really crazy.

Scott:
By the way, no one knows me money.

Chris:
So one of the reasons, I don’t know if this was your case, Mindy, but one of the reasons a lot of people have unclaimed money is you go to the hospital, and this is something I learned, I did a whole episode on this if it’s interesting about paying your medical bills. And there’s these crazy things that happen where your insurance might only cover a certain amount and so they’re only allowed to bill you for that amount, but it’s legal for these companies to send you the bill for the rest. So I fractured my foot and they gave me a walking boot and it was like the cheapest crappiest walking boot you get at the hospital relative to the really nice one on Amazon for $50. And I got a bill in the mail for $350 and I was like, “I could buy a better version of this or $50. This is crazy.”
And I had been in touch with this person who eventually came on the podcast, Marshall Allen who wrote this book, Never Pay The First Bill. And I reached out to him and he was like, “oh, well here’s what can happen. Your insurance might’ve only covered $50, so it was a $400 boot and they can make up whatever price they want. ‘This is a 400 boot.’ Insurance says, ‘No, no, no, we’re only paying 50.’ It’s legal for them to send you a letter that says, ‘Hey, the rest of this boot was $350 that your insurance didn’t cover.’” Now what they don’t make clear is that the letter actually says, “If you out of the goodness of your heart want to pay the rest of the $350, you are welcome to, but you are under no legal obligation to.” The letter shows up. It looks like a bill. That’s like “Your insurance didn’t cover the rest you owe $350.
So over the course of getting shingles, I went to emergency room twice because I had no idea what was going on and it was excruciatingly painful and I got all these medical bills that my insurance covered most of, and people were just like, “Oh, do you want to pay the extra fee? The doctor at the insurance… Even though the ER was in network, the doctor wasn’t. And so if you want to pay this extra you can.” And through a series of following his book and playing through these tactics, I ended up owing nothing extra, but I got bills for hundreds and thousands of dollars and one of them I thought was legitimate and I paid $52 and they gave it back to me once the insurance company finally settled it all. But a lot of people, if you have gone and paid these and your insurance company eventually settles it all, that’s where you might be owed money because the hospital might be like, “Oh, we couldn’t find them.” And eventually they have to hand that money over to the state and then the state holds onto it.

Mindy:
Well, I just checked all three states that I have lived in recently and nobody owes me money anymore.

Scott:
That was a great tip about the health bills. That’s awesome. I had no idea that that’s the case.

Chris:
Yeah. On the health side, never pay the first bill. Marshall Allen wrote the book, I’m not going to coin the phrase. But if you get a bill from a medical provider, there are 10 steps you can follow. I did a whole episode, we walked through all of it. There’s a book. Do not pay the first bill you get. There’s 10 reasons that we don’t have time to get into about how you could argue not paying that bill, getting your insurance company to cover it. There’s some laws in different states about not being able to charge you for out-of-network things at an in-network facility that just changed. So that was a great one. On the health side I learned this trick when I was working at Google, just hide the unhealthy things at your house if you feel like you have to have them. Google basically at one point was like, “Well, we don’t want to get rid of the M&M’s because people like M&M’s and we don’t want get rid of the Coke because there are people that really want this and we don’t want them to be mad.”
But they would black out the fridge, the section of the fridge would blacked out with the cokes behind it. And then above that where there’s waters and other things, it was not blacked out. And then the jars on the counter with healthier snacks were clear glass and the other ones were completely blacked out. And they found that they just massively reduced the amount of unhealthy snacks and drinks people were consuming without having to remove them. So if you have unhealthy snacks at home, you don’t have to get rid of them though that’s probably the best move. You could also just obfuscate the cover of them and hide them in less convenient places. Or my favorite on there is just give yourself five minutes every time. So if you see this cookie and you’re like, “I really want that cookie.” Just say, “You know what? I can have the cookie in five minutes.”
Don’t tell yourself you can’t have it. Now you’re depriving yourself and that’s depressing. But if you tell yourself you can have it in five minutes, you feel really good about walking away in five minutes you can eat it, but 90% of the time in that five minutes you’ve gone and done something else and forgotten about it.

Scott:
Love it. By the way, [inaudible 00:41:46] me and Mindy are continuing to giving you updates. My wife is owed between 11 and $49. You are welcome as a dinner guest. Anytime, Chris.

Chris:
Look at that. I hope it’s on the 49 side.

Scott:
Yeah, no bottle of wine necessary.

Chris:
Great. I want an update what it was.

Scott:
Yeah, we’ll have to figure it out later.

Chris:
Back to the spending. This kind of goes in line with kind of my shopping strategy. If I’m buying something online, a lot of people know that you can go to Rakuten and you can sign up and get cashback and there’s a bunch of other sites to do that. I love Cashback Monitor because it basically says, “Here’s all the cashback websites that you could get.” So the way it would work is you want to buy something on a website, you go see if they have the ability to click a link on one of these shopping portal sites and then you earn cash back, or a lot of the credit card companies. So Chase has a portal, you buy it through their portal, you earn one or 2% back in points. So that’s like level one. I kind of go a little crazier sometimes. So if I’m trying to buy something, I will go as far as to see if I can find or even buy coupons.
So there’s this website that’s like, I think it’s savendeals.com, I think. I’ll double check, but I buy Home Depot and Lowe’s gift cards online. And so you can basically go to this website and you pay, they have Crate & Barrel coupon. Oh, I bought it for Crate & Barrel. This couch in the background. I got 10 or 20% off by buying a Crate & Barrel gift card on the internet. And so I’ll always look to see if there’s a way that I can find coupons or buy coupons because if you’re buying a couch, spending $4 to get a coupon that saves you 15% is totally worth it. And then if that doesn’t work, I will go and buy gift cards for the retailer, but I’ll do it wherever I get the most points. So for example, if I needed to buy, we just renovated a bathroom, so we need to buy a toilet.
And I really wanted to splurge for little Japanese toilet built-in toilet seat, heated seats, all the good stuff. And so we wanted it at Lowe’s and I was like, “Okay, I need to buy this.” So I bought a Lowe’s coupon that brought the price down by 10 or 15%. And then I was like, “Well, how do I get the rest of it?” So I went to the grocery store where I get four points per dollar on my Amex Gold card and I bought Lowe’s gift cards because if I use my credit card at Lowe’s, I’m just going to get one or two points per dollar. But if I use my card at the grocery store, I’m getting four. And then so I’m getting the four points on the gift cards. So then I buy the toilet with the, I plugged in the coupon, I went through the shopping portal link to get one or 2% back.
I’m paying with gift cards that I got four points per dollar for. And at the grocery store, you usually don’t get variable amount gift cards. And so that brought it down to there’s still $75 or $80. Then you can go to Amazon and you could buy a gift card to the exact amount you need. It gets delivered and fulfilled instantly. I got the Amazon credit card for 5% back on Amazon. So all in, I think it was like 25% off by stacking cashback portals, buying coupons online and then using the right gift card. And then if you can’t find a coupon online, my hack there is just pop up the live chat on any website and just ask for a discount.
Like 50% of the time I just say, “Hey, I’m shopping on your site. I really would love these floor mats. We got a new car, there’s another format that’s a little less expensive, but I love yours. What can you do?” And I’ve gotten, “Hey, here’s a gift card.” Or “Hey, refresh your cart by clicking this link and you’ll see that I’ve discounted your price.” Or one time someone’s like, “I can’t do you anything. But if you search social media for someone’s referral link, you’ll get 20% off.” So I go to search.twitter.com and I’m like “Referral name of company,” and I find someone who has inevitably posted their referral link on the internet. So anytime I’m buying something online that’s over, I don’t know, $50 or something where this is worth the effort, I try to stack as many of the things as I can to earn as much back or get as much of a deal as I can.

Mindy:
I’m just speechless at all the ways that you can… I thought I was frugal.

Chris:
Yeah, this is pretty impressive.

Mindy:
I’m screwing up left and right compared to you.

Chris:
Look, you can go off the deep end here. I could do this when I’m like, I need to buy a hammer and how can I get my $11 hammer down to $9 and spend 45 minutes saving $2? And honestly, I think maybe the satisfaction I get from saving that $2 is probably worth an amount equivalent to 30 or 45 minutes. But now that I’ve two kids, maybe that’s gone down. So I will say you can go too far. I think a good example of this is I realized when part of this unclaimed money thing, I was like, “Gosh, my information’s on the internet. We have kids, I have podcasts. I don’t really need the whole world knowing where I live.” And if you Google yourself, you’ll find, “Oh wow.” Your address and your phone number and your email address are probably available on the public internet for anyone to find.
And so I was like, “I got to get rid of this.” So I started doing some research and there’s like 600 data brokers who sell your personal information to each other and publish it all over the web. And I was like, “You know what? I’m not going to pay a service to go do this.” And then I was like, “Let’s go find the 600 data brokers, go to each of their websites, request them, remove my information,” and five hours into it, I was like, “What am I doing?” And so I found this company DeleteMe. I went and signed up and for $100 they contact all 600 data brokers and have them all remove all of your personal information off the internet everywhere. And now I challenge you to find my personal address or phone number on the internet because it’s been scrubbed.
And then in true optimization fashion, I went one step further and I emailed them. I was like, “Hey guys, I love your product. I just used it. I got rid of all my information. I have this podcast. I want to talk about it. Do you guys want to be a sponsor of the podcast?” So now they’re a sponsor, allthehacks.com/deleteme get 20% off. But I thought that half of my sponsors ended up coming from me just finding a product I love and reaching out to them and saying, “I love your product. Can I talk about it to my audience?”
And most of those products are ways to optimize your life in some way, shape, or form. And so there’s a great example of figure out how long something’s going to take. Find out if it’s going to be worth your time and whether there’s a service that’ll do it. So my wife got caught in this trap once we have small children and she was thinking, “Oh, it’s time to start feeding our children food.” And we were like, “What are we going to cut it in? What are we going to serve them? How do they get a variety of foods?”
And she was doing all this research and I was like, “Gosh, wouldn’t it be great if someone just made a meal plan for the first 100 days your kid eats and it just has all the ideas of everything there.” And she’s like, “Oh, I found one on the internet, but it’s $30 or something.” And I was like, “You just spent the last seven hours.” I was like, “Can we just pay the $30?” So I think we went, this swings both directions. It’s not optimal now. It’s so optimal. And now we’re finding that middle ground where it’s like, “You know what? This is either worth our time or at the end of the day, the incremental value from picking the best of the three incredible hotels we could stay at in our budget is just not worth it. All three are going to be fine. Pull the trigger.”
And that’s where we balance each other out because we can both find ourselves going down rabbit holes, but if you just kind of think, “Okay, let me bounce this off my wife,” and she’s like, “Yeah, stop. Pick any of the three. It doesn’t matter.” For food I’m always the optimal person. Like “What’s the best thing on the menu?” Someone told me, he’s like, “Narrow it down to two.” I don’t wear a watch, but conceptually, “Pretend you wear a watch, narrow it down to two, call one, right, call the other left. Look where the second hand is and pick it.” Don’t try to get to that last level, that Pareto 80-20 rule. Don’t feel like you have to optimize the last little bit unless it’s a huge thing. If it’s like buying a house, yeah, figure out how to optimize it because it’s a massive purchase. But if it’s what you’re going to have for lunch, maybe don’t spend 30 minutes reading Yelp reviews, trying to get the most optimal thing because you’re probably not even going to remember what it was three weeks from now.

Mindy:
I ask the waiter, “What would you choose the bison burger or the chicken sandwich?” And he’ll be like, “Oh, the chicken sandwich is great. The bison burger is dry.” Great. That made my decision.

Chris:
We did that one time and I asked this waiter, I was like, “How’s the beet salad?” And he goes, “Oh, I hate beets.” And I was like, “Oh, okay.” That’s kind of scarred me from like, “Well, what is this person’s personal view on certain types of foods?” You ask that sandwich to a vegan and they’re like, “Both of these are terrible.” But that is my go-to by the way. But I’ve been scarred a little by people who have strong opinions about certain foods.

Scott:
Well, Chris, this has been fantastic. You are a gold mine of information about a large number of little ways to stack enormous savings and save yourself a lot of time as well. This is really impressive. What’s the best way for people to learn more about you and go deep into the rabbit hole of these little tips and tricks?

Chris:
Yeah, if you’re listening to this podcast, you’re probably in a podcast app, so you could probably search for All The Hacks. That’s my show. It’s also at allthehacks.com. We have a newsletter and a podcast each week, and my goal is to help you upgrade and optimize your life, your money, and your travel. And if you want to get in touch, you can find me on social media. You can email me, [email protected]. I love to hear from people and I hope I can help you save money, live a happier, healthier, wealthier life and feel like you got a little back the next time you’re trying to buy something or take an adventure.

Scott:
Nice. That’s awesome. And I’ll tell you what, I’m definitely going to sign up immediately following this recording. This was great.

Mindy:
Yeah, this was an awesome show, Chris. I knew about Autoslash and that’s the only one that I already knew. Everything else was brand new information and I’m super excited to listen to your show every week that it comes out. I appreciate your time today. Thank you so much, and we will talk to you soon.

Chris:
Thanks for having me. This is fun.

Mindy:
All right, Scott, that was Chris Hutchins from All The Hacks podcasts, and that was fantastic. We didn’t share this during the recording, but our producer was sitting in on this episode and she found $183 on unclaimed money just from listening to Chris. So she’s going to invite Chris over to her house for dinner too. Nice job, Kaylin.

Scott:
Yeah, that was really cool. All of us found money, I think, or for either us or our significant others within a few minutes on the search. The unclaimed property thing is legit. Do encourage you, if you’re going to follow that tip to Google your state’s website, yourstate.gov, and follow their link to the unclaimed property because there are some sketchy sites out there. But if you do that, you may find you are owed some money.

Mindy:
Yeah, that’s a great tip. I thought this was a lot of fun and you could make money just by listening to this episode. That’s a bonus. Scott, you ready to go?

Scott:
Let’s do it.

Mindy:
That wraps up this episode of the BiggerPockets Money Podcast. He is Scott Trench, and I am Mindy Jensen saying Take Care Polar Bear.

Scott:
If you enjoyed today’s episode, please give us a five star review on Spotify or Apple. And if you’re looking for even more money content, feel free to visit our YouTube channel at youtube.com/biggerpocketsmoney.

Mindy:
BiggerPockets money was created by Mindy Jensen and Scott Trench, produced by Kaylin Bennett, editing by Exodus Media. Copywriting by Nate Weintraub. Lastly, a big thank you to the BiggerPockets team for making this show possible.

 

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.





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Homebuyers can expect mortgage rates in the 6% range next year, says NAR’s Lawrence Yun

Homebuyers can expect mortgage rates in the 6% range next year, says NAR’s Lawrence Yun


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Lawrence Yun, National Association of Realtors chief economist, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the state of the housing market, why he believes it’s a strange market of record-high home prices, deep-slumping home sales, and more.



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Why Cash Still Flows To European Biotech Startups

Why Cash Still Flows To European Biotech Startups


Putting the Tech In Bio: Why Cash Still Flows To European Biotech Startups

Amid ongoing concerns about declining VC funding in the United Kingdom, Biotech startups have been doing rather well. According to the U.K. Bio Association, businesses working in the sector raised £563 million in venture capital and public funding in the three months to September. Following a sluggish start to the year, the Association predicts the industry is on course to exceed the levels of funding seen in 2022. Meanwhile, KPMG’s latest U.K. Venture Pulse report notes that Biotech – along with AI and climate tech – is set to dominate the investment agenda.

So what is going on? Why are Biotech startups enjoying a moment in the sun?

James Field is CEO and founder of LabGenius, a London-based Biotech company focused on discovering the “next generation” of therapeutic antibodies. As he sees it, the growing importance of the U.K. Biotech sector is partly due to the coming together of two previously distinct disciplines – namely biology and machine learning.

The combination has the potential to accelerate the development of treatments that would previously have either eluded researchers or taken many years to develop. Referencing his own company’s work, he says: “The human brain has zero intuition about the design of these molecules,” he says.

To augment the work of human researchers, Lab Genius has created a robotic platform that designs experiments, analyzes the results and also learns from previous experiments.

Accelerated Development

What will this combination of AI and biology mean in practice? Umza Choudry has worked as a research scientist in the fields of photochemistry and synthetic biology and today she leads on Tech Bio strategy at VC fund Octopus Ventures.

In Choudry’s view, researchers have often struggled to understand the sheer amount of biological information at their disposal. “There is an enormous amount of material but it is hard to visualize,” she says.

That is changing. The power of AI to automate workflow and analyze data is paving the way for new treatments. Hence the upturn of VC interest in the Tech Bio sector.

Choudry cites a number of areas where the combination of AI and biology is set to make breakthroughs. She expects new and more targeted therapies and also – crucially – lower costs. Whether healthcare is funded by tax – as in the UK – or private insurance, the cost of treatment is a crucial factor. One potential benefit of the Tech Bio revolution is its potential to “democratize” access to cutting-edge medical technologies by making it easier to develop and scale new solutions.

To some extent, we’re already seeing that democratisation in action. As Choudry points out, reading human genes is now simple. Editing them is nother matter. However Crispr editing tools are not only paving the way for new treatments, they are also making the process of manipulating genes a lot less costly.

So naturally enough VCs are taking notice. Sajith Wickramasekar is the founder of Benchling, a California-based company that provides a cloud-based data management and collaboration platform for companies working in the biology, and Biotech fields. He cites the breakthroughs that are creating new business opportunities. “RNA, Gene Therapies, Antibodies. That is what investors see.”

Risk Factors

But as Choudry acknowledges, Tech Bio is risky. The timelines are long, the development of new technologies tends to be capital-intensive and there are no guarantees of success. However, it is a risk that increasing numbers of VCs are willing to take. “Around 2021, investors were starting to get interested in riskier areas, Choudry says. “We are also seeing European VCs wanting exposure to more specialized areas, although in Europe we don’t have many specialist fund managers.”

One potential limiting factor for traditional VCs is the time it takes to bring Tech Bio-originated products to the market. “The timelines are slightly longer,” Choudry says. “The hold time could be about 10 to 12 years.” That won’t suit many VCs. Octopus, however, is an evergreen fund, making it easier to commit capital for longer.

Despite a robust investment environment in 2023, there are some concerns about the immediate future. “A lot of money went into Tech Bio in 2021 and that was helpful. The big challenge now is that the markets have turned, we’re in a non-zero interest rate environment and a lot of Biotech companies on the public market are trading below cash,” says Field.

On the plus side, here in the U.K., the life sciences are a priority area for policymakers – not least because there is an opportunity to support a well-established science base that could yield huge commercial returns. There is a considerable amount of grant funding and also tax incentives to underpin R&D.

The Talent Challenge

Arguably one of the biggest challenges in the Tech Bio field is access to quality data. That raises the question of where the information required to build AI models actually comes from.

In the case of Labgenius, biology provides data for the AI operation. “We have a sophisticated wet lab that generates data,” says Field.

That double-sided operation points to a further challenge. As Wickramasekara points out, Tech Bio companies are recruiting from two highly competitive pools.

“Another challenge is talent,” says James’ company has a wet lab and also a data side. That’s not unusual in this sector. But now you have to walk and chew gum,” says Wickramasekar.

Not only must Tech Bio founders recruit people with the necessary skills, they also have to create an environment and culture where people can work effectively together. Sometimes the collaboration is remote. For instance, Labgenius has its biologists working in Oxford while the AI operation is in London. However, Wickramasekara is keen to stress that cross-fertilisation should be celebrated. “‘I’ve seen people moving over from tech to biology,” he says. That is very exciting.”

Umza Choudry agrees. “When you bring together different disciplines you are also bringing together different mental models. That’s not necessarily a bad thing. You have people approaching the problem from different angles.”

It’s still early days for Tech Bio, but the potential to accelerate the development of new treatments suggests it will continue to suck in investor cash.



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From Bussing Tables as a New Immigrant to Making K/Month from Rentals

From Bussing Tables as a New Immigrant to Making $5K/Month from Rentals


Keleisha Carter built a $5K/month passive income stream as a new immigrant with NO green card, money, or ability to get a mortgage. After realizing that her corporate job in Jamaica wouldn’t lead her to where she wanted to be, Keleisha made the adventurous decision to pack up everything she had and move to the US. Overnight, she went from a high-respected marketing role to bussing tables in an entirely different country, but she had bigger plans.

Keleisha’s goal was to support her family financially in any way she could and eventually bring them to the States. After numerous promotions, Keleisha built up a small sum of savings that she would use to buy her first rental property. Or, that was the plan until she realized that without being a US citizen, purchasing a home and getting a mortgage would be much more complicated than she thought.

In today’s show, Keleisha shares her smart strategy to get around the banks and buy properties, EVEN as a new immigrant. Plus, she’ll show how she’s buying rentals today WITHOUT using her own money and why she’ll NEVER try to flip houses again.

Rob:
Welcome to the BiggerPockets Podcast, show 848. We know you’re going to get a lot out of today’s story. We’re here with Keleisha, and she’s going to be talking about how she built a portfolio that brings in $5,000 per month.

Henry:
She’s also going to be talking to us about the things she’s changing and tweaking to adapt in this current market.

Rob:
Yes. Yeah, and I’m here. I’m Rob Abasolo, your host of the show, joined here by my good friend, Henry Washington. And this is what we try to do on the BiggerPockets Podcast show every single week. We bring you stories, how-tos and answers that you need in order to make smart real estate decisions now in today’s current market. Keleisha, welcome to the show. How you doing?

Keleisha:
Hey guys. I’m doing fantastic. I’m so happy to be here. 2019 in the making. It’s here.

Rob:
A little bit of background on you, Keleisha. Your portfolio is currently five units in the Smoky Mountains, San Antonio, Florida, Atlanta and Virginia market. You’re joining us from Tampa. You’ve done 15-plus deals in the past three years, and I think you gross $18,000 per month from properties, but your net is about $4,000 to $5,000 per month. Did I miss anything?

Keleisha:
No. You’re solid, right on point.

Rob:
Awesome. And what about you, Henry? Where are you joining us from? It looks like you’re in Nashville at the moment with your collection of guitars in the background.

Henry:
It does look like I’m in Nashville. I am not. I am here in Northwest Arkansas, but I’m recording this at a good friend of mine who owns a recording studio here. I’m actually having a meetup later here. So thought I’d come and take advantage of this beautiful background and make myself look cooler than I am.

Rob:
Awesome. Well, a little surprise for everyone that sticks around until the end, Henry’s actually going to pull one of those guitars down and serenade us a little song, a little ditty. So it’s a special tune he wrote for the BiggerPockets’ listeners.
So to jump right into your story, Keleisha, you moved to the US in 2018 from Jamaica. And when you got to the US, you picked up a job, busing tables and hostessing. Can you tell us what your first summer felt like and what was going through your mind at that time?

Keleisha:
Man, it was scary. I was going into a whole new playing field because I’ve never worked in a restaurant before, coming from corporate Jamaica, doing marketing. And to give up that job to go busing tables, I’m like, “What am I doing? This is too scary.”
And it was at the same time, very exciting because I was touching on something completely new that I’ve never done before. So that little scariness, I think it pushed me to be like, “Try something new.”

Rob:
That’s cool. What were you doing in Jamaica? What was your line of work at that time?

Keleisha:
So I was doing marketing for an insurance company, one of the biggest insurance company back home, and I got the ideal job everyone would say after graduating. But I think after that, the marketing… Corporate sucked the life out of me and it made me lost the passion that I had for marketing. So I’m like, “I needed something new. I needed to take a risk with my life and decided to move to the US.”

Henry:
I was just about to ask that. I wanted you to dive a little deeper. What was driving that decision? Because that’s a big leap of faith. We just casually covered that you just moved to another country.

Rob:
No big deal.

Henry:
And took a job, waitressing instead of marketing like it was nothing. That’s a big transition. What drove that?

Keleisha:
Man, I was at the part of my life where I was trying to figure out what I need to do. And I think I was just being surrounded by people who were just there in the job for years. And all they did was complain, “I hate this job, I hate this job.” And I’m like, “I don’t want to be in this position.”
And I think that year, for me, the theme was “take risk.” I didn’t know what that was, but it was just to take risk. And I was like, “I’m going to quit my job and I’m going to move to the US.” I know a lot of other Jamaicans who quit their job, left the country to go to the US to chase the American dream. And for us too, it’s also to make more money. So I was like, “I’m going to do that.”

Rob:
And did you come alone or did other people in your family… Did someone join you or was this a solo journey?

Keleisha:
So that’s the crazy part. I did it alone.

Rob:
Wow.

Keleisha:
I did it all alone, left my mom and my brother back home. She didn’t want me to leave either. She was like, “Are you sure you want to do this?” But at the end of the day, she was very supportive with everything that I was doing.

Henry:
And I heard you say something when we talked about you taking the job in the restaurant industry, you said that that was scary. You were doing a corporate marketing job, but talked about the restaurant industry as a scary job. What made that scary to you?

Keleisha:
Because people think that working in a restaurant, it’s easy. And for me, back home, our culture, for you to give up the perfect job to go serve someone, they consider you to be the help. And I think in the restaurant space, a lot of persons look down on you based on what you’re doing.
And I’m like, “I’ve never done something like that before.” And it was very insulting. It was a lot of pride for me. I didn’t tell a lot of friends what I was doing. I was very active on social media, and I wasn’t even posting those things I was doing on social media. Only when I went for a break, then I would post, “Oh, I’m traveling.” And people would be like, “How are you traveling?”
But I was embarrassed too. I was very embarrassed because to leave, as you said, your corporate job to go clean tables, clean toilets, to have someone do this, snap fingers at you and stuff like that, it’s something that I’ve never experienced and it was also a very humbling moment for me as well.

Rob:
Got it. The first job I ever had, I was actually a busboy and I used to serve chips and salsa. And when people run out of their chips and salsa, they are quite feisty and they are not the nicest person to you. So I totally feel for you there, and I think it’s a really brave leap. It’s hard enough to move.
I’ve moved a couple times with my wife across the country and that’s really scary. So to do it by yourself shows a tremendous amount of bravery and courage. And we’re going to talk about how your waitressing job was actually a good thing for your future in real estate. But before we do, we’re going to have a quick break.
And we’re back here with Keleisha, and we just talked about how you had this big move from Jamaica back to the United States or to the United States rather. And you quit your job in corporate to work in the restaurant industry. You mentioned you still had family back in Jamaica. Can you tell us about your relationship with your mom and your brother?

Keleisha:
So I have a very tight relationship, a really good relationship with my mom and my brother. I grew up as an only child, so it was always just me and my mom, and then my brother came in the picture 15 years ago. So everything, all I’ve known is just Keleisha and Nadin. And even when I moved to college, back when I went to college, it was hours away and we still had a great relationship there as well.
But I think one of the scary thing when I moved was my mom also depended on me. What that mean is she looked towards me in terms of making better for her, making better for me because she didn’t know better. So when she saw me pushing myself, I think that’s why she was so supportive because she’s like, “Okay, I don’t know how to guide you, but it seems like you have that drive and you know what you want. I’m just going to support you in what you’re doing.” And I think when even my brother was born, which is crazy, I hated it. When I found out she was pregnant. I was like, “No, I want to be the only child.”

Rob:
Typical big sister.

Keleisha:
I was like, “I want to be the only child.” But then when he came in the picture, I saw the same trend that was happening to me growing up. So as I said, it was just me and my mom and my father. He wasn’t that involved financially. And I saw the same thing with my brother as well.
So I was like, “Yeah, I need to break that trend. I’m here, I left them. I need to make sure I work and I make some money so I can take care of them, whatever is it that they need. Even if I’m here in the US and I’m suffering, I don’t have food or anything like that, as long as I know her rent is covered, food and she’s good and they’re good, I’m solid.”

Henry:
First of all, I want to comment on the sibling rivalry. I have two daughters. I have a five-year-old and a three-year-old. And I remember when we brought home our youngest daughter, my oldest at the time was two, and we were like, “Here is your new sister.” We handed her the baby, and she put one hand on her, looked at her and goes, “Hmm, all done, baby. All done, baby.”
So this sounds like you had a similar experience. Here’s what I love about what you said, it’s that you took this giant leap of faith and you knew you wanted to do something better for yourself, but felt this obligation to take care of home and the people at home, and this is something you were doing before real estate.
A lot of people are probably thinking, “I came and I did a bunch of real estate and then I could send money home.” No, you were doing this when you were waiting tables and being a server and taking care of those around you. And I just want to make sure that you get your flowers for having that heart and that mindset.

Keleisha:
Ah, thank you.

Rob:
Yeah. So Keleisha, was it ever an option for your mom and your brother to come to America with you?

Keleisha:
So the crazy thing is first, my brother is a citizen and the condition that they knew I was living in, they knew I was trying to figure it out. It wasn’t an option for them to come yet. But this is one thing I always tell them. I always said, “When the time is right, you guys will come.” Because I don’t want you guys to come here and suffer the way how I was. I don’t want my mom to be doing certain jobs that I didn’t want to do.
So I said, “When I know that I make enough money, when I can get you your house and you have your place to rent…” Because I can’t live with my mom, and she knows that. I was like, “We’re not living together at all.” So when I told her that, she was like, “You know what? I understand.” She always tell me… And I’m going to quote this in Patwa. She always like, “Do what you have to do, me girl.” What that mean is, “Do what you have to do. Whatever it is that you need to do, just do what you got to do. I’ll be here when you’re ready.”

Henry:
How important was it for you to know you had that support back home backing you up no matter what, win or lose?

Keleisha:
Man, it means so much. Even getting ready for this interview, my mom called me, and she just started praying and she started crying. And she started going back down memory lane. She’s like, “I remember when it was just us and we were doing this.” And she’d be like, “We’ve been coming from so far.” And I was like, “Mom, just calm down, just relax.”
But I think it truly means a lot. And I’ve heard so many different stories where persons don’t have a strong support system. And I think that’s something I’m extremely grateful for. Your support doesn’t have to be a large group of people, but if you have that one or two persons that means a lot to you, if you know that you have their support when you feel like giving up and you can just call and be like, “Hey, it’s tough.”
My mom used to call me and she used to see bags under my eyes and she starts crying. She’s like, “Come back home. I don’t like how you look. Come back home. You’re not eating, you’re not sleeping.” I lost so much weight. And I was like, “No, I’m not coming back home.”

Rob:
So tell me more. You’re busing tables and at first, you think that you’re going to be in the US temporarily or you’re going to be working this job and work through it and move up the ladder. Then what happens? How does that job go?

Keleisha:
So it’s crazy. So I went to that job on Martha’s Vineyard for one summer. And apparently, it seemed like I did a good job. The owner was like, “Can you just stay for the rest of the season?” I’m like, “Sure.” I went back the following season to do food running. So I got promoted from hostessing and busing tables to food running, which is taking the food from the kitchen to the table. What crazy enough is that the year after, I ended up doing food running and got promoted to being a manager.

Rob:
Whoa.

Keleisha:
So I was doing two roles at once. Yes.

Rob:
That’s cool.

Keleisha:
And after he was like, “I can’t have you doing both roles. Let’s just switch you over to managing the restaurant full time.” And for me, again, this is completely new for me. I’m managing staff, everything like that. But I think in being in that position, it opened my eyes to so many different things. I learned a lot about myself, how to be patient, how to come up with solutions, especially being under pressure.
And it also helped me to connect with so many different persons. Because now I am having conversation with customers who are coming in, and they’ll be like, “Oh, what do you do? You’re such an intelligent young lady, blah, blah, blah.” And I’m like, “Oh, this is my background, and I’m looking to get into real estate.”
That was the kicker because when I mentioned that, everyone thought it’s an opportunity for them to tell me that, “Oh, I do this here, I do that there.” So I’m like, “Oh, really? Tell me more.” So it was also a learning opportunity for me even though I had no clue about real estate, but other persons were telling me about their experience and giving advice of things, what I could do.

Henry:
Man, this is fantastic because one thing you said that I love was that when your mom mentioned, “Hey, do you need to come back home?” when she saw you were losing weight and took that as a sign that maybe you weren’t able to feed yourself, this was a plan A, there’s no plan B. This is going to work. And I think that that is the exact mentality that new investors need to have when they’re getting into this space.
Because I think a lot of people try to get into real estate and they try, they give it a go. And trying doesn’t mean success. You really have to have a mindset of, “I’m going to find success no matter what it takes,” because this business is hard. The past maybe three years or four years, it’s been a whole lot easier than it has been now.
But I think people are really starting to see that, “Oh, crap, you can screw up in this business and it will hurt if you’re not paying attention.” And you’re seeing a lot of people quit now because it’s a lot harder than it was a few years ago. And so having that mindset, I think obviously was beneficial to you starting your business. And I think that more people need to take that from your story and have that mindset.
And the second thing is you tell everybody what you do and you introduce yourself with that title, whether you’ve had success in it or not. Because if you introduce yourself as an investor, even if you’ve never done a deal, it’s going to open the door to people wanting to help you and give you the things that that person or that type of person gets.
If you want to be an investor and you say, “Hey, yes, I’m a server, but I am a real estate investor. I’m looking to do my first deal.” And they know you’re waiting tables.

Keleisha:
Oh, my God. Yeah.

Henry:
Real estate investors want to help. They’re like, “Oh, yeah, we got to help. Yeah, let’s help you get up out of here.” And it opens that door.

Rob:
We had Amy Mahjoory on the show, man, I want to say about a year ago. And her thing is she raises money from people, and the way she introduces herself to her Trader Joe’s cashier or her Uber driver or whatever, she’ll say, “Hi, I’m Amy, and I help people get double-digit returns back by real estate.” I think she calls it her 10-second power pitch or something like that.

Keleisha:
Power pitch. Mm-hmm.

Rob:
It’s 13 words and it just gets someone to say, “Oh, what does that mean?” And then you start the conversation. So I think it’s a good lesson for everyone at home if you’re breaking into the business, make it very clear to everyone that you ever talk to or ever meet that you want to get into real estate. Because oftentimes, when someone’s a real estate investor, they want help from a newbie to do free work. And I think that’s a really great way to break into the business.
So with that, I have a quick question about this whole situation. You said that you’re moving up the corporate ladder, if you will, in the restaurant business. Do you happen to remember what you were making back then? What was the income like then, especially compared to what you were earning back in Jamaica?

Keleisha:
A lot of money. A lot.

Rob:
Really?

Keleisha:
Oh, yes. When I got into hostessing, the first job and when I saw the money… So when I just started, I think I was making about 700 bucks a week, and that doesn’t include tips. That would work out to be what my monthly pay would have been back home.

Rob:
Wow.

Henry:
So you were making per week what you would make in a month in Jamaica?

Keleisha:
Yeah. When I told my mom, I was like, “Oh, my gosh.” And then when I started making crazy tips, I was like, “Huh.” But I think the thing was, for me, I was like, “I want to keep making more money, more money.” I was like, “I need to have enough money.” But I was being trapped in the cycle of, “I just want more money.”
And it’s so hard to come out of that cycle because you see all the money that you can make and you’re like, “I’m just going to give it one more season.” And I think the money can be bad, but it can also be good. But I think it got to a point where during the off season, because we’re a very seasonal restaurant, and I was like, “I need to do more with my life. I need to do something else.”
Because I’m the person who I always have things figured out. And I didn’t have a clue at that time what I wanted to do at all. And honestly, persons asked me how I made the decision and I said, “Hey, I asked myself two questions. I love watching HGTV and I love watching Food Network.”

Henry:
Me too.

Keleisha:
I love eating the food. I love it. I was like, “I love eating the food and I will try the food, but I’m not going to cook it.” And I was like, “Well, let’s try this thing called HGTV, let’s try this real estate thing.” And honestly, guys, all I did, like everyone else, I went on Google, “How to start investing in the US?” And BiggerPockets came up, and that’s how I started. Literally, just putting it all in Google. And from there…

Rob:
That’s amazing. And so did you jump into the forums? Were you listening to the podcasts? What were the big moments for you whenever you stumbled upon the BiggerPockets community as a whole?

Keleisha:
I would say the forums was it. But for me, it was so overwhelming because I didn’t know which direction to take, where to start. I didn’t have anyone that I could ask for guidance or anything like that. But I got into the forums, and the forums, I saw a lot of person being engaged, asking questions and then I pivot into the podcasts.
And so I was doing both the podcasts, the forums, and I was also doing, I think… I don’t know if you guys still do, but the Free Guides, Beginner’s Guide to Real Estate Investing. So I went through all those. I was like, “Give me all the free books.” And I went through those, and I think one of the hiccup that I was getting into was I thought I could get a loan.
I was like, “All right, I’m ready to go.” And I’m talking to lenders and they’re like, “What’s your credit score?” I’m like, “700 and this.” They’re like, “Okay. How much money do you make?” And I’m like, “This amount.” They’re like, “Oh, you’re the perfect candidate.” Guys, there’s something on the loan application that always ask you, “Are you a US citizen?” And I’m like, “No.”
And I was like, “But I look good on paper.” They’re like, “Yeah, you’re not a Green Card holder either.” I was like, “Well, if I give you a case number, would that help?” They’re like, “Nope, we need a government issue ID.”

Henry:
So when you say case number, you mean you would apply for the Green Card, but it wasn’t approved yet?

Keleisha:
Correct. So still going through that process. And I think during that time, you know when you think that you got over analysis paralysis and then you think you have everything figured out, but then you hit this other roadblock?

Henry:
Yeah.

Keleisha:
And I’m like, “All right.” But then the crazy thing is a lot of lenders weren’t giving me solutions. So then I went back to the forums because again, the BiggerPockets forum, that was my network of people that I could always go and ask question for. So I went back to the forum and I searched, “How to get a loan as an immigrant?” So I made sure to put that in. And then someone directed me, which is crazy… directed me to an episode with Diego Corzo.

Henry:
My God.

Rob:
Oh, he is so-

Henry:
My God

Rob:
… nice. Yes. Oh, my God, he’s the best.

Keleisha:
Let me tell you that episode, when I listened to that episode, I was like, “Yes, I knew there is a way. I knew I’m not the only person who want to get into real estate as an immigrant.” And everything that he shared, how he got his first investment property, I was like, “This is insane. This is amazing.”
And the fact that he didn’t have a lot of the things that I still had, he had really bad credit score or no credit score at all. He just had money and his passport. And I’m like, “If he did it, then I can do it.” And I remember just DMing after that episode. Spoke to him, talked to an attorney, and that’s how I got my first property too. So shout out to Diego.

Rob:
Diego, I think he’s realdiegocorzo on Instagram. But he does the Tip of the Day. And he found me at BPCON two weeks ago, and I was like, “Can you do a Tip of the Day?” He’s a very nice guy. Highly recommend checking out his content. Very, very nice and a bucket full of sunshine, if you will.

Keleisha:
Yes.

Rob:
So to clarify, Keleisha, what was the takeaway from that episode that made a difference for you?

Keleisha:
So with Diego, he mentioned that he just partnered with his uncle and they just got an LLC. He funded a deal and his uncle was a citizen. And then he ended up just getting a loan using the LLC. When I heard what he explained, I realized that I need to get a partner in order to figure out this financing option.

Rob:
So you come across this episode and you feel inspired, you start working with an attorney. Tell us about your first deal. What ended up happening?

Keleisha:
So first deal, firstly, I did out-of-state investing. So my first deal was in Memphis. And it took a little while for me to figure out Memphis because again, I don’t know much about the States, so I don’t know which states to start from. So BiggerPockets, the person on the forum recommended three states: Kansas City, Cleveland, Ohio, Memphis. So I did a full-blown research, my partner and I at that time.
And we decided to go in Memphis. Took us a year because we were like, “We need to learn the area, learn the zip codes, all that stuff.” Got our first BRRRR deal in Memphis, Tennessee. Should’ve been a BRRRR. We got this deal from a wholesaler because again, we were taught that. I learned that the best deals come from wholesalers. So went on Facebook groups, got connected with a bunch of wholesalers and stuff like that, found a wholesaler.
And I told him, “Hey, we’re in town. Do you have any properties that you can take a look at?” So again, we took the risk and went to the city just to see if we can get a property. Got the first deal. It was in an ideal neighborhood of Memphis that we wanted. And he was selling for about $30,000. And we had our contractors/project manager, which we also found on BiggerPockets. Guys, I’m going to mention them a lot because-

Rob:
Hey, that’s okay. You can plug us. It’s our podcast.

Keleisha:
They’re all my resources. And he walked the property with us and he’s like, “Oh, my God, guys. This is going to need a lot of work.” We’re like, “Yeah, we know. We’re excited about it. We want to do it.” He was like, “Are you guys crazy? You live out of state. This is a full gut.” Roof was missing, only had framing. You could see the plumbing in the floor, everything.
We were like, “No, this is where the money’s at. This is what we learnt about.” So we made an offer for that deal for 19,000. The wholesaler said, “No, you need best and final offer.” We got it for 25,500. So we beat out another investor. And then we use hard money to get the rehab and the purchase.
The great thing, guys, was that we had money saved up because we thought we would need money for the deal. But we found a fantastic hard moneylender who gave us 100% finance for the purchase and 100% of the rehab.

Rob:
Oh, wow.

Keleisha:
So we were like, “Yes, this is going to be the perfect BRRRR that David always talk about being zero out of pocket. This is going to be amazing.”

Rob:
So walk me through this really fast. So you found a wholesaler in Memphis and they had a property that was 30,000 bucks. And you made an offer. This wholesaler was like, “Dude, how are you going to do this? There’s barely walls in this place.” And you guys came in and you offered a lower amount. You settled on 25,500 bucks. And then you actually found a hard moneylender who would finance pretty much the entire thing. And was it a pretty easy-peasy renovation?

Keleisha:
Oh, no.

Rob:
Okay. Yeah, thought so.

Keleisha:
Oh, no. No, no, no.

Rob:
The beginning of this was just too positive. I was like, “There’s no way.”

Keleisha:
No. Trust me, it wasn’t. Firstly, we found out that the plumbing and the electrical was done incorrectly.

Rob:
Perfect.

Keleisha:
When our contractor told us, we were like, “Come on.” We were like, “How much is this going to cost right now?” So we did a couple bids and it came up to 7,000. And I was like, “Please don’t… I don’t want anything else to go wrong.” After that, thank God, everything went smoothly. When we were almost getting ready to do the refinance, this is where the nother issue came in.
You’re not a US citizen, I can’t refinance. I’m like, “Guys, come on. You run our credit,” my partner at the time, “you run both of our credits two times and said, ‘You guys are good to go, and she’ll let you know when it’s time to do refinance’ and then nothing. Now it’s an issue.” So here’s a tricky thing, and I would highly recommend with anyone getting in, when talking to lenders, talk to as many lenders as possible because you always need to have a backup plan because one lender said that, “You guys are good. It’s a solid deal. Let’s do a refinance. We’re good.”
Only find out that my partner, who had his Green Card, “Oh, he needs two years of self-employment tax return.” He only had one. Then I still look good on paper. So remember what I mentioned that Diego directed us on what to do. After speaking with our attorney, we got an LLC. So we got an entity to show that we’re both partners and then that way, we would get a loan in the entity itself. So in doing that, it was still an issue because I could not own more than 25% of the entity. So you see all the roadblocks that keep-

Rob:
Right. And I’m sure you’re finding this out seconds before closing. I feel like that’s how it always is, is-

Keleisha:
All of it.

Rob:
… the lender says, “No, you’re good.” And then you’re at the closing table. They’re like, “Well, actually we need this receipt from your chipotle order in 2013.”

Keleisha:
All the time. And keep in mind this time too, we already figured out we can’t even use the first lender to do refinance. We’re now on month seven. So we had to pay for a hard money loan extension, the renewal fee.

Henry:
Those are cheap.

Keleisha:
Plus the extension. Ah, so expensive. But I’m so glad that hard money allowed us to wrap the interest payment into the loan. So at this time as well, we were not out of pocket for the interest payments at all. And he was like, “If you guys hit to month eight, you’re going to have to start paying the interest payment.”
So I think we still were having hiccups and we had to make a decision in terms of, “Do we really want to keep this house or do we sell?” Because these are now three lenders who said that they can refinance, but they can’t. So we really had to just make the decision and just end up listing that property for sale.

Henry:
So you got a crash course in real estate investing on your first deal. I call that project that you did a fix and flip. That’s pretty much how they go. There’s very few where it’s like, “Hey, we got it and then we painted it and then we sold it for all kinds of money.” But that’s the whole point is you learn lessons along the way. You made pivots, you made the right pivots, you didn’t let anything just stop you.
You always looked at things through a lens of, “How can I resolve this?” or “How can I get this fixed?” And that mindset will always serve you well. One thing I want to ask you that I think people are going to want to hear about is you mentioned that you had looked at three markets. So you went and you got recommendations on three markets. And then you did, I think you said, a year’s worth of research before you dove in.
I think that that’s hugely important that we highlight that you didn’t just go and say, “Hey, BiggerPockets people, tell me where to invest.” And then they say some cities and then you go buy properties there. I think people do that. And so what would you say or what advice would you give to people or what should people be looking at when they are evaluating markets out of state to invest in? What did you guys look for?

Keleisha:
What we did was we just found other investors in the area and asked them to share their experience in terms of, “Hey, why are you investing in using this strategy in that market?” And we would take notes. And if we learnt that it’s a zip code basis or a street by street basis, then we ask those investors, “Which zip codes should we look into and why?”
So when we did that portion of it, the zip code was very heavy for us. Then we looked on, “Is this a market where persons are renting a lot or are they buying?” It came down to Memphis was where you can get the 1% rule, one of the best market where you can get 1% rule. What that mean is if you purchase a house for 100,000, you can get rent for 1,000 or more or even 900 bucks.
So it came down to the 1% rule, it came down to the zip codes, and it also came down to, I think, with Memphis, the big companies. What big companies are there in that market? For us in Memphis, it was Amazon, it was Nike and it was known as the distribution hub. So a lot of big companies stop in the middle of Memphis. So we’re like, “Bingo.” And we decided to choose the zip codes that were super close to Amazon and Nike because those people are going to always need somewhere to live.
So we didn’t go far away. And all of this, guys, we figured it out after just talking to other investors. Each investor told us something completely new, and we just start adding it to… I had a full notebook. You know those section notebooks where you can section it off? Each city had a section. And everything that we learned, sticky note, just making notes. And while we were going along, building our team as well for each person that we spoke to.

Henry:
So you made an out-of-state investing scrapbook.

Keleisha:
Yes.

Rob:
That’s really smart, Keleisha. I think yes, finding some of these big business hubs and putting properties around there, never going to be a bad idea. Can you tell us what the actual total price of the renovation and then the total sale price, so we understand the numbers on this one? Because I know you said you bought it for 25,500 bucks.

Keleisha:
So bought it for 25,500. The rehab amount was 52,000, and then it increased to 59,000.

Henry:
That ain’t bad.

Keleisha:
When we bought this property, we estimated the ARV to be 100,000. When it was time to resell, we listed it for 117, and then we sold it for 125.

Rob:
Hey, there we go. Wow.

Henry:
That’s solid.

Keleisha:
Yeah. We were like, “Yay!”

Rob:
That’s solid. Nothing like coming $25,000 over your initial ARV.

Keleisha:
Listen, I remember when we got the direct deposit, my partner was like, “Oh, my God, we got paid.” And for us just to see that amount, again, from our background, that’s a lot of money from one deal. And we got this drive to be like, “Oh, we need another one. We need to get one more deal.”
Because we saw the money and it looked so good. But I think one of the biggest lesson for me then was to pause and enjoy the moment and soak it all in, instead of want to get to the next step because we tend to forget that a lot. So when I look back on when we just started now, every deal that I close, I take time to soak up that moment and celebrate it.

Rob:
That’s amazing. That’s amazing. So you pull a $40,000 profit on the first property, rough numbers there.

Keleisha:
Roughly. Mm-hmm.

Rob:
So you did one more fix and flip and then you shifted to short-term rentals, if I understand that correctly.

Keleisha:
Yeah.

Rob:
What were your biggest lessons from fix and flips in general?

Keleisha:
Oh, it’s not for me. It gives me anxiety.

Rob:
That’s a great lesson.

Henry:
That’s a fantastic lesson.

Rob:
That’s the best lesson you could learn. That’s a lesson I’m learning right now every single time I get into a flip.

Keleisha:
Listen, it’s too much anxiety. I like anything that is buying whole, minor rehab. Plus, we were doing all of this remotely too. So I’m like, “No way. I’m not doing that again.” And just the fact that you list it, you’re like, “How soon am I going to sell it? Are we going to get any offers?” I was like, “No, that just gave me too much anxiety.”
But it was also too that everything that you do, you need to have two exit strategies. And that didn’t hit me until this year to be like, “Everything that you’re doing, make sure you have two exit.” And when I look back, I feel like every single deal, I always had to pivot. Every single deal. I can’t think of any one deal where I started with one strategy and ended with the same strategy. I was like, “Okay, this is a trend. This is completely a trend.” Stick to your criteria.

Rob:
I think the important thing is that you tried it, right?

Keleisha:
Yes.

Rob:
You tried it, you did it, you found a solution, you pivoted. I think the most important skill you can learn as a real estate investor is how to pivot instead of sitting there and floundering. And if you can pivot quickly, you can be successful in whatever type of real estate you learn to do, so long as you have multiple exit strategies, which I think is a very important lesson for people.
So you found out fix and flips not really your thing. You shifted into short-term rentals, and I believe you have three. How are you funding these now? And how do you keep an edge in this particular market?

Keleisha:
Ooh, creative financing and private money all day every day.

Rob:
And what do you mean by creative financing?

Keleisha:
So creative financing, meaning you’re taking over the property subject to or seller financing. So I’m going to go back a little bit before knowing that I was one, using private money or two, structuring these creatively. When we got the first property in the Smoky Mountains, we got a DSCR loan. And with the DSCR loan, you need about 20% to 25% down. That time, for us, it was about 130,000 altogether that we needed.

Rob:
And really fast, for everyone at home that doesn’t know what a DSCR loan is, it’s a debt service coverage ratio loan. And it’s basically where they use the income of your property to underwrite instead of using your personal DTI and credit and everything like that.
There’s a few other parameters, but essentially they’re using the income, the projected income of that property to qualify you for that loan. Sorry, I wanted to clarify that because I know a lot of people, they just hear acronyms sometimes. So carry on.

Keleisha:
So we used the DSCR loan and then we had money from our fix and flip, but we were still short. So because we were telling friends and family what we were doing and what we were hoping to do, we went to them and we were like, “Hey, we want to get this property, but we’re short about 50 to 60,000,” just putting it out there. And then two persons from our network decided to give us money.
So even though they’re friends and family, we didn’t know it was private money. So what we did, we were like, “Hey, can you just lend us this money, and we will just give you a percentage of the cash flow?” We were just throwing things out there. We didn’t do a promissory note, a mortgage deed or anything like that. We were like, “We’ll give you a percentage of the cash flow for anything that we make, and whenever during the slow season, you can go to the cabin and stay there.”
That was the agreement. That’s it. So that was the first creative deal that we got. And then after now I just buy most of the properties, creative financing and then whatever I need, closing cost or decorate, furnishing costs, I raise that amount in private money and get the deal funded. So most times I’m zero out of pocket.

Henry:
I’d be willing to bet too that a lot of what made this research of learning how to do creative finance and subject to financing more maybe achievable for you is because of your background and you knowing, “I need an alternative strategy.” And so when your back’s against the wall, there’s no other option. You’re going to go figure out, “How can I get this done?”
I’m not saying that to discourage people from going to learn how to do these things. I’m saying that from the perspective of put yourself in that mindset, what if you could never go to a bank again? Would that mean you’re never going to be a real estate investor? If you think from that perspective, “Okay, I’m going to pretend I can’t go to a bank for my next deal. So I got to go and learn how would I buy a property if I couldn’t.” And that just helps you sharpen the tools in your tool belt.
So I think that that’s super cool. You also are pivoting or have pivoted to more of a mid-term rental strategy. Is that correct? And so how is this mid-term rental strategy going for you? And how are you either growing or expanding that? What have you learned that’s making you push to that direction?

Keleisha:
So full disclosure, I haven’t done my first mid-term rental yet. I’m literally still going through that process.

Rob:
Cool.

Keleisha:
The reason being trying to pivot is that I think I got spoiled with the Smoky Mountains. I got so spoiled.

Rob:
As we all do.

Keleisha:
Because for the entire year, it’s a great market. I’m always booked. And then when I got another property in San Antonio, I was like, “Hmm, I’m not used to with just this weekends type of thing, and my calendar is open during the week.” So I always heard about mid-term rentals. So what I did was I had a really good friend of mine in one of my mentorship, and I asked her about… She’s the expert again. This is why I go to persons who are doing it. I don’t want to figure out everything.
So I was like, “Hey, this is what I’m trying to do. What are some things that I can do?” And she’d be like, “Okay, go on ALE, list a property there. Go on Furnished Finder, list a property there.” Did all of that. Not working. I’m like, “Okay.” Spoke to someone else. They’re like, “Hey, put ‘Extended Stay’ in your listing in the title.” I was like, “Okay, I’m going to try that.”
So in doing all of this, I went back and look on the algorithm. I’m like, “Ooh, I put ‘Extended Stay’ in my title. My views are going up. Okay, still no bookings.” But I would go in these Facebook groups and just put, “Hey guys, I have this property in San Antonio. If anyone needs a mid-term rental or have connections, just let me know.”
I did that and someone was interested in the booking. Here was the worst thing. My calendar was open for one month. Guys, one whole month. And then I got a two-day booking. Right after that, someone is interested for a whole month. And I’m like, “Really?”

Rob:
Yeah. It doesn’t work exactly like that. When you’re doing the short-term rental, mid-term rental hybrid. It is one of those things where it’s best to focus on the mid-term rental strategy first and then fill your spaces with short-term rental. That’s the ideal scenario.
Unfortunately, it doesn’t always work that way. And the thing that hurts with mid-term rentals the most is it’s an amazing business niche within this market, but the vacancy does hurt.

Keleisha:
Oh, yeah.

Rob:
The vacancy is a lot bigger than it typically is with a short-term rental.

Keleisha:
I’m like, “Mm-mm.” And I think that was a tough part, and I was so close to canceling that Airbnb guest. But I was like, “Nope, I’ve worked too hard for a Superhost. I’m not even going to cancel unless the guest is sure that they’re going to book for 30 days.”
So we did more research to verify a few things like, “How soon are you looking to move? Does this budget work for you? Do you have X? Do you have a pet?” All these things. We verified all of this. We had back and forth conversation. But guess what? The guests stopped responding. So they were never interested again. So I was so happy I didn’t go and cancel that one booking that I had.

Rob:
Yeah. I think that’s the philosophy I really ingrain in everybody is to never cancel a booking ever, no matter what. I’ve had to cancel bookings because I had a glamping tent that got blown away by a monsoon. But other than that, there’s no reason to do it. Because people really do create their vacations around your Airbnb, and if you cancel on them, it could be a bummer on their vacation.
So what we try to do is we have multiple units nearby, and so if we get a mid-term rental booking, we will just reach out and say, “Hey, we’re going to move you to this unit. It’s a little different.” And then if they get mad about it, we’ll give them a little discount.

Henry:
So you’re saying the only time you’ve ever canceled on anybody is because their actual property blew away? Where they were going to sleep was no longer there?

Rob:
That is correct. And Airbnb has a very strict policy. They’re like, “You can never cancel.” And then I was like, “Yeah. My tent is literally not there.” And then they’re like, “Can you send photos?” And I was like, “Do you want me to send you a photo of air? It’s not there. It’s gone. Listen to me.”

Keleisha:
That’s hilarious. Oh, my gosh.

Rob:
Well, listen, Keleisha, I think it’s awesome that you’re trying… You’re the pivot queen, and I know that you’re figuring things out. And this is actually one of my favorite episodes in that there are a lot of things that you’re still figuring it out. A lot of people come onto this and it’s hard to really understand. But I think most people are in your position right now where… I’m still figuring stuff out too. I try different things all the time.
I’m throwing darts at the wall and I’m trying new business models and I say, “Hey, maybe this isn’t my thing, but at least I tried it and at least it reinforces that I should really stick to the things that I’m really good at and the things that I’m passionate about.” So a lot of lessons to be taken out of today’s episode. But in general, what actions do you think you consistently take that have made the biggest difference in your investing?

Keleisha:
One of them is understanding how to underwrite deals. So when I got into real estate, I always heard Brendan talk about, “Analyze a deal every day.” And I’m like, “Yeah, I’m doing that. I’m not getting it. Because I don’t know what the rehab is, I don’t know what closing costs are. I don’t know all those stuff.” And it was very discouraging.
And I think until one day I was just analyzing a deal every day, and that’s when the light bulb went off and I was like, “Oh, my God, I get it.” He said, analyze a deal every day. So that way, you understand what numbers affect what. What that mean is you will know, “Okay, if I want to increase my cash flow, do I need to increase my income or do I need to reduce my expenses? If I want to increase my cash-on-cash return, do I need to reduce my total cash invested or do I need to also reduce my expenses?”
So the point of analyzing the deal every day is to understand what numbers affect what, so then you can master napkin underwriting. Another thing that I do for my short-term rentals, I would pretend as if I’m a guest, because I always had guests tell me, “Oh, my God, I love your place and this is what I experienced.” So I’m like, “I want to experience it myself.”
So I would book any of my properties. I don’t tell cleaners, I don’t tell anyone. And I pretend as if I’m the guest. And when I get to the house, I follow the check-in instructions. Everything that a check-in instruction tell me to do, I’ll do that. The first thing you do when you go to a hotel or Airbnb, you guys walk around because you want to see what this house has to offer. I do the same thing.
I walk in, I want to know what it smell like, I want to know what feeling I get. And then I’m seeing all these switches, for example, and I’m like, “Oh, I wonder where this switch goes.” And I’m just testing it all out. And in doing those things, I know that, “Okay, I need to label my switches.”
I get to the living room, I see two remotes. I don’t know which remote belongs to the TV. I was like, “Ooh, I need to label the remotes to say living room remote.” Those simple things, when you put yourself in the guest’s shoe, it sets you apart and you know what you need to fix without even depending on your team as much because you’re going to see things that your team won’t.

Rob:
Smart. It’s always a very gratifying and disappointing experience because you realize all the little things that get moved around and everything over the course of a few months or six months, and I think that’s a really important lesson to go and walk your properties. I know it’s a novel concept and it’s hard to do, especially at scale.
But it is something that can be a little eye-opening and can really be pivotal to the optimization of your portfolio. Tell us where you’re at today. Are you feeling gratified about the steps and the risks that you’ve taken? How are things with your mom? Have you been sending her money and showing your success? How’s that all been going?

Keleisha:
So it has been going really well. I’m very grateful for it. But one of the biggest thing that I’m learning is that I’m planting the seeds. What this mean is everyone thinks that when you get into real estate, you’re going to be making a ton of money when you get in. No, you are not. You guys will hear Rob mention at the beginning that I’m making $5,000 net. Yes, but that’s not going in my pocket. It’s either going into reserves or it’s using to pay off debt that I used to get in to all these mentorships and courses and all those things.
You’re going to be broke, honestly. You’re going to be broke. You’re going to feel like giving up. I think I’m going through one of the toughest time now in my career. And what’s pushing me through is that I keep looking back to be like, “You’ve come this far, you can’t give up now. It’s just a phase. Just go through it.” And each time I’m just figuring it out.
And I think as well, it’s just how can I get ready for the next season of my life. I’m not the type of person to have a two-year goal or a three-year goal. I have 90-day goals. When that 90 days come, I create a whole new goal. So right now, for me, I just want to finish the year strong where my properties are cash flowing and I’m able to pay off all my lenders.

Henry:
Okay, awesome. So we understand that you recently had a full circle moment with that same podcast guest who showed you that this could be possible for you. So can you tell us a little bit about that?

Keleisha:
Yes. When I listened to Diego’s episode in 2019, we were going back and forth. And in 2023, who would’ve thought? In August of 2023, I got a message from Diego. When I saw his DM popped up, I screamed. You guys scream over celebrities. BiggerPockets people are like my celebrities. I get starstruck. And when Diego messaged me and invited me to speak to his Mastermind about capital raising, I was like, “No way.”
I sent him a voice memo, I started screaming. I’m like, “Dude, you’re the person who got me to my first investment property because you shared your story.” 2019, I never thought that would’ve happened. A girl from Jamaica, I’m cleaning tables, and you hear about real estate and wealth, you’re like, “Oh, you need a family. It’s going to take 10 years, 20 years.”
And just to see, even after quitting my job last year and seeing how much I’ve accomplished in a year, it’s mind-blowing. It just goes to show that anything can happen. It’s like with you guys as well. When we met at BPCON, I saw you guys. I’m like, “Oh, my gosh.”

Rob:
That’s how I get when I meet Henry too.

Keleisha:
I was like, “Oh, my gosh.” And it’s just showing that so much things can change when you start putting yourself in the right rooms, you start putting yourself out there and telling people what you’re doing and sharing your story and your journey. It’s like the universe starts sending things your way that you never thought would happen.

Rob:
I think that’s what real estate is all about, taking small steps. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. And I think you’re right. I think it’s really, really crazy to see what you can accomplish in a year. I think there’s a phrase that’s like, “We overestimate…” Hold on, hold on. Maybe you know it, Henry. “We overestimate what we can do in a day, but we underestimate what we can do in a year.” Does that sound about right?

Henry:
Yeah.

Rob:
And I think that’s true. And we get so caught up in this daily grind of working, and we’re in meetings all day and there’s never real progress day to day. And you look back and you’re like, “Whoa, what I’ve done in the last year, two years, three years, is a really life-changing thing and it’s the thing that I wanted more than anything else in this world when I started.”
And I think you’re the perfect encapsulation of that idea. So thank you so much for bringing your story, and I think a lot of people are going to be inspired by it. I know I am. Can you tell us a little bit more about where people can learn about you online and connect with you if they want to reach out?

Keleisha:
Yes. And I also wanted to say I always had this vision in my head when I started listening to the podcast. I’m like, “One day I’m going to be on this podcast.” I had even an image in my head of what I’ll be wearing. “I’ll be wearing a black shirt.” But I’m not wearing a black shirt today.
But I’m grateful for just being here and sharing my story. And you guys can find me on Instagram, Facebook, LinkedIn @keleishacarter. So everything, all social media platform, my website, my YouTube channel, it is all my full name, Keleisha Carter.

Rob:
And how do you spell Keleisha, just for everyone at home?

Keleisha:
K-E-L-E-I-S-H-A. And last name, C-A-R-T-E-R.

Henry:
So first of all, I want to congratulate you. I want to congratulate you on-

Keleisha:
Thank you.

Henry:
… quitting your job and finding your success in real estate. You’re netting 5K a month with your current portfolio. That’s amazing. And it takes a lot of hard work.

Rob:
Amazing.

Keleisha:
Thank you.

Henry:
I want to say that I am proud of you for the leaps of faith and risks you were willing to take to better you and your family’s lives. And I think that that’s commendable. And I also want to say I think there’s a lot of power in having those visions. It’s funny, I also had a vision of being on the BiggerPockets Podcast. I’ve told the story before, but I have. And I still, to this day, have a vision board on my phone. And one of the tiles is a BiggerPockets Podcast tile because I wanted to be a guest on the BiggerPockets Podcast.
And when I started, when I actually got word that I was going to be a guest, I had listened to tons of episodes, and then I had stopped listening to episodes. And so I was like, “I need to get a refresher on how this goes.” And so I started to listen to episodes again before I was going to get recorded. The very first episode I started to listen to again, before I was going to be on the show was Diego’s episode. And that’s where I first got-

Rob:
Wow.

Keleisha:
Wow.

Rob:
Really?

Henry:
Yeah, 100% absolutely true.

Rob:
That’s amazing. Well, for anybody that wants to go and listen to that episode with Diego Corzo, it’s episode 352. And if you’ve got a story just like Keleisha’s or you’re working through your own thing and you think you have something to share with the BiggerPockets community, you can go and fill out a form over on biggerpockets.com/guest, if you want to share your story with our team. And then maybe you’ll be selected to come and be an inspiration for everybody that listens to our podcast. Henry, if people want to find you online, where can they go?

Henry:
Best place is Instagram. I’m @thehenrywashington on Instagram, or you can check out my website. It’s www.seeyouattheclosingtable.com.

Rob:
Cool. You can always find me over on Instagram or YouTube. I can’t even plug my own stuff. You can find me on YouTube or Instagram @robuilt, R-O-B-U-I-L-T. I did spell that right, didn’t I? Don’t be laughing at me.

Henry:
You nailed it that time. Congratulations.

Rob:
Okay, good. I nailed it. I can do this. Look, when David’s gone, there’s a lot of pressure to perform. But we’re grateful to everyone at BiggerPockets and for all you guys listening. If you want to leave us a five-star review, head on over to the Apple Podcast platform or wherever you listen to your podcasts, and tell us what you thought about today’s episode.
But other than that, thanks everybody for listening, and we will catch you on the next episode of BiggerPockets. Welcome to the BiggerPockets. Oh, no. No, no. Wait. That does not count. Don’t take this away from me. Welcome to the…

 

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